Re: > AI's seem to come to the same conclusion.
Just switch the damn things off
I'd love for that to happen, but I've reluctantly come to the conclusion that it's never going to happen.
AI will only play a larger role in our future than it does in our current day, with what is likely to be large scale job losses through increased automation. I've got about a decade left in my career, and I'm switching all my future upskilling to working with AI because, sadly, its that or get crushed by it.
Think about all those 20 deep hierarchies in the public sector - most of you are in one - once you remove those at the coalface in public facing roles, and you remove the top tier interacting with ministers etc, its probably most of the organisation. All of those roles are massively at risk, because their main function is writing reports which get incorporated into the next level of reporting above. That can all be readily automated now. Its not just the number of jobs in the public sector at risk though, its all those career paths folks assumed they'd have that won't exist in what has to now become a much flatter hierarchy.
Out in the private sector, the job losses, at least in tech, are well in train already. Linked in is full of folks that haven't worked in 12+ months due to not being able to find the next job thanks to greatly reduced hiring. The tax base is very likely to be meaningfully smaller over the next decade and so that will further force the state to cut its cloth according to its means, because we can't default on the massive public sector debt we're carrying already.
There's gonna be hard times to come, so yeah, I'd love to just switch the damn things off for a few years, but its not going to happen.