Re: 2XXX
No way will we need that third X. Microsoft have no new products that look capable of sustaining their historic position within the industry. They've given up on "devices" and they've largely lost on servers. They survive on desktops on the strength of their ability to run programs from a decade or so ago, but the result of *that* is that the current version of Windows is almost crushed under its own weight of back-compat crap.
They aren't dead yet, but in 2025 we may look back at 2017 and say "Yeah, the signs were already there.".
And to the naysayers who point to the cash pile I say just that it is all virtual money and another company (probably not Apple, Google or Amazon, although they are probably big enough) will eventually have a big enough pile of its own to *buy* Microsoft for its IP and promptly shut down the day-to-day operation as an act of mercy.