Reply to post: Re: Beware survival bias

The Wristwatch of the Long Now: When your MTBF is two centuries

BebopWeBop

Re: Beware survival bias

The link to survivor bias is a good one, I think the point here is that it is referring to a device that, while it was not engineered intentionally to be long-lasting, it was built out of the best materials available and with the most precise mechanical engineering at the time of construction. It is also, one assumes a near 'one off' so making statistical predictions becomes difficult.

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