Re: First law of IoT
There is unfortunately a near future in which this problem applies to almost all cars
3673 publicly visible posts • joined 19 Jun 2009
Maybe a useful AI will be developed in our lifetimes, maybe it won't, but I don't think it will look like anything like what's being worked on at the moment.
And I think there are several more AI winters between now and when that happens, if it ever does. "X eventually happened" is no good reason to believe that a totally unrelated Y will also happen.
Then there's the West (specifically the U.S.) to consider. Their gargantuan firepower could grind the PLA into dust if they put their weight behind Taiwan's defense.
If
Also I can't help but think that China might regard US military operations within its territorial waters as a direct threat. I don't think anyone wants to find out what that escalation looks like.
So far, it's mostly being paid for by venture capital. No "AI" company has demonstrated a path to profitability and I don't think many of us will shed a single tear when they and their backers lose their shirts.
The risk is however that VC will somehow convince retirement funds to gamble on this toxic shit, and then we're all in trouble.
...there is going to be a monumental oversupply of datacentre GPUs, and their owners are going to beg people to take them off their hands. Nvidia might find demand for new ones from anyone but TLAs dries up overnight.
There's also going to be a monumental oversupply of RAM that can't be diverted to consumer channels, such as HBM, so that sucks.
Quite. The only company turning a profit from any of this LLM hype is Nvidia. Even Microsoft has stopped reporting on it directly.
Nvidia's at the point of attempting to incubate and cultivate its own customers so I assume it knows the end is nigh and is just trying to squeeze out a few more dollars in the meantime. The banks offering loans underwritten by depreciating GPUs will be left holding that bag.
Meanwhile I hope the DRAM manufacturers have a plan B for when OpenAI can't service its contracts.
The brave new world is already here
I was once very interested in EVs, however my current vehicle – which only went out of production in 2021 – has no connected features, nothing that can't be repaired by someone competent, and (if you're brave enough) even traction control that can be totally disabled by pressing a button. I think I'll have to make it last because the very near future looks like a nightmare.
David Gerard has already pointed out that it wasn't The Billboard country chart; it was the "Billboard country digital song sales chart", and all that was necessary to achieve the ranking was to spend $3k buying the song from digital music stores. Nobody even needed to listen to it once.
Generative AI doesn't need to be normalised by uncritical reporting on top of everything else.
David Gerard has a few issues with the study. Not its conclusions per se, but the fact that the authors entirely skirt around the fact that AI benchmarks are marketing rather than science, as if they're trying their hardest not to ask the question.