The Same Old Story
Huawei ban 2019 - Approx $11B US semiconductor revenues lost. Annually.
That's over $50B lost to date.
Huawei moved away from Qualcomm chips. Then the licence was revoked. Millions in revenues to Qualcomm lost. Annually.
This year Microsoft's licence to sell Windows to Huawei expired. Millions in revenues to Microsoft lost. Annually.
Huawei lost access to its ERP software. Millions in revenues to Oracle lost. Annually.
Nvidia. By now we know the story.
Away from the US. External pressure on the Netherlands to stop ASML shipping technology to China. Millions in revenues to ASML lost. Annually.
Cutting China/Huawei off from those companies (and many more) provoked the obvious:
China accelerated its plans for semiconductor self sufficiency.
Huawei invested in every single step of the chip design and manufacturing process by taking those billions (that used to go to the US) and ploughing them into Chinese companies instead.
Huawei created its own MetaERP solution. A gargantuan software initiative.
Huawei moved into the automotive/self driving sector where the BYD/Huawei pinch movement will hurt Tesla tremendously.
Huawei developed, deployed and continually improves HarmonyOS. This week it landed on the first 'desktop' machines.
Architecturally (and in spite of not being mature) it is probably far ahead of anything else out there and covers IoT through to desktops (and everything in between).
In China, HarmonyOS usage has already surpassed iOS and Apple is having a rough ride there with iPhone sales.
Huawei handset sales are on the rise.
Huawei developed Nearlink.
Huawei 'de-Americanised' over 13,000 components and 4,000 circuit boards. In record time.
In AI, Huawei is now shipping the Cloud Matrix 384 (all optical, zero copper) solution. Ascend D and Ascend 920 will be ready before year end.
There are rumours of a Huawei EUV lithography solution entering testing this year.
It's cloud business is growing.
All this in just five years.
In dollar terms, Nvidia might be the biggest individual loser but in every other metric (including foreign policy) that award goes to the US administration that not only set the ball rolling but then doubled down on absurd decisions that would be better employed in the previous century.
It pulled the plug on US semiconductor interests and accelerated efforts to speed them down the drain. All without having the faintest idea of the damage it was doing - to itself.
Who would like to guess where China will be in five years from now?