Re: Strange
No problem if that's your actual opinion but could you perhaps be thinking of the New York Post?
If you do mean the Times, could I ask why they're so objectionable to you?
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I think you're restricting yourself to the pop culture definition of hacking, rather than the broader tech understanding of the word. The NYT exhibit could be regarded as something of a hack because an individual who has not accessed the NYT's site is unlikely to have access to the URLs or opening paragraph.
Therefore, if the legal argument for the NYT rests on regurgitation, they'll have a difficult time demonstrating that anything approaching a typical user would be exposed to a copy of a given article. I don't think Open AI have ever denied ingesting articles but I also don't think the whole NYT case hinges on regurgitation; it seems more like overly expensive lawyer showmanship on both sides of this particular exhibit/counterargument.
That's definitely a worry but I don't place it as appreciably worse than the same bad guy doing it with radiotherapy sources, which can have orders less security and accounting. Even worse, there's still likely ex-Soviet RTGs sitting around (in and outside of Russia) that have no extant records for them. The 'refining' and 'research' bit makes me think they meant something else.
Could you please expand on your concerns for "refining and research"? It's a bit of a rabbit hole, since we don't explicitly know it's spent fuel but, personally and not as someone who works in that field, I don't view bad people acquiring nuclear waste as significantly worse than them acquiring, for example, a similar quantity of radiotherapy sources. However, I'm still very interested to hear another perspective on this.
I would be more concerned by them acquiring yellowcake because, based on my understanding, it's easier to start from scratch with a pile than it is to recover isotopes. This is why fuel reprocessing is controversial - it takes a large amount of investment and sophistication to recover 239 from spent fuel because it's such an appalling mix of isotopes with much more complex recovery chemistries than fuel which has been bred specifically for the purpose of Pu-239 production.
From the linked report:
In particular, the laboratory determined that the isotope composition of the plutonium found in the Nuclear Samples is weapons-grade, meaning that the plutonium, if produced in sufficient quantities, would be suitable for use in a nuclear weapon.
That sounds like a far cry from material ready for a primary, it could just as easily be a barrel of spent reactor fuel. All 'weapons-grade' means in this context is Pu-239, as opposed to other isotopes and reprocessing is job and a half. It would be interesting to know if it also contained Pu-240 but I have my doubts they'll release this information.
I'd have expected the opposite: Musk parading the patient around to journalists (assuming all is reasonably well). As it is, I think they're erring on the side of caution to protect the patient's privacy.
If I were a terminal disease sufferer who had just regained some facilities but was still facing a severely shortened lifespan, the last thing I'd want is to be swarmed by journalists at both extremes of the Musk opinion spectrum when I'm trying to make the best of the risk I took.
I'd add that, in addition to desperation, the trial patient likely doesn't have very long to live (it's been speculated they're an ALS patient) so they're possibly quite willing to risk shortening an already severely restricted life for the potential opportunities.
That's what it amounted to in the end but there were quite a few genuine research attempts. They just received an order less funding than required for proper exploration. The big mystery, to me, is whether Edward Teller was toying with a big unworkable idea, like the classic Super or a workable one, like Teller-Ulam.
There have been cases of proper fission reactors (as opposed to the cited RTGs) being put into earth orbit. The Soviets used a few of them for orbital radar systems (RORSAT) and the US toyed with them (SNAP). They were employed where high power, high endurance electricity supplies were required in an orbit that made solar unsuitable.
SDI was defensive, meant to intercept missiles in flight. It didn't really offer an offensive capability that the equivalent cost in conventional nukes wouldn't massively exceed and it was also a pretty overpriced way to take out a satellite. It never really went anywhere because a number of key technologies, primarily a nuclear pumped X ray laser, were never developed.
I support personal freedom on this point but it's tinged with how appalling the stuff smells. I don't know why but it seems particularly bad in Britain. What I smell coming out of cars (!) in the US and cafes in the Netherlands doesn't seem to have quite the same body odour/rotten onion smell.
I imagine it would be far more damaging to their bottom line to have to publicly disclose (in court) that nepotism with a side helping of poor security (not picking up the unusual destination) led to the loss of valuable equipment than simply eating the cost of a unit replacement.
That's true but it assumes everything goes well with the graveyard manoeuvre and there are no collisions while they linger for decades (spilling parts of the satellite across useful orbits). Unlike very low orbits, the reduced drag means that tiny debris can also hang around for a significant amount of time.
I remember distinctly when the Mach 3 went from a razor that lasted weeks to one that lasted days. You'd occasionally find old stock and the difference was clear. Personally, I went electric because it's easier to have in the car if I suddenly need to look presentable; weirdness of shaving in the car park aside.
I would say longer but how much longer is a really interesting question. On the surface, it looks like an optical fibre should last almost indefinitely once buried because it's ultra pure glass. However, the ground shifts, protective layers decay and animals (including humans) cause damage. Naturally, these can be repaired with splices but every splice degrades the fibre and the longer the fibre, the exponentially higher the chance that cumulative damage will eventually reach an irreparable point more quickly.
This means that the most remote areas (needing longer runs) probably won't enjoy as much of a cumulative saving as you might expect and, unlike satellites, every failure must be repaired/replaced for every corresponding area to stay online. This is why I believe deep analysis of the problem is needed, rather than a random ping pong of snappy bullet points.
I'm not too sure on your assessment for the number of Starlink sattelites. Simply achieving global coverage could be pulled off with a little over 1k while the current increases are all about bandwidth, which is a function of density. Naturally, it's not possible to have arbitrary density increases over a given spot but if the number of subscribers were to drop to those on the very geographic fringes, the needed bandwidth density would also drop.
Starship has the potential to make the costs drop and will enable next generation sattelites that are much larger and can offer more bandwidth per unit, as well as better optical meshing (decreasing the restrictions on uplink stations). All this, to me, adds up to a fairly consistent drop in the cost per bandwidth density.
I think that growth might not be guaranteed but, even then, could still happen as areas without reliable Internet develop and, in turn, enjoy the developmental benefits of high speed Internet access. Perhaps Musk may be unhappy with poor growth but I don't forsee the scenario you envision.
There will be a crossover point. Based on 300t of carbon per starlink launch and 8kg of carbon per km of fibre laid overland, that's equivalent to 37.5Mm of fibre but some 5.7Gm of fibre for Internet connectivity was sold in the UK in 2021 alone and, by 2022, that only yielded (in conjunction with existing fibre) 42% of homes on full fibre broadband.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-measures-protect-uks-88m-optical-fibre-cables-industry
Obviously, there's the potential for multiple strands to be laid in the same trench and all of it may not have been laid yet but, assuming it were laid singly, doing so would emit more carbon than 150 Falcon 9 launches. Perhaps in a very densely populated country like the UK, almost everyone could be connected up for less carbon emissions than Starlink but there will be outliers and there are plenty of sparser countries.
I would suggest that no one method is "best" for everyone and the ideal solution is to find the balance point where the lowest carbon solution can be applied. If fibre works out best for one customer, use fibre, if Starlink or similar works out best for another customer, use that. In the meantime, while the fibre barons are stalling, perhaps Starlink and other similar services which might arise later could fill the gap, because Internet connectivity is important.
Geostationary isn't ideal because, in addition to latency, it takes a lot more energy to get the satellites up there and they take a lot longer to come down (long after they become broken or obsolete).
That sounds like quite a reach, bordering on mental gymnastics. Good journalists publish retractions, corrections and clarifications. Provided they're not doing it due to past carelessness, that's part of what makes for a good journalist. The fact that Isaacson had more to gain by going with the juicier narrative than correcting himself makes me think he is a good journalist.
Given Musk's thin skin and poor impulse control, I would expect that if he had flying monkeys (simian or solicitous) which were that effective, he would have been able to do things like stopping the tracking of his private jet without resorting to the obviously childish banning of the Twitter account. One could equally say that the use of a simple clarification rather than pulling the book from the shelves for editing shows that Isaacson wasn't under significant duress but I'd say that, either way, it's not really a great piece of evidence.
Regarding the 100km, I wouldn't ascribe that as indicative of accuracy, it's a nice round number for describing how a sanction-compliant coverage blackout would also extend into the sea. Regarding the Ukrainian forces sending drones on the thought, "we don't know what we don't know" is a common military issue that's never been satisfactorily addressed and creates issues to this day. Case in point: the materiel failures Russia is experiencing.
I never disagreed with Musk being a revisionist but it seems like you're trying to be a little revisionist yourself by placing weight on one quote from a journalist while simultaneously dismissing a direct clarification from him. There's plenty of reasons to criticise Musk; indeed, there's plenty of reasons to criticise Musk over the reality of this event, I just think it's poor form to try to push a narrative that meets with your preconceptions.
Sorry, I probably didn't word that correctly. The person who made the claim in your cited article (Isaacson) issued the above quoted correction, not Musk. I agree on reading around but I think that someone correcting themselves is pretty conclusive in the absence of further corrections (and signs of being beaten).
Thanks, I did think it was a case of he said/he said but, going back to the Snopes article, the original author of the book quoted there did clarify
https://www.snopes.com/news/2023/09/14/musk-internet-access-crimea-ukraine/
"To clarify on the Starlink issue: the Ukrainians THOUGHT coverage was enabled all the way to Crimea, but it was not. They asked Musk to enable it for their drone sub attack on the Russian fleet. Musk did not enable it, because he thought, probably correctly, that would cause a major war."
In either case, it seems like Musk should have taken direction from the Pentagon (I imagine they have a 24 hour support number). I expect the Pentagon would have said" if you don't let us use Starlink, we'll let us use Starlink" and may well have said this later on.
I think the switch off claim was given credence by the Medvedev quote. This may have been a mistranslation or a Russian attempt at misinformation.
Has that since been confirmed? The last time I read about that story on a fact checking website (Snopes), it was claimed that Starlink was never operating in Crimea (the area where it is alleged to have been deactivated, not across Ukraine, in any of the sources I've read) due to US sanctions. Supposedly, Musk received a last minute request to enable it in Crimea and balked. This clarification too may be out of date as well.
The issue is that many of the terminals used legitimately by Ukrainians are donated so there isn't one easy to tap into register.
Probably, a better way to have handled this would have been to talk to Starlink quietly so that a plan can be worked out without telegraphing to Russia that the jig is up. Equally, they may have tried this and are unhappy with the pace so are using publicity to pressure.
Using a geographic blackout is difficult too because it may cause units near the front line to stop working, so it would probably help for Ukrainian planners to work out the optimum strategy for their advantage.
The quote specifically pertains to cybercrime. The specific concern for cybercrime is that corporatisation means compartmentalisation. With independent criminals, they have to be skilled at everything from identifying attack points to coding and getting paid anonymously. If they're now a contractor to a cybercrime corporation, there's less chance of them being caught if those deploying the attack are unmasked; there is a lower threshold for the motivation of a payout to overcome the concern of being caught and the corporation will be able to employ an expert specifically on achieving anonymity during payouts.
As with any organised crime, the organisation part makes it harder to tackle, especially when your first job is simply figuring out who you're actually after.
It's not mentioned in that release but the RBI did mention it in a 2022 concept note:
https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/PublicationReportDetails.aspx?UrlPage&ID=1218
It can also have other implications for monetary policy transmission as tokens may have an expiry date, by which they would need to be spent, thus ensuring consumption.
I think, with universal adoption (a long way off, even in the most controlling countries) it would become hard to run a black market because, at any sort of scale, they're still run on fiat cash. I acknowledge that people could barter but that would rely on a black market producer or high levels of sustainable theft. This may be a black swan theory but it seems fairly trivial with a CBDC for a government to identify people exchanging their limited tokens for non-limited ones. Perhaps someone else will issue their own currency but that seems like a lot of trust to place in your black market merchant.
Perhaps CBDCs will never fully supplant cash but, if they did, I can see it making black markets (outside of local barter) extremely difficult.
Programmable, traceable currency grants a level of control over people's lives that I don't think has ever been achieved across a whole nation in history. That's not to say bad things will definitely happen if it's adopted by a given nation, it just gives government the opportunity.
I expect, if the time comes, people will be told that normal currency is only really used by criminals and to please think of the children.
They have those powers but they have to be periodically re-authorised. All your favourite invasive acts, like PATRIOT and Protect are FISA reviews and re-authorisations.
FISA was originally sold as a way to ensure agencies better respected people's rights. In the event, it not only empowered them to do more but the reviews, rather than curtailing even more invasive activities, ended up as rubber stamping exercises with a side of some agencies revealing that even following FISA was too much hassle and getting it ammended for their convinience.
I wouldn't use them roaming around but I was doing a job that involved a lot of travelling around the time Oculus was available on Samsung devices. Sitting in a waiting lounge, it was nice to escape into a virtual cinema. The biggest two annoyances were the lack of awareness and that, being run on my phone, I had to be meticulous about cleaning the screen before use because a dust particle would be enormous and clear. I wouldn't spend $3500 for a more polished version of this but under £1k, I'd be sorely tempted.
Counterintuitively, I also found it quite good for relieving motion sickness on ships, though the vessel turning would require some manual resetting of the device as my chair in the "cinema" turned.
A CBDC isn't mined, it's issued by a central authority. It's basically the exact opposite of a proof-of-work cryptocurrency because it concentrates the authority centrally and grants them supreme control to do things like set the expiry date or usage limitations of any arbitrary token or tokens in a wallet. For example, a universal credit payment where a certain portion could only be used at approved supermarkets to purchase approved items and any remaining money in that portion expires at the end of the month or adjusting the interest rate on savings directly (even negative interest) to prompt people to stimulate the economy.
"no way of tracking employees coming and going because they are not locations where Dell badges work"
Not that this is commentary on the rightness of the policy but I hope this particular employee isn't tempted to not come in, based on this idea. I don't have inside information on Dell's corporate network but I expect there's at least rudimentary logging of where connections are being made from and when.