You guys should know by now
In espionage and politics in particular, nothing is ever what it seems.Its akin being back the the cold war era using time tested spying and infiltration techniques to get a squint of the other players cards before he plays them.The use of puppet like pawns and feints to achieve a goal even when the poor sap doesn't know they are but a part of the bigger agenda.
As for Iraq I'm sure their were multiple scenarios discussed in regard to what would happen after the withdrawal of troops and what better way to deplete an enemies forces and reduce its effectiveness than to use internal politics and rivalry get it to fight itself