Re: The Year of the Linux desktop (in China at least) : 2035?
I suspect that the government of the PROC would be reluctant to disclose this info, even thought it very probably has it.
20 years ago, 92% of software in China was pirated.
https://www.theregister.com/2012/05/28/china_software_piracy_stats/
There have been many big crackdowns:
https://www.theregister.com/Print/2012/12/03/microsoft_shanghai_ruichang_piracy_payout/
... and big payments to go legit:
https://www.theregister.com/2012/07/19/china_government_spending_software_piracy/
But that doubtless does not delight The Powers That Be.
Allegedly it is way down:
https://www.theregister.com/2012/05/28/china_software_piracy_stats/
But I suspect that an edict from TPTB which says "switch to Linux *or else*" will have a marked effect, and that's what is underway.
Officially this is the last year of the 3:5:2 programme.
I suspect, in reality, if they can get pirated Windows down to a single-digit percentage, they will be relatively happy and probably not push for complete extirpation if it would break stuff... and I bet it would.
And of course there was also this:
https://www.theregister.com/2015/03/19/pirates_to_get_windows_10_for_free/
You can install a pirated copy of Windows 7 or 8.x, crack it, and upgrade it to Win10. Then extract the product key, wipe the machine, and reinstall a clean copy of Win10, and activate it with that key.
The result is a clean copy of licensed Windows with no crack or anything on the system. I've tested it: it worked.
(The machine was wiped and given away long afterwards, BTW.)
I suspect that quite a few companies do this to get into compliance, not just in China but around the world.