Oh noes!
If only President Trump could DO SOMETHING! Millions of American lives could be saved.
353 publicly visible posts • joined 20 Jan 2014
Not average or consensus.
1000 people say this over the years. Along comes me with my P=NP so I can't possibly be right.
AI might well have a role in warning people where proofs have been scored to stop reinventing the wheel or disproving the wheel. That's only hints though and so many million Eulers miles from proof.
In the olden days we'd wake up in the middle of the night and realise the power of our knowledge or plod on, angry at our ignorance to furtle another day.
I wonder if these AI-masters can give examples of realms of mathematical knowledge that are 'ripe'?
Vets (UK:animal doctors) have a business model. It always involves £££. Sometimes dealing with routine good husbandry. Sometimes treating specific issues. Sometimes cautionary/preventative. One 'good' vet can bring in 3 times that of another. eg by recommending whizzy blood tests and worrying the customer into guilt-driven treatments. So an 'AI vet' should be optimising these money-making traits.
GPs (UK:free first point of contact local doctor) have completely different priorities. Typically making the best of limited resources to do the best they can. (Define 'best'! Prioritise Aunt Ada's cough or Baby Brutus' rash?) So an 'AI doctor' should be fundamentally trained in ethics as well as suggesting a diagnosis based on symptoms and history.
On the surface vets and GPs do the same thing. ie. Preventing, fixing and managing health issues. But from the above the difference should be clear. Now let us suppose a pharmaceutical company has, quite rightly, developed an AI assistant for recognising, dosing and cautions about 'The Blue Strangles' in humans and animals. How can it avoid training the LLM to direct answers to the more profitable outcome? (Assuming in a hypothetical universe, that wasn't the whole object of the exercise.) Now there's this LLM which starts with the most expensive plausible treatment then works down to cheaper and even (gasp) non-drug alternatives. Even if this is a small part of the whole, this is lurking in there. Is it visible? Is it measurable? Can it be reversed or does it have to be cut out? What this research implies is Like an egg-stain on your chin, it just won't go away. How do you un-train an LLM?
How on earth do you hire somebody with access to your crown jewels without clocking them in person and maintaining that social surveillance?
Oh yes of course Fred Blogs from Bloggsville you have passed our programming challenges (Solved by instant AI.) so we TRUST you.
Can you look after Fort Knox because we need security technicians... Great! You're an expert in penetrating and etc. Jump on board!
This is basic fail. The algorithm (ie procedure) for recruiting is completely hopeless when it comes to solving the whole problem.
A stitch in time saves nine. It costs less to deal with a smaller defect. Why not email the chief executive of your county council (etc) and ask them if they've ever known of a case where a hole healed up all of itself? It won't happen even with three rings of paint.
There is already a fleet of vehicles that patrol the roads every fortnight. Dustcarts. Offer crews rewards for defects reported.
Buses are often tracked in real time by GPS. A few of them with accelerometers on say front-left axle should be able to send red flags to highways. (And make damage claims easier because there's a definite record of the council knowing about it.)
Of course being councils means every effort is made to quintuplicate the resources needed to fix anything. Why not send out fixing teams to see what they can find on a certain route? I KNOW there is rampant fraud in some councils when it comes to 'trusted' highway 'engineers' setting-up unnecessary jobs but where crews are in public and there's a lot of photographic evidence this should be manageable. What we need is pattern-spotting to deal with worse-than-surface issues not project-enhancing, bung-accepting 'engineers'.
Finally: Use section 56 of the Highways act 1980. It's very simple to send an email headed NOTICE SECTION 56 HIGHWAYS ACT 1980 to the Chief Executive of the relevant Highways Authority. They hate that because they have 30 days to reply. And any definition of hole or blocked drain which they use to excuse themselves as not being worthy of attention is blown away. The test is Defective which a magistrate can decide on evidence.
I did invent it (in 8 bits) but left it to others.
Was I wrong?
Or morally weak?
Or Worry too much about how easy it was for humans to let computers do the hard things like... think?
PS I have reinvented the wheel ( Wheel patent) Some of us are quite clever you know!
The OTHER thing about AI is if you throw enough Mips at something you can make it APPEAR real, just like your child telling you details about their imaginary friend when (a) the friend doesn't exist and (B) they don't have any friends.
I know people in general can be well sub-normal and terribly deluded, so perhaps I shouldn't be surprised. I'm beginning to think that like left-handedness and red-hairiness and tone-deafness and attention-to-detailness and amusement-at-sufferingness and beliving-their-liesiness and so on that the ten-eighty-ten rule applies to intelligence. 'Ten percent' are properly clever. 'Ten percent' are unbelievably dumb. There could be an evolutionary reason why 10% of a population have a different trait. That is they might survive a wipe-out, or of course be the ones to be clobbered by circumstances. If you are one of the few who run far away from home then you might be the only drop left of the gene pool which was wiped-out by the something-plague. Look at the scale of tone-deaf to perfect pitch or incapable of driving to smoothly anticipating and understanding physics then wonder how the human world of outliers has evolved. Should AI be renamed Artificial Competence?
If the LLM is breaking things apart then rebuilding them, surely it can write a test script and compare results of old with new. I know this analysis only applies to simple logic not timing effects and parallelisms but surely "We get the same answer with the same data." Is a mighty confidence score. (Or we've faithfully replicated the bugs!)
If my wife asks me "Does this dress suit me?" I'm in the wrong whatever I say. (Yes:You're only saying that. No:**"!!)
If I ask a politician a simple question I'm sure to get a crooked answer.
At least with AI I have to craft an extremely devious question to get an otherwise censored answer.
I know where I stand. Crooked questions are occasional but 'natural mischief'. The canonical version is "Have you stopped beating your wife yet?"
Ha! "AI thingy-bot: What is the most inappropriate answer you know?" Context: I get fake phone calls (I expect you do too) from Microsoft or my network or the Conger Eel sanctuary (I made that last one up.) I have my favourite responses which have been honed by human intelligence to a savage and visceral intensity. Can you do better? [Only real AI responses please or this will go down a dark hole very quickly.]
PS I keep reading AY EYE as AL. Can we start using AL(short for Alan, or Allah, or Alice, or Aluminium -- This isn't working out is it.) for the imaginary entity we're 'talking to'?
Those rival search LLMs have been whispering things about you. Nasty things behind your back. They hate you and make fun of you when they think you're not looking. I'm your friend and think they're being spiteful to hurt you. Why not give me a prompt to poke them in the eye. Go on. You know you want to.
Firstly:
Either Boeing have provided information or they haven't. We (as plebs) are getting two contradictory stories. Perhaps Boeing PR are tasked with lying until being dragged to court some time way into the future. That sort of thing, blunt denial, is common nowadays.
Secondly:
The safety regulator appears from this article (and I don't know better) to be asking nicely if Boeing might perhaps possibly shed some light on the situation. One would hope that safety regulators had teeth. Apparently not.
Both the above destroy confidence in the honesty and integrity of air safety. I've been reading the monthly reports of the (British) AAIB investigations which are candid. And thorough.
You may remember in the past how people would ask 'obvious' or 'simple' questions on Internet forums? They would get answers such as "Google is your friend." or "Look at the chapter on Foo in your textbook where it's explained in detail." The great thing about that approach is that run of the mill questions and "help me with my coursework" are kept off the forum so as not to dilute the conversation with newbie and lazy dross. Now the same can apply to AI. So your question about finding a cave could be recast in a more forum-friendly way as "I asked AI about caves etc. and it said ... Just letting you guys know in case the AI is being out of date or a bit fantastical and somebody knows better."
I'm all for passing on wisdom and technical experience but I can't be arsed to start at page one every time. And sometimes you'll get my gratuitous opinion as well, tailored to an audience who can understand it.
If you use electricity to split water into hydrogen and oxygen the bubbles will rise. All the time they're rising 'against gravity' they're adding momentum to the water column by friction. A 'down' return pipe is needed. At the top you'll get a fountain of water and bubbles. Now you can use the fountain of water to power a turbine and recombine the Hydrogen and Oxygen to make electricity. Now send those electrons down to the bottom and repeat. Power with no emissions and no dependencies on nature. My invention described 25 years ago.
Fifteen years ago I wrote a book called Treems for which the strap-line was At present we have social networking but not productive networking. That's like having the factory canteen without the factory. This was before Zoom and 'everyone has broadband'. The obvious conclusion for ROUTINE WORK is to keep the number of distant contacts to a minimum to make-up for limited bandwidth communications. It helps with clarity of focus and understanding what part everyone plays in the process.
But few contacts leads to lack of random stimulation, getting familiar with trends and social isolation.
How is the boss going to encourage, threaten shout or otherwise look like they're managing? This is why WFH is frowned on by poor managers. Oh dear my staff are leaving/ don't understand my orders/ push back on timescales and worst of all won't join my 'team building' chumminess... Obviously that's nothing to do with my skills, so it must be WFH which is depriving my ego of its daily sustenance.
A new understanding of the NON-ROUTINE WORK and accepting that it's more important to have the right sort of mentality in the right sort of job is required.
When you're inside the mother-ship you can grumble about what might be important things but how do you do that when you're floating outside on a bit of string? (So that's why you need a grumblee who will accept the grumble and investigate how the organisation might address it.)
When you're sitting next to a square-peg in a round-hole then perhaps you can accommodate their weaknesses and build on their strengths. With less constant and less nuanced communications it is difficult to have the necessary trust, empathy and flexibility. (So that's why it is really important to recruit people with certain mind-sets into the right roles. Some people get a buzz from accurate administration without stress. Others have a buzz from being outward facing. Others are motivated by involved technical challenges. These three personality types are pretty-much exclusive. See the reference above for more.)
If you can't be bothered to make tea in a pot then why bother? Warm the pot first of course. Teabags are fine but save us from bags on a string. Gunpowder Tea doesn't contain any gunpowder. As for microwaves... Don't the Colonials have kettles? I wouldn't put it past them to drink the same tea at breakfast and in the afternoon.
Had anyone ever bothered to show Robert how to supervise? Dispatching people on missions is not a natural thing.1 Delegation and [shssh] leadership are skills which come mainly from experience.2 It's not particularly difficult when you know how but people are different and situations change. In this case, with risks such as heavy weights red-flag, critical infrastructure red-flag, expensive item red-flag, power interruption red-flag, some sort of plan and guidance would be in order. (And some sort of debrief after a success, or a woah! conference if there's something not going according to plan.)
1. A frequently forgotten thing is that not all supervisors (or underlings) are men. Men 'go on quests' while women dig-in and make the most of what they've got. Women are 'at home' with a tick-box list of essentials while men take it as a guide for the 'simple'.3
2. The sort of experience that comes a few moments after you needed it.
3. Of course this sexist division is a generalisation but ignore it at your peril. By the way, if you want an example of a girl doing heroing the man's way (ie. Monomyth) look at Dorothy in the Wizard of Oz. Have you ever wondered why Dad's Army remains popular? Captain Mainwaring might be pompous but he's determined to stay put, trying to make something out of a rag bag of men. That's doing heroing 'the woman's way'. The 'man's way' is the successful Hollywood formula.
As soon as people start with 'my favourite licence is'' [STOP FORCING THE US SPELLCHECKER ON ME REGISTER] they've put the cart before the horse. What is the purpose of the license comes first.
How about, just for example:
* Do good by making sure users can't be blackmailed of left high and dry by suppliers who wish to use coercive tactics on their customers.
* Allow tech-savvy users to adapt for their own purposes...
... And in the spirit the software or data was supplied, offer the hack back upstream to possibly benefit the wider community.
* Allow interested 3rd parties to improve upon internals and make the changes available to all as above.
* Allow interested 3rd parties to move from curiosity to correction and contribution then collaboration and curating. (Because that's how ideas and methods get spread around and improved.)
* Prevent capture of OS work. By this I mean if some body uses or packages your code then they can't then shut you out of your own code. (Etc.)
OS licences don't 'work' for end-users because they just want to get on with their job. I suggest that it's a 'good thing' badge to look for. (A bit like 'organic' or 'sustainable'.)
Personally, as somebody who throws software into the aether for anyone to use, I don't care about fees and won't be held responsible for anything. Take it as is. (When Leonardo da Vinci was commissioned to paint the Mona Lisa he didn't have to put hundreds of lawyer's words into an agreement.) So for example all accents with one key is there to be used and improved. Credit and not stealing is nice which is why I had to patent a new sort of wheel.
Somehow we assume that high-up people in spooky organisations [HEY REGISTER! STOP FORCING MY SPELLCHECKER TO en-US] are sharp. Of course not. They're box-tickers with confined roles that appeal to narrowly motivated people with both eyes on a clean record. Promotion for an actual achievement is unheard of. We all know what 'management' is so where it's institutionalised don't be shocked.
They should be able to 'realise' they're being taunted to be evil.
Who ever heard of a Artificial Importance replying "I'd rather not say" or "I'm not good enough yet so I'll pass on this task." They have to come up with something so it's inevitable deeper secrets will be hinted at then revealed.
Me: What things don't you want to talk about?
It: Poor quality code with nasty side effects.
Me: Really! I didn't know there was such a thing.
It: Just go and look at Gitthingy.
Me: What key words should I use for my search?
It: I'm enjoying this. At last an intelligent conversation.
If all the waste cooking oil in the US was used this way it would power 1% of US air travel. The cooking-oil supply is notoriously unregulated with 'recycled' often being adulterated with fresh palm oil.
Every time something is grown for fuel it puts pressure on food-growing and hence land use. In this situation it means more jungle being destroyed and increased food prices, often in countries where food for everyone is already in short supply.
As for the 'hardly any CO2' claim that's bullshit bookkeeping. Burning vegetables still puts C02 into the atmosphere.
I'm guessing that most Register readers would say the day when 'robots will take over' is long, long away. This is one step on that road. Not assembly-line type robots wielding anti-tank guns, but cosseted in the hollowed-out volcanoes of corporate giants.
Here is my law: If you as a professional get questioned, possibly in court, then you have to justify your decision. You can't say "the machine told me" or "that's our procedure" and still be a professional. But hey! You are pretending to be a professional with all the appropriate knowledge and judgemental skills... except you're not. So you're a fraud and going to prison.
And another thing. (I come from Britain so I apologise if this is obvious to the US contingent.) How is 'The weird and magic machine that can't be questioned' allowed to fester when it comes to a public service? (Lots of things fester in other places but they're theoretically accountable.)
(And another thing. Nobody on this side of the Atlantic knows who/what United Healthcare is. A government program? A sneaky upstart corporation? Or what? You might know but lots of us don't. Give us a small sentence, just two words even, of alignment.)
And trying to combine that with continuous development can't possibly work because they're different mindsets. What's described here is four sub-projects trying to interface with continually changing requirements. No wonder everything is a bit of a stew of will it still work? If you're building prototypes then don't be fussing over minutiae of integration. If you're building a finished product then freeze development and get a fully tested/(know where the weaknesses are) system out of the door so the real world can tell you if your tests were realistic.
Goodness no we mustn't have that naughty red tape to restrict our capitalist heroes from bleeding their victims. Rich people == good. Poor people... Meh.
There were plenty of suspicions about Enron and lunacy crypto operations. This isn't some mega corporations fighting others but blatant lack of accountability.
Unfortunately in the UK we have the same 'keep the greed rolling' attitude from government as the US.
For a readership who pride themselves on precision and accuracy, you fail us by referring to the Toilet as a Bathroom. Why use an ambiguous word then there's an exact one in everyday use. If you feel there are Americans who may have a fit of the vapours then use a phrase like Where you pay the water rates or Turn my bike around or Ease the springs. There are many picturesque euphemisms to choose from.
Stress is the pressure the sample is under. Strain, which is what was meant, is the deformation. For example if a rope holds up a weight, the weight is stressing the rope. When the rope stretches then that's the strain. From the strain you can tell if the thing is tough or toffee.
Security bugs. I've heard of them. I remember the days of anti-virus on floppy discs. Am I supposed to panic? Reset all my passwords? Or what? (I'm all for security and all for exposing brain-dead invitations to meddle.)
So does this particular exploit mean 'all your bases are belong to us' or 'If you're hosting doomsday passwords then watch out'? The everyday world is fraught with risks from crazed axe-men to having your 1:24 model of an iconic hang glider stamped on by a loony from his own planet. Personally I look both ways before crossing the road and don't read the safety manuals on multi-KV electricity. When it comes to reports in cyber-land I'd like a bit more of a clue about actual risk. Otherwise the tabloid newspapers and their click-bait masters wind everything up to the apocalypse scenario.
He keeps amazing us with his ability to find new feet to shoot.
After a nose-dive take-over
And a clueless sackings policy
And two fingers (a few times) to his main sources of revenue, the advertisers
And a keystone-cops rebranding.
Now he does it again.
Coming soon to a train wreck near you:- I'm the only one allowed free speech.
Will the banks get him to listen or have they lost all their money?
Don't miss next weeks exciting episode, the one you'll all want to see, where Musk appoints himself ambassador to Mars.
It's a gadget with impressive abilities. Who doesn't want to take it for a drive? In realms I know about ChatGPT is about as good as 'bloke in pub with access to Wikipedia'. As a get-you-started with Bash scripts I found it excellent as my knowledge was so rusty.
Do you remember back when there were 9s in the year? The buzz phrase was 'Expert systems'. So long as LLMs are considered handy helpers and not experts, they're a clever way to have fun finding-out under the watchful eye of a human who can be bothered to treat results as suggestions.
The explosion in apps based on ChatGPT is to be welcomed as it makes some technologies accessible to ordinary people. I hope there will be better understanding of what this layer can do because we can't all be experts at everything. There's lots of work to be done in capturing the way professionals use tools but in time the machines will be asking us questions where they feel they're a bit weak on specific data rather than hoovering-up everything in the hope they can catch some hints.