"What's being planned for is a steady ramping up of supply and delivery capabilities."
We might be able to reach 3m vaccinations/week by sumer if we are lucky - realisticaly we will be around 2m/week after the initial ramp up period. There is also likely to be a tail in some areas due to a slower ramp up in terms of hitting vulnerable groups.
Either way, you end up with 4m in the next 4 weeks with a 2 week delay or 8m in the next 4 weeks with a single dose and that is a significant advantage at 65% effectiveness. If it turns out that the effectiveness continues to rise aftr the two week period as is believed, that effectiveness may be even higher.
As long as the 12 week figure isn't reached for most cases (i.e. delays only due to individual circumstances) it was likely a worst case for limited vaccine supply and better than creating panic if supplies were not available.
Biting the hand that feeds IT
