Re: Getting the wrong demographics adjustments
Brexit, Trump and this election polls got it wrong because they did not perform the demographics adjustment correctly
Maybe. Another thing is: Who do these pollsters ask?
Who will answer the phone when caller-id is blocked or the number is unknown? Old people, morons and people waiting specifically to be contacted by a doctor or such! Who answers on-line-polls? Morons! Who will stop in the street and talk to "facers"? No-one who has anything better to do, that's who!
The other thing is that the people doing these surveys are temps, students and call-centre drones. They have performance metrics, "x calls per hour, y surveys done per contact" or we take your chair, desk then the sack (my sister worked in a call centre). Why not make up some stuff, go home early and collect the money? It's not like anyone really Checks (my sister worked in a call centre)!
So the sampling is pretty skewed, I think. And the data pretty dodgy too.
Biting the hand that feeds IT
