Re: The real matter about HP CEO
So, not one already on the payroll then..
606 publicly visible posts • joined 7 Oct 2011
I very much suspect a deal will be done with James as this would be the right thing to do. Finding an excuse to off-load unsecured loan notes in this way is deplorable and indeed questionable, even if legal.
No doubt in my mind that Stone may find suppliers more wary of risk given recent changes and publicity.
Astute, accurate and precise analysis. History as I knew it too. Fact is that James was Stone, he was both the engine and the driver and his departure left a void that was never adequately filled or managed. Having said that, when one goes through one MBO via a VC (one that knew zulch about the business), goes through a tricky patch and requires rescue involving another VC, the debt upstairs begins to accumulate. Debt, Loan Notes, accrued interest and not enough profit is always a recipe for disaster. This latest escapade is likely to be merely the beginning of the end.
This is probably the only real and sensible option at this time even though only a few years ago, the thought of an IPO was perhaps anathema. An IPO will give it scope on the one hand but will also change the 'character' and almost 'family' aspect of its corporate history and growth. Positives but with some negatives therefore.
So, suppliers had credit insurance so it's OK to fail.... pfft....odds are they didn't given recent filings. Point is, if distributors are struggling to make a profit, brokers further down the chain feel it even more. This one has been heading for a fall for three years.
The issue here is quite simple. If, as a critical IT supplier to a business that suddenly goes down the pan into Administration, I am likely to have within my terms and conditions of supply a clause which will state that in the event of Insolvency or implied insolvency, I have a right to immediately cease supply.
If an Administrator wishes me to continue delivery in order that he (the Administrator), can maximise any recovery to fill his pockets and pay secured creditors, then he will have to put his hand into his own pocket and guarantee me payment for any ongoing supply. I may still be peeved that debt owed prior to Administration may not be paid and feel angry enough to stick two fingers up at any guaranteed future payment unless I can increase the charge to account for this.
I'm all for business recovery and continuity but there comes a point where the playing field has to be level and fair.
8/10 Venture Capitalists (no matter what their size) know sweet FA about the business their money goes into. It's all generally a case of recommendation by others, copying others or taking a punt in the hope one several comes up trumps.
I've witnessed this in the channel, those heady days of dotcom and more recently with the arrival of cloud based technology, mobility and wearable tech.