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* Posts by cyberdemon

3170 publicly visible posts • joined 26 Jan 2010

Energy breakthrough needed to build AGI, says OpenAI boss Altman

cyberdemon Silver badge
Mushroom

Re: "in favor of renewable energy sources like nuclear fusion"

> it is taking energy locked up shortly after the Big Bang and dumping it into our environment.

Isn't that exactly what the Sun is doing? :P It won't last forever either.

Fusion has the potential to make its own fuel, to turn Lithium into Tritium + some other stuff. There is a mind-bogglingly huge amount of energy locked up in matter (see Einstein's most famous little equation) so we would never, ever run out if we were to make energy that way. Fusion is as renewable as the sun is. The sun itself is fusion after all.

However, it is not free of chemical or radioactive pollution. There would be lots of that from fusion power. More by weight and volume than fission waste, but fewer active materials, not as long-lived, not as toxic.

It's also quite impractical to get any useful energy out. Unlike fission where we can just run a coolant loop straight through the reactor, fusion has to happen at millions of degrees, and no material can survive that, so it is done in a vacuum. How do we transfer Gigawatts across a vacuum? It's tricky, especially when so much of it comes as neutron radiation.

In any case, it's looking very likely that we will have blown ourselves up with within the next few years, so it's all a bit academic.

Home improvement marketers dial up trouble from regulator

cyberdemon Silver badge

Re: remote cutoff

Installing your own meter downstream of, or even inline (with a current clamp) is not "messing with" the supplier's meter, it is just checking its accuracy.

If/when they tell me they are changing my meter, I will tell them that i disagree with the smart metering terms, so if they want to put in a new meter, it will have to be a dumb one.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Re: remote cutoff

Well, it's not just for load-shedding. It's also so that they can remotely flick customers' meters into Pre-Payment Mode, because it's easier than obtaining an increasingly-unpopular bulk court warrant to forcibly enter hundreds of properties to install pre-payment meters.

You say that you were given no choice but to have one. Does that mean they obtained a warrant to forcibly install it, or did they just convince you over the phone that you had no choice?

There are also issues with smart meters over-reading. I think it will get interesting if the UK does change the law in light of the Post Office scandal that computer systems are not automatically trusted.

There are a lot of people who have been getting spuriously high bills after having a smart meter, e.g. a pub near me had to close after receiving an electricity bill £300k higher than it should have been They queried it and got an electrician to install their own meter, which showed the smart meter was overcharging by more than a factor of 3. They are now disputing the claim with the supplier and have reopened for now.

They called it a "Programming Error", however My theory is this: The pub in question says that it has no electric heating, but it has a large quantity of big-screen TVs and LED lighting. These loads have bridge-rectifiers on the front-end and no active-PFC, which means they only take a pulse of energy at the peak of the voltage waveform (when the meter is measuring) and no energy anywhere else. The meter assumes a sinusoidal load current, and if it is not, then it will over-read.

Because of this, smart meters have been seen over-reading by as much as a factor of 6 for certain LED lights, for example.

That said, I would hope that more modern meters have resolved this er, "programming error" by sampling continuously, not just at the peak, and integrating hundreds of samples over each mains cycle.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Holmes

Re: smart meter

Doesn't need a YouTuber to tell you that remote-disconnect contactors are a feature of all smart meters, it's right there in the spec.

5.6.3.11 Disable Supply

A Command to establish a Locked state whereby the Supply is Disabled and can only be Enabled or Armed in response to a Command to Arm the Supply (as described in 5.6.3.7) or Enable the Supply (as described in 5.6.3.12)

In executing the Command ESME shall be capable of setting the Supply State(5.7.5.32) to Disabled.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Re: It's a start

That's what I do with the ones trying to foist a smart meter. Albeit a little more politely. No, I don't want one. Happy with my mechanical meter thanks. Go away.

Can solar power be beamed down from space? Yes. Is it commercially viable? Not yet

cyberdemon Silver badge

Re: Alternative uses

"steering" of storm systems? (for good or evil)

Tesla owners in deep freeze discover the cold, hard truth about EVs

cyberdemon Silver badge
Holmes

Rising prices are guaranteed

The current market is fueled by unsustainable subsidies at both ends: China dumping loss-leaders, plus Western governments giving out subsidies and tax breaks for Net Zero.

But when that system of subsidies inevitably ends, EVs will be the only option, and so only the rich will drive.

Quality will come down for a while, as western EV producers are put out of business by the loss-making Chinese ones, then the prices will go back up, but China has to recoup its loss somehow, so the quality won't improve.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Alert

Re: Frozen batteries

> Nope - mine fast charges (100kW+) at anything over ~15-18 degrees,

It's not going to last very long if you do that to it!

cyberdemon Silver badge

Here in the UK, 400kV transmission losses are about 5%, and distribution losses average 15%, so 20% overall. But that will get much higher as we increase the load and then try to "fix it in software" by throttling chargers to avoid overloading substations, instead of building more substations. Because that means lines and transformers will spend much closer to 100% of their time at max load, and losses go with the square of load

I thought that in America, the 110V lines were very short, i.e. from a pole mounted transformer outside each property.

Making them literally a mile long would be very silly indeed.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Not sure if you understood what I meant or not, but that's useful info

A Diesel genset is around 28% efficient.

A lithium battery is ~90% efficient depending on charging speed etc, and an EV traction motor can be as much as 95% efficient.

If a charging station is using a diesel to run the charging points (because it can't get enough power from the grid, as JE claims happens fairly regularly), then it has 0.28*0.9*0.95=24% overall efficiency, compared to your 33% for driving a Diesel car directly.

Therefore in this (perverse) case, the EVs have significantly more direct CO2 emissions than the Diesel cars filling up at the same station

24% vs 33% would be a factor of 0.27, i.e. even worse than my original guess. It depends on the real efficiency of the genset vs the car of course, which will be variable, but it confirms what should have been obvious: using a generator to charge an EV is utterly backwards, and I really hope it doesn't happen as often as JE says it does, but without the infrastructure, that's the only way to get "superchargers everywhere"

cyberdemon Silver badge
Facepalm

And the efficiency of charging an EV from a Diesel genset, as compared to driving a Diesel car is..?

I would guess at least 20% loss, for the combined (in)efficiency of an extra generator, transformer, charger, battery, and motor.

More of course, if the genset is still sat idling away when no EVs are charging.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Re: Norway

Yeah, it is ridiculous that you need an App. You should be able to tap a card to authorise up to £X.

But then you'd probably have to get a parking ticket if your £X ran out and your car was still sat there blocking the charging bay.

Not sure how an App helps that. But hey, they can foist anything they like onto Early Adopters.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Ah, road charging.

Yeah, thought they might do that.

And of course, everything happens first in Australia, then in the UK, then in the US and Europe. It's like Oz and Blighty are the world's guinea pigs for the authoritarian invisible hand..

But it's fine, cos nobody will need to drive more than 15 minutes, right?

cyberdemon Silver badge
Pint

Re: Tesla needs a 100 % recall

Sarky, but made me laugh. :)

cyberdemon Silver badge
Holmes

I was going to say that, but decided not to bother. Technically in the context of an EV heater, some of the heat from the wiring and battery will inevitably leak outside (well, ultimately, all of it)

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Re: re: Don't make many (preferably no) long trips.

> If EV's start to have 400mi range as standard, and Superchargers everywhere (I'd bet real money on the latter happening)

I'd bet real money on those superchargers never appearing or never being connected to the electrical grid, because a supercharger station needs at least a 1MVA electric substation, HV pylons, that need to be connected to a bigger substation, and so forth. The infrastructure to support this at a wide scale does NOT exist and is ridiculously expensive to build. It's also unreliable and vulnerable to disruption, especially as more renewables enter the mix.

cyberdemon Silver badge
WTF?

Sorry, but that's utter bollocks

The power plant has an efficiency of 30-40% if it's gas, less if it's coal. The electric distribution grid takes another 10-15%. The battery another 5-10%.

It's not a fair comparison to compare the electrical kWh in a battery to the thermal kWh in a fuel tank. EVs shift their emissions and losses elsewhere.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Thumb Up

Re: random info

Since you have a cell datasheet, can you tell me what the Absolute Minimum cell temperature is? i.e. will the electrolyte freeze and cause damage to the battery below a certain temperature?

cyberdemon Silver badge

Currently yes, but in future, they could be on the car too, to enable you to pay fuel duty on your home granny-charger.

cyberdemon Silver badge

Re: Sounds like an "Oil Company" sponsored story

The report said that the chargers weren't working, not the car. I would expect that the charger would be able to power the battery heater if it was working. But if the charger had temperature sensors in its electronics that went into fault at -40C then it would explain what is going on.

(e.g. MAX30210 temperature sensors will not read below -40 C and will have an error flag instead, who knows what temperature sensors are inside any given EV charger, but they will be built for a certain temperature range)

cyberdemon Silver badge
Gimp

Re: Kia

Why should you need an "app" for that???

Shurely there must be an option buried under 10-levels of menus on the glorified iPad that all EVs come with?

cyberdemon Silver badge

Re: Battery vs Charger

Somewhat surprising that the charger couldn't power a resistive heating element in the battery coolant circuit, if that were truly the case that the battery is too cold and is refusing to charge.

It's also possible that the charger itself has an "error" with its temperature sensors. i.e. "sensor out-of-range, assume faulty".

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Your EV already has said instruments (coulomb-counting is necessary to estimate the battery's state of charge etc.) and the means to report the data (5G connectivity in every car). The rest is just software and legislation.

EVs cause a lot of potholes and represent a huge hole in tax revenues compared to the fuel duty and vehicle excise duty that are levied on ICE vehicles. Governments WILL start taxing them when they have finished stamping out ICE vehicle production.

Also, governments just LOVE setting up bureaucracies for anything and everything. What better way to reward party donors than giving them a cushy job as a director of a new quango!

cyberdemon Silver badge

That is, of course, until your EV starts metering the charge that it receives so that the government can collect tax from it like they do for petrol/diesel.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Flame

Re: Sounds like Tesla drivers should always carry a can of petrol with them in Winter

> I heard stories like this from Siberia, where they make a fire – a real fire – under a truck's engine to warm it up before starting in the morning.

Here's the Electric equivalent to that!

https://www.businessinsider.com/electric-vehicle-owner-denmark-toaster-warm-car-battery-starts-fire-2023-12

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

All automotive heat pumps are "inverter" heat pumps, because the EV battery is DC, and all motors (except brushed ones which nobody uses for more than a few watts) use AC.

The thing that makes a heat pump reversible or not, isn't the inverter though.

I'd be very surprised if any still-in-production EV used resistive heating for the cabin except when it is too cold to use a heat-pump.

But, no heat pump is going to be 400% efficient when it is sub-zero outside. The 400% figure is useless marketing blather, because it's the max efficiency and only applies when the temperatures inside and outside are the same.

More likely, the heat pump sucks heat out of the electronics & battery coolant, but when that coolant is too cold, they need to switch to resistive heating, because running the heat-pump and chilling the battery even further would be counter-productive.

Post Office boss unable to say when biz knew Horizon could be remotely altered

cyberdemon Silver badge
Holmes

s/unable/unwilling/

Otherwise he would get himself and his mates into even deeper shit

John Deere tractors get connectivity boost with Starlink deal

cyberdemon Silver badge
Black Helicopters

Re: Who does this benefit ?

Not sure how disabling his tractor stops a striking farmer from striking, but yes.

Easy for the Davos Men (or insert your preferred villains here) to cook up a Famine with a tragic "ransomware attack" on John Deere's cloud at harvest time though!

/tinfoil

cyberdemon Silver badge
Facepalm

"Great for Farmers"

No, how about letting the farmers have access to their own data and maintenance without needing JD's cloud crap..

Deep Green gets £200M from power supplier to scale waste heat reuse

cyberdemon Silver badge

Re: The lawyers of thermodynamics would like a look at the contract.

> if you can run your heat pump using the output of a data centre then that's easily scavengable heat to convert into medium grade heat - i.e. a substantial cost saving operationally.

Err, no.

You can't even use a "geothermal source" with a heat-pump to produce economically-viable heat for a swimming pool, apparently!

https://www.energylivenews.com/2024/01/15/geothermal-lido-shuts-for-winter-due-to-high-energy-costs/

Electricity is fucking expensive in the UK, because there are so many snouts in the trough i.e. special markets for subsidising various well-connected people. So much so that a "geothermal pool" (glorified GSHP) isn't very cheap to run.

cyberdemon Silver badge

"Size of a Fridge"

From another couple of articles on the subject: https://www.energylivenews.com/2024/01/15/octopus-dives-into-data-heat/ and https://www.businessgreen.com/news/4163570/octopus-energy-invest-gbp200m-waste-heat-innovator-deep-green (paywalled, but has picture)

It would appear that this is not really a datacentre, but a small cluster of GPUs submerged in mineral oil in a "fridge-sized" unit, presumably with swimming-pool water pipes running through the oil.

To heat the pool to 30C the oil would need to be quite warm.. Somewhere in the region of 60C, i.e. die temperatures of 80C or above. (just a rough guess on those figures)

So it could work, but it sounds quite expensive for a swimming pool heater. Hard to keep it secure, too. Wouldn't be surprised if someone cracked it open with a crowbar and ran off with a couple of (oil-soaked) £20k high-end GPUs

Musk claims that venting liquid oxygen caused Starship explosion

cyberdemon Silver badge
Trollface

Re: Enough with the Elon Musk Snark

"Elon Musk Snark"

Am I the only one who now wants to make an internet meme of a Half-Life Snark with Elon's face? (someone with a bullshit-generator subscription can do it for me)

It explodes about 5 seconds after launch of course, a bit like his rocket

Big Cloud deploys thousands of GPUs for AI – yet most appear under-utilized

cyberdemon Silver badge
Meh

Not sure how you can directly link revenue to utilisation

These GPUs could be 100% occupied computing meaningless drivel that nobody wants ...

Number of orgs compromised via Ivanti VPN zero-days grows as Mandiant weighs in

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Ivanti my money back

Plus damages

Microsoft suggests command line fiddling to get faulty Windows 10 update installed

cyberdemon Silver badge
Linux

When did Windows turn into Linux?

About 20 years ago for me :)

How governments become addicted to suppliers like Fujitsu

cyberdemon Silver badge

Re: Corruption

It was not privatised in the end I know, but it was being readied for it, for sure.

Had it not been for this brewing scandal, it would have been sold off.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Re: Corruption

Right. And in that case, the original team remain on hand to maintain and support the system while they do other tasks within the internal IT dept. There is therefore an incentive to make a simple, robust and maintainable system given that it is they who will be supporting it. Whereas if you sub it out then the support bods will be low-paid plebs with no understanding of the system, long after the dev team have moved on.

The problem is the post office was being prepared for privatisation. The UK government wanted to reduce headcount, increase profits (not to mention cover up any scandalous IT disasters) so that it would look more valuable to a potential buyer.

eBay to cough up $3M after cyber-stalking couple who dared criticize the souk

cyberdemon Silver badge
Childcatcher

To the state? To the victims?? Only $3m???

Won't somebody think of the lawyers?

Former Post Office boss returns CBE to sender over computer system scandal

cyberdemon Silver badge

Re: So what was actually wrong?

Well. Doesn't necessarily have to be multithreaded for a variable to change outside the context of a non-atomic operation..

Dual-port RAM used to be popular e.g. in VME-bus systems from the 90's. Satan only knows what's inside a 90's Fujitsu Mainframe

But other than being thoroughly obtuse (could have simply returned -1*d or could have not existed at all), having an unnecessary branch, being non-atomic, and not coping with values with magnitude greater than INTMAX/2, is there anything logically flawed with that function?

Hmm. Well if it IS passed by reference, then it overwrites its input. That would be more of a problem.

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Re: So what was actually wrong?

And let me guess, the argument d was passed in by reference and could change in the background?

cyberdemon Silver badge
Holmes

Re: So what was actually wrong?

You're thinking of transactions in the context of well-designed database management systems.

This is talking about "transactions" in the context of cash, in a naiively thrown-together pile of shite which cost squillions to deliver and operate.

cyberdemon Silver badge

> about 20-30 million were stolen from postmasters

Is that a realistic estimate of the total amount stolen from postmasters, or just the total from the few cases that have been proven?

cyberdemon Silver badge

Re: How many fraud and theft cases in the 80s?

My mistake. But then why does it behave as if it were a private company, with a CEO and a corporate structure driven towards profit? That's not the case for other government departments, is it?

Kia crashes CES with modular electric vehicle concept

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Re: Standardized

Well, when they do set on fire, often the "charger" is blamed. This is because many of them are SO cheap and nasty that they simply connect a constant-voltage (current-limited if you're lucky) external charger directly to the cell string. This is BAD, because if you change the charger, then you may be using the wrong voltage or current. And even if you stick with the original (naff) charger, there is no electronics inside the battery to monitor individual cell voltages, temperature etc.

Some brands (Bosch, etc) DO have proper electronics inside the battery and are much less prone to exploding. But because nothing is standardised, there is no way of knowing except for "brand reputation".

So, in forcing USB-C, what you are actually doing is forcing manufacturers to put some electronics inside the battery, where they can put proper CC/CV charging and proper cell monitoring on a nice cheap PCB with a USB-C socket, and you are no longer dependent on a special external charger, because that part has been properly standardised.

(other power-delivery standards may be available, if the 100-240W from the latest USB-C is not good enough for your ebike, but I don't know of them. Perhaps the USB-IF needs to define a high-current connector up to 48V specifically with ebikes and power tools in mind)

cyberdemon Silver badge
Trollface

Re: Standardized

Mandatory USB-C charging? I await the 250kW PD standard.

(Actually, 48V USB-C would be a good idea for bike, skateboard batteries etc)

Cutting-edge microscopy reveals bottled water has 'up to 100 times' more bits of plastic than previously feared

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Re: Reverse Osmosis...!

Testing? This is Coca Cola we're talking about. They put Phosphoric Acid into fizzy drinks and sell them to kids, only because they aren't allowed to use Cocaine anymore ...

STMicroelectronics slims to be lean, mean, chipmaking machine

cyberdemon Silver badge
Flame

ST CubeMX, ST Cube HAL

ST's software is some of the worst shite i have ever had the misfortune to have to use.

Why make a nice clean API when you can have hundreds of thousands of lines of generated boilerplate code with a buggy Java GUI as the sole configurator tool, have they heard of configuration as code? No they have not.

No wonder they are shrinking. Adding anything to the fetid bucket of rotten spaghetti that is CubeMX must be utterly soul destroying for their poor staff

Top LLMs struggle to make accurate legal arguments

cyberdemon Silver badge
Coffee/keyboard

> Top large language models struggle to make accurate ...

Hold the Front Page! Statistical bullshit generator fails to generate accurate bullshit ...

On other pages: Grizzly bear fails to use public conveniences.. Pope Francis declines to attend wiccan nude mud-wrestling festival at solstice..

Google's TPUs could end up costing it a billion-plus, thanks to this patent challenge

cyberdemon Silver badge
Coat

Throw it out

Sorry, this argument is not differentiable.

Another airline finds loose bolts in Boeing 737-9 during post-blowout fleet inspections

cyberdemon Silver badge
Devil

Plausible Deniability

It wasn't our fault! Someone hacked our screwdrivers!