Re: Hmm
Why on earth would anyone believe that anything not subject to WTO rules (services and banking) would stop the day there is no agreement? It will be repatriated back to the Single Market at the EU's leisure.
(I suspect the grace to trade services will stop in a different sector every 6 or 12 months, primarily for the EU's convenience in restructuring, but they won't mind that it gives a repeated reminder that a Hard Brexit means re-instating standard 3rd country trade barriers, ending the UK's free trade in services.)
It is inconceivable that the EU will allow the UK to continue free trade in services indefinitely, without corresponding free movement of labour.
And the recession was wiped out by Covid, Covid gave a massive hit to the economy in a *single* quarter, so it doesn't count as a recession. Those areas immune to Brexit recover, those not will not, meaning the only was is up. Just not as fast or as high.