Re: Why would it be bad
pretty much all human achievements are built on cooperation and not competition.
And people tinkering in sheds.
479 publicly visible posts • joined 23 Mar 2018
I just got a new PC and was going to convert the old one into a NAS. So I got reamed on the RAM and now I can look forward to the same on the extra HDDs I was going to buy.
Imagine if we used all this money/effort/technology on something more useful that generating shit art.
Well, yes. And you just have to look at what the tech giants do to people once they have them locked-in. Maybe I am into wishful thinking as it's past beer o'clock here but it is surely not beyond the wit of man to create standard APIs for standard services. Then providers can compete on uptime/service/price/which services are offered.
In theory, GDPR allows the individual to ask for the data and algorithm behind any automated decision made about them. Given that any A so-called I system cannot do this, I would love to see someone take this to court. Admittedly, this might lead to the company not hiring someone to say that they had information that led them to believe that they were the sort of tetchy wanker who would take them to court.
If you're not allowed to make the change yourself then the person who is must do the rehearsals.
Ah, but they are the special ones anointed by management. These gods are far too busy to participate in your rehearsals.
Seriously though, I do feel the pain. You bother to do a carefully tested list of steps that need to be carried out in order. Then when it goes tits, they come for you saying "it didn't work". And you ask
"Did you follow the procedure exactly?"
"Of course"
"Really?"
"Yes!"
"Every step, in this order?"
...
The LLM thing seems to be that experienced developers can use it because they understand the code. So companies stop hiring junior devs. Where do experienced developers come from? Is the future that in 20 years, nobody knows how anything works and has no idea how to fix it?
I remember in the late 90s/early 2000s people going on about the "demographic timebomb". Because some folks spotted that people who were in their 60s in 2005 would be in their 80s in 2025. As a result, the welfare budget (mostly pensions) and the NHS would be taking a beating. But no government would ever get elected on the basis of admitting that the choices were tax rises, pension cuts or some sort of Carrousel system (Logan's Run).
Expecting a society that only cares about the next quarterly results, the next election, tomorrow's stock price to do anything about a problem like global warming seems naive. Also, have a nice day.
I recall that there was talk of a Concorde B. It would have had a wider body and more powerful engines - so they could ditch the reheat that used a stupid amount of fuel. Ah well. On PPrune, there is a very long thread with contributions from engineers, flight crew, cabin crew and all sorts. It took me about 3 days to read it.
Stupid idea of the week: companies which operate these call centres ought to be required to have "reverse premium numbers". So they have to pay you for the time you spend on hold or being shuffled around different teams that cannot help. You could get Virgin Media broadband and retire.
Went to a client who had a small PC just for downloading to the CNC machines which they said had failed (after about 4 years). It was in a little office space with the door propped open and a whole bunch of grinding machines nearby. Basically the inside was all covered with a thick layer of metal dust. I was impressed that it had kept working at all. Sure, you could get one with an IP67 case, but it was cheaper to just replace them when they failed.
Having written a lot of C/C++ in the past, the favourite bugs have to be those that disappear in a debug build or even when adding some fprintfs to the log file. Yeah, it's probably a buffer overflow or something with writing some data to an address. That was 25 years ago so the tools weren't as good as I assume they are now.
But the other thing that has changed is that, even if you program in x64 assembler, things are not deterministic. In between what the CPU microcode decides to do with your code, what the OS decides to switch to, any IO results .... If you want to know precisely what the CPU is doing and how long it will take, then get yourself a 6502 kit and write your own interrupt handlers.
Where is this electricity going to come from? You can't just knock up a 1GW+ CCGT overnight. Nor can you instantly update the grid to cope - thermal constraints are a thing. Also what does the UPS + generator setup look like for a 1GW datacentre?
I suspect that when the bubble bursts, that will be one of the excuses: "It would've worked if only we'd had enough power".
Well, yes. We were in on the early days and know that there is more to the web than five giant websites that consist of screenshots of the other four. The trick that the big companies pulled off was to make their stuff useful to the point where it was essential and then make it toxic and profitable. It is possible to have actual community connection on the intarwebs but not on social media.
It's an interesting question. I mean, I have a static IP address, I could stand up a box at home with MS Access and offer to host people's sensitive data. Anyone taking me up on the offer would be negligent. Given the repeated high-profile breaches, are data controllers who choose any of the major cloud providers negligent? Proving that in court would be tricky but I would love to watch the fallout..
The big content owners may be upset about AI using their IP, but the lure of being able to produce endless bland, formulaic content without having to pay actors or go to the expense of actually making a film attracts them (ref Joan is Awful). What they have missed though is that Altman et al are putting the tools to create this crappy content into everyone's hands.
It seems to work like this: every so often, rich people go mental and start pretending that things that are actually work fuck-all are now worth a fortune (AI, mortgage-backed securities). Then it all goes tits and the ordinary folks who had nothing to do with it end up suffering while the rich walk away largely unscathed. Regulations might be introduced to "prevent this happening again".
Modern capitalism seems to be about over-promising to raise investment. OpenAI, Tesla, all that lot only talk about how great their tech is going to be. Never about what it is now. We're coming up to the 10th anniversary of when Tesla cars were supposed to be able to drive anywhere with no human input. People were supposed to be on Mars years ago. It's all bollocks. And yet the money keeps pouring in,
Discussing these things in the context of writing code, my point was:
- Yes, these tools can help expert developers as experts can tell wrong from right
- If it replaces junior developers, where are the future expert developers going to come from?
Also I am not convinced that automating the process of making shit up on the internet is a worthy goal.