* Posts by jsam

24 publicly visible posts • joined 8 Mar 2012

Top boffin Freeman Dyson on climate change, interstellar travel, fusion, and more

jsam

The secretly funded Global Warmers' Propaganda Fund?

I see your Dyson and raise you a Hawking on climate change.

Antarctic ice at all time high: We have more to learn, says boffin

jsam
FAIL

Re: Antactica is melting too

The earth is losing a trillion tons of ice per year:

- 159 Gt Antarctic land ice, McMillan el al, GRL (2014)

+ 26 Gt Antarctic sea ice, Holland et al, J Climate (2014)

- 261 Gt Arctic sea ice, PIOMAS

- 378 Gt Greenland, Enderlin et al, GRL (2014)

- 259 Gt other land based glaciers, Gardner et al. Science (2013)

- 1,031 Gt, total

Deniers can find the 2% growth and miss the 98% shrinkage.

Swedish boffins: An Ice Age is coming, only CO2 can save us

jsam

Line 4 of the original paper's summary demonstrates Lewis is a climate denying fool

"We assume no human presence or anthropic effects, so the calculation is speculative."

Lewis is 180 degrees out. His only saving grace is that his reporting can only improve from here.

jsam

Re: 30 billion tons vs 3.7 giga tons?

An -additional- 4%. That's why it's forcing change.

jsam

Re: Graph proves article accuracy

Temperatures have been flat or declining only if you treat the Daily Mail as science.

Study: Climate was hotter in Roman, medieval times than now

jsam

Re: @Ooloons @ Posted Tuesday 10th July 2012 13:26 GMT

Only deniers (yes, you) deploy the C, for catastrophic, in CAGW. You went for the balanced view and came out unbalanced. Well done.

jsam

Re: Did Lewis read the same paper?

It's odd how he took the same line as the Faily Wail. The Register must be at least as good as the worst science reporting in the UK. Congratulations, Lewsi. And they said it couldn't be done - you keep proving them wrong.

Himalayan glaciers actually gaining ice, space scans show

jsam
FAIL

Re: Then lets take the financial incentive away

You mean don't pay scientists? Do you include doctors in that? How about geologists looking for oil? Are you paid to do anything constructive?

jsam
FAIL

Re: So which is it?

The most interesting facet of climategate was there was no gate. Multiple reviews all found the science was sound. The deniers deny even these findings. That's when you know you've hit upon a real denier - when multiple lines of evidence don't stick.

Amount of ice in Bering Sea reaches all-time record

jsam

Re: I love satire truthiness

Me too. You're wrong. http://www.skepticalscience.com/antarctica-gaining-ice.htm.

30-year-old global temperature predictions close to spot-on

jsam
Boffin

You meant to say how good the models have been, didn't you? Eg something like http://www.skepticalscience.com/Hansen-1988-prediction-advanced.htm.

jsam
Boffin

Re: Huh?

Hansen's model has proven remarkably accurate, contrary to your assertion. See http://www.skepticalscience.com/Hansen-1988-prediction.htm. Good science practiced by a good Republican scientist.

jsam
Boffin

Re: I've never understood...

Nonsense. Too much water is a flood. Too much manure is a pile of...poo. Too much CO2 is a blanket on a fevering patient.

jsam
Boffin

Re: Stating the frickin' obvious

Chaotic systems are determinstic and are modeled all the time. Chaos is not a synonym for randomness. The basic population growth equation is chaotic: trivial to program and tracks well to many populations. Newton's law of gravitation is chaotic; it can't be solved for the general N-body problem, but it can and is modeled all the time. Here's yet another case of a model yielding useful results. Time to accept the evidence of the problem and start creating solutions - high time.

Medieval warming was global – new science contradicts IPCC

jsam
Meh

Re: Seriously

"For sure" is too high a hurdle. Most everything in physical science is a theory waiting to be disproved, not proved. Newtonian gravitation is still a theory - adn Einstein upset it. AGW has been remarkably accurate for over 30 years. Time to deal with it.

jsam
Meh

Re: Looking at other things like Physics

There are stronger greenhouse gases: methane and water vapour to name but too. The one that is increasing is CO2. It will lead to the other two increasing. Methane will increase as the permfrost melts. Water vapour will increase due to a warming atmosphere. Positive feedback is not a positive development.

As for consensus, you don know that AGW wasn't accepted 30 years ago. Revell's 1955 paper was about the first to join up the greenhouse effect of CO" with calculating the order of magnitude change. So, when the consensus is even deeper in ten years, will you still be the contrarian, raling against your nurse, banging your stick on the floor and telling us how the horseless carriage is still a mistake despite its popularity?

jsam

Re: El Reg Scepticism

You're jesting, right. Pull up Hansen's 1998 predictions, add the error bars and stand back and admire his prescience - damn good. Sadly. The models work exceptionally well.

jsam
Meh

Re: Seriously

CFCs were indeed the prime cause. F Sherwood Roland received a Nobel for his work. He only died a couple of weeks back. http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/chemistry/laureates/1995/press.html

Assertions without citations, particularly those citing "cosmic rays" aren't serious.

jsam
Unhappy

Re: Seriously

No citation to substantiate your assertion? Oh dear.

jsam
Unhappy

What sealed system would that be?

Sealed system? I've not been out in days, but has the sun stopped shining altogether? Oh dear.

jsam
Meh

Re: the greenhouse effect is bogus

Ah, the greenhouse effect is basic physics, known for over a hundred years. AGW's been known for over 50. Mythbusters have a good video on CO2 causing warming; any secondary school can show it. The penny dropping moment was from the 1950s - scientists had long known CO2's effects - it was the magnitude that shocked them. See http://aip.org/history/climate/Revelle.htm.

The true, tragic cost of British wind power

jsam

Re: Lindzen is Heartland PR

As for his most recent lecture, he may have been a bit confused, http://www.skepticalscience.com/lindzens-junk-science.html. If his science is that good he really should try publishing. Peer review weans out such poor analysis before he embarasses himself (and his fervent followers).

jsam
FAIL

Lindzen is Heartland PR

Citing one scientist - and one of the diminishingly small set of climate scientists who don't work with the concensus - just isn't good enough. You need to be more skeptical about your sources, http://www.skepticalscience.com/Lindzen_Illusions.htm.

jsam
Holmes

Who funds the writing of this nonsense?

The Global Warming Protection Fund is Lord Lawson's secretive denier front. Any foreword that contains the conspiracy theory phrasing of "the facts have been hidden from the consumer who will have to pay the bill for this folly" deserves very careful scrutiny. Who knows, Gordon Hughes may yet be proven correct. But it needs to shake off the heavy history of GWPF's failure first.