Re: Close call
"If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to sphere"?
5507 publicly visible posts • joined 1 Mar 2010
A headline from LinkedIn popped up on my phone this morning - a quote from Jensen Huang, presumably in a DTC keynote, to the effect that "Nvidia will sell $1trillion worth of GPUs between now and 2027"
I was startled enough by that dollar number, but now realise that maybe he was talking about just one DLSS rig...
>The cracks in the road to AI profitability are widening.
Their current high costs are a temporary aberration, due to their one-off hardware purchases.
Fortunately, GPUs and dedicated AI chips aren't subject to the constant development pressure and improvement treadmill that characterises the rest of the tech industry, so the AI players' huge investment in hardware can be amortised over many years, if not decades, and we can thus expect to see costs come down by orders of magnitude.
(...please note the icon before y'all angrily mash that downvote button in incoherent rage...)
*shudder*
Don't.
I once, in a former life at a very large semiconductor company, sat in a meeting to discuss a presentation that a Very Senior Executive was due to give, where an entire hour was spent discussing what color and size the heading on a powerpoint slide should be.
Icon - is it too early in the week?
Reminds me of the photos that have been released from the Epstein files. What sort of person would think, "I am standing in my room in my tighty-whities, talking to a woman who's not a family member - yes, please take a photo of us both, this is definitely a Kodak moment that I'll treasure in years to come."?
Oh, right. Peter Mandelson.
"According to Doctronic's own website, its treatment plans 'match those of board-certified clinicians 99.2% of the time,'" Mindgard noted. "With such a high level of confidence, will the SOAP be doubted?"
Which coincidentally echoes a point I made to a friend in a wide-ranging discussion about AI yesterday.
Early AIs that spouted vaguely-credible word chains half the time, and AMFM1-alike gibberish the other half, were one thing. We knew they were about as reliable as a dowsing-rod and treated their output accordingly.
But a system that is "correct" (for a domain-specific definition of the word) 99.2% of the time? Simple human nature dictates that those using it will grow increasingly complacent and remiss about double-checking it. No-one likes doing work that 99.2% of the time is completely unnecessary, right?
And then one-time-in-a-hundred, this system will confidently recommend ivermectin or bleach as a COVID remedy, and the clinicians, lulled into trusting it, will rubber-stamp its output as they did the previous 99 times.
My point is that these LLM systems become more dangerous the more "competent" they become; not because of the cliché "they will overthrow humanity", but because we'll increasingly rely on them, and like a Takata airbag or an AliExpress stepladder, everything will be hunky-dory... until it isn't.
Your article's inspired me to try these on the Intel Compute Sticks I'm currently rescuing from Windows 8 & 10 (see my comment elsewhere of a couple of days ago).
Do you know if the ISOs for BunsenLabs Carbon, or CB++, play nicely with Ventoy? Not a deal-breaker, but it does make them easier to play around with.
I've been having great fun for the last couple of days playing around with different software stacks on old Intel Compute Stick devices that I found in a drawer… complete PCs in the form factor of a disposable vape pen, just plug them into the HDMI port of a monitor & some USB power. Their original Windows 8/10 builds could charitably be described as "ambitious". OK, an Atom processor with 32GB of flash and 2GB of RAM isn't going to win any speed awards, but they run Linux Mint quite happily. Alas, Puppy Linux didn't seem too happy with my Ventoy USB drive… I may have to create dedicated boot media for that one.
When it comes to "near-future scenarios where malevolent AI rules", I'm hard-pressed to decide which would be worse: this, or having T-1000 Terminator units striding over mountains of skulls where our cities once stood.
Still, it makes lots of money for Altman and Huang and Nadella & their ilk, so it's all good, right?
Sticking with the theme of "revered and beloved authors who spoke truth in jest", I've always liked Pterry's lines, concerning Dorfl the baked-clay golem when he discusses consciousness with the city's priests:
...“We’re not listening to you! You’re not even really alive!” said a priest.
Dorfl nodded. “This Is Fundamentally True,” he said.
“See? He admits it!”
“I Suggest You Take Me And Smash Me And Grind The Bits Into Fragments And Pound The Fragments Into Powder And Mill Them Again To The Finest Dust There Can Be, And I Believe You Will Not Find A Single Atom Of Life—”
“True! Let’s do it!”
“However, In Order To Test This Fully, One Of You Must Volunteer To Undergo The Same Process.”
There was silence.
“That’s not fair,” said a priest, after a while. “All anyone has to do is bake up your dust again and you’ll be alive…”
There was more silence.
Ridcully said, “Is it only me, or are we on tricky theological ground here?”...
Curse you, you naughty person - I now have this Monty Python earworm :)
To be fair to my near-namesake above, he said our reality, which I interpret as "our perceived reality".
If I, for example, see a four-legged creature with udders standing in a field, my brain automatically flags it as "a cow", where "cow" is shorthand in my mental filing system for the combination of shape, sound, smell and mass that constitutes that creature.
A passing Frenchman perceives "une vache", his mental shorthand for... etc.
Same reality, different perception.
At which point we're into qualia and other metaphysics, and <gumby>my brain hurts</gumby>!
Japan’s Fair Trade Commission has a cute mascot called “Dokkin”...
The mind boggles. Japanese culture never ceases to amaze this gaikokujin.
So the question arises, should regulatory agencies in Western countries do similar? "Flippy, The US Federal Trade Commission Dolphin"? "Janice, the Monopolies and Mergers Commission Pushmi-pullyu"?
And the less said about the physical appearance of "Mr Ploppy, the UK Ofwat Mascot", the better...
I suppose that after implementing DOOM in Excel, surely the logical next step is to make a spreadsheet file that is Turing-complete, and from there implement CoPilot itself within the spreadsheet?
(I leave the matter of whether CP would be implemented directly, or nested within Emacs within Systemd within the spreadsheet, to the reader - note icon --->)
If you're replying to me... Kelvin is a scale that is written without the unit qualifier "degree". Quoting from Wikipedia (for what that's worth):
Orthography: According to SI convention, the kelvin is never referred to nor written as a degree.
That the Gartner author made such a schoolboy howler doesn't inspire confidence in the rigour of the rest of the report, even if (as others here have pointed out) its conclusion is correct.
It was a factory option - Buick? Oldsmobile? - briefly, back in the 50s, I seem to recall.
ObRelated: I did some cursory searching for details of the in-car product; didn't find it before my get-up-and-go got-up-and-went, but I did find this rather interesting take on the record player concept: https://hackaday.com/2021/11/24/bluetooth-record-player-puts-a-new-spin-on-vinyl/.
And what, pray, have you got against Cliff Richard, the total-and-utter King of Rock & Roll?
"Look everyone, he's coming through the doors..."
"BRILLIANT! He didn't even open them!"
"Hey kids, stop snogging and pay attention to me! Cos if you're a wild-eyed loner standing at the gates of Oblivion then hitch a ride with us, cos we're on the last freedom moped out of Nowhere City! And we haven't even told our parents what time we'll be back!"
True, and better than the modern "press 1 to be jerked around..."
What infuriates me there is the systems that prompt you for input, with multiple options, but don't allow you to make a selection until all the options have been read to you.
"Press 1 for Sales, press 2 for Supp.." 2 "Press 1 for Sales, press 2 for Support, press 3 for Billing, press 4 for Administrative Affairs..." 2 "Press 1 for Sales..."
Aaargh!
A special mention for those systems that do that, and have pauses in the stream of options, thus tricking you into entering a choice prematurely.
I rarely use this icon, but today... --->