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RIP Stanislav Petrov: Russian colonel who saved world from all-out nuclear war

Anonymous Coward
Anonymous Coward

Of course North Korea is going for nukes, wouldn't you if you were them?

Gaddafi was going for nukes and traded his nuclear programme away for oil and trade, and look how that turned out for him! No one would believe the west in any "Give up your nukes and we'll give you this and leave you alone." negotiation any more.

They also know China will never allow a US backed unified Korea on their southern border, so China will begrudgingly play ball with sanctions only so far.

My prediction: North Korea will get it's nuclear ICBM, and we'll have' the Cuban missile crisis in reverse: The US will put nukes in South Korea. China will have an apoplectic fit and make all sorts of threats. Eventually the US will offer to back down as long as China make Kim give up his new nuclear toys.

Kim will agree, only if China agree to remove all trade sanctions, veto any new ones, and renew their mutual defence pact with North Korea, promising to defend them from any South Korea attack, and from the US, including giving North Korea the latest military hardware.

Kim gets what he wants most: surety of no international regime changing intervention; and secondly (assuming he actually wants this), a slightly better life for the citizens of North Korea.

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