1. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

    BoM

    I just wanted to compliment the Australian meteorological people for being able to supply (free of charge) an amazing facility. This product can be used to forecast earthquakes, Tornadoes/Derechos and Tropical Storms along with (something I am still working on) volcanic activity.

    Get it here:

    http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=UTC&area=SH&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+View

  2. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

    Teleconnections

    I just realised something about the above link and teleconnections that explains simple concepts like how the standing wave at Iceland called the Icelandic Low works. I was watching one of you lot destroy a microchip in a microwave. Horses for courses; that is what people like you do.

    The video showed me what an Arphid looks like. Just a copper coil of a certain size in the middle of which is the electronic bit. You put the contraption in a microwave and it makes a pretty reaction. Not that dissimilar to toothache.

    The gubbins in the middle of the coil corresponds to the eye of a cyclone and the location of the RFID (inside a microwave oven) corresponds to the geo-location called the North Atlantic, more precisely the region between Greenland and Norway -The Norwegian Sea. That location is an echo-box for the sound signals that cause storms.

    I am pretty sure that I don't have to explain the rest to you. But I do have to do so for me, it's called closure.

    Microwaves react with the coil because the frequency of the beam from a magnetron oscillates at one of the resonances that the coil magnifies. Imagine a beam of light whose cone is the same diameter as the coil. Because it fits and doesn't move away quickly enough (corresponding to wind shear) the beam builds up amplitude until the resonation destroys the chip in the eye.

    The problem we are left with is not the disconcerting feeling that everything you have been told to believe in about other geo-phenomema now needs reappraisal. I dare say you can easily make the connections between resonances and earthquakes and volcanic eruptions for yourselves?

    What next needs your careful consideration is that there is a first cause to these things that is as instantaneous as the switch on a microwave oven. The thought occurs to me that some of you might like a link to the site I was looking at?

    https://youtu.be/VpEVkiMU18s

  3. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

    Push dare or swim?

    Equinox and nothing funny yet. It's always good when aircraft start falling out of the sky; it makes forecasting so easy. Or it did. These days we have the Line-Storm conundrum. Previously, you could tell the difference between an earthquake and a storm by way of its bounce. If it slides into oblivion it is an earthquake if it bounces off then comes back for more, it's a storm.

    You can see what I mean from the BoM chart for these:

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160318_rpts.html

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160317_rpts.html

    If you archived them (like I do;~)

    The problem is the disparity between Norman Time and Universal Time. But we can't have everything, so we just have to live with these:

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160323_rpts.html

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160324_rpts.html

    Or not, as the case may be. I was just thinking about all this when reading:

    "There has been little doubt recently that this has been the final break-down.

    Here's a rather interesting snippet:

    On Wednesday 16th March the 50-80 deg N 10hPa zonal wind was a 25m/s easterly. This is the strongest easterly for any day on record (since 1948). It means that this past winter broke the all-time records for both strongest westerly and strongly easterly 10hPa zonal winds - and only 49 days apart.

    Roll on summer indeed. We've already had a couple of 21 deg C days here this spring but it's been a roller-coaster of temperatures, as it often is in the Midwest at this time of year. It looks like we have further anomalously cold shots coming east of the Rockies (and especially east of the Mississippi Valley) into April: western upper ridge and eastern trough re-emerging (positive PNA pattern), likely to be partly driven by MJO strengthening around Phase 8."

    With corroborating forecasts for Wednesday from the MetOffice, as I like to say:

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/surface-pressure/#?tab=surfacePressureColour&fcTime=1458691200

    Because it is always nice to have a backup.

  4. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

    Take 5

    There is a nice little reminder from The Register when you post a reply it goes something like:

    "Thank you for wasting your time on here.

    Rather than settling world shaking disputes, why not take some more to go and put the kettle on, while our HHTP website sorts through its java-script-knicker-elastic, to see which has the most drawer. You have 10 minutes to wait, anyway, before you can forget about your spelling mistakes and start wondering about your next reply. Why not read on?

    Perhaps they should edit that to:

    "Our server is mulling your post, if you keep hitting F5 often enough you might have a chance to rephrase some of your nonsense. Be sure to scroll down through more popular posts than your, to check you have not been binned."

  5. This post has been deleted by its author

    1. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

      Whose Jake?

      And what has he to say that is more interesting than Line-Storms, Earthquakes and Volcanic Eruptions unless of course it is sudden stratospheric warmings?

      You are not a greenie are you or a geologist?

      If you hadn't a clue until I introduced you to Mr Clue by the 24th:

      These were the line storms

      http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160323_rpts.html

      http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160324_rpts.html <<< note date

      The earthquake is not due until the next one or possibly the day after.

      Then we get news of increased volcanic activity and then we .. wait where am I?

      Oh yes SSWs. I haven't done much with them so I am not sure how interesting they are. If you are a geologist it would be better for your health if you fuck off now. If you are a greenie this is still going to hurt. That can't be helped. Maybe you will learn something, it's never too late but more likely you will prefer to take my advice. In which case:

      Byeee!

  6. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

    He is coming in the clouds

    Do you make it leap like a locust, striking terror with its proud snorting?

    And I saw before me https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1fszkxcJt7U

    She is hardened against her young ones, as though they were not hers: her labour is in vain without fear;

    because God has made her forget wisdom and given her no share in understanding. Yet when she spreads her feathers to run, she laughs at horse and rider.

    Hacking god?

    Fancy having a go?

    God speaks to men any way he chooses, consider my first post on here: The charts on BoM; where am I going with that?

    Here is another one for you :~]

    After posting this link to a NOAA affiliated website I found myself locked out. They probably just upgraded their security. Or maybe not?

    I got warned off them before. I stayed away for about 8 years but came up with stuff I thought they should know. You'd think they'd be interested, wouldn't you?

    https://skywarnforum.com/threads/the-north-atlantic-signals.10422/

    IF YOU ARE UNABLE TO ACCESS YOUR ACCOUNT, THIS MAY BE DUE TO ISSUES INVOLVING THE MERGE OF SKYWARN ONLINE INTO SKYWARN FORUM. PLEASE REGISTER A NEW ACCOUNT AND THEN CONTACT SHAWN GOSSMAN ON THE FORUM AND HE WILL MERGE YOUR OLD ACCOUNT WITH YOUR NEW ONE SO THAT YOU DON'T LOSE ANY OF YOUR POSTS AND CONTENT. WE'RE SORRY FOR ANY ISSUES THIS MIGHT HAVE CAUSED YOU!

    Hmm... Shall I give them another chance?

    Nah... I don't think so. If they want to know anything they can just come and ask me, they live close enough to Utah they probably know how often I go to the toilet -even the quality of toilet paper I use

    Paranoid ?

    Eat my shit NSA!

  7. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

    The back door to heaven

    Heaven's got back doors; of course it has.

    How do you suppose Satan gets in there?

    He is god's son same as all the other angels, so why would they want to keep him out?

    He is a liar and a killer so he can't be found with god. None the less, there were a couple of times, at least, when he presented himself to god and god asked him what had he been up to?

    "Just surfing Earth."

    "Have you noticed my servant Job?"

    "What about him?"

    "There is nobody like him on that planet"

    "Give him to me for a few days and I'd make his pips squeak."

    "He's yours but look after him."

    So what is all this about a back door?

    Well I am not talking abut a computer hack obviously. I doubt they have cable in heaven but even so; volcanoes are famous for their ability to produce pure glass and we know that all sorts of strange purification creatures live in their vents or bowels. So we know plenty of back-doors to hell. And what lives there.

    We know one more thing about heaven besides the kinds of creation that live there. Apparently cherubim and Seraphin are the guards and we know that Satan and his brothers are in a state of dense darkness, presumably this is so, even in heaven. Maybe I am assuming too much but isn't it logical that the guards would surround him and god, like white blood-cells, when the demons are there and consequently, they would block Satan off like the clot he is from any access to Jehovah?

    So; this other thing, there was going to be a war in heaven. You can't really imagine all the angels attacking each other on white horses not with spears and cudgels. And shedding blood all over the place. Can you?

    So what sort of a war are we talking about. Obviously it was a case-at-law sort of a war. So how would the arch-angel win such a war?

    Because he was a mighty god and all power was given to him. All he had to do was call off his guards they had the job of defending heaven, so if he asked them to step aside and they obeyed him...

    Where were the demons going to hide?

    Well the Bible has already told us that answer. Jesus chucked them out. So there was obviously a door. But I have just described a root-kit too, haven't I?

    Or some sort of anti-virus-ware. How many demons do you think have been back to see god in the time of the Feet of Clay?

    One?

    Their leader?

    or... None?

    Because all the good guys would let him become exposed to Jehovah. "Try that on!"

    Now Satan is roaring with pain and fear and hunger.

    Jesus has washed out their grub. After the Flood, they no longer had root but now they don't even have a password either.

    I'm not making this up. It is all there in the bible, ask any Missionary or Witness about what it says in the bible next time they knock on your door. See for yourself if I am lying. It's not me that made this up. I'm not telling you anything that you can believe. Why does it have to be a matter of religious faith when you can just look for yourself and bloody well see it straight for what it is?

    You can forecast Line Storms -I just showed you how. And Volcanoes are almost exactly the same.

    But Earthquakes are easier to forecast. There's any amount of ways for forecasting them. Bloody fools call me a liar, when all they need to do is damned well look.

    Some people would make a saint swear.

    1. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

      Re: The back door to heaven

      > Now Satan is roaring with pain and fear and hunger.

      I've got gout and it flared up recently I have had toothache for a week and subsequent loss of sleep; so if I am a little teenie tiny bit irascible I hope you can put up with me.

      This was about the so called five eyes. How would god attack them?

      Let's start with the feet of clay. Or iron partly mixed with clay. What is reinforced concrete made of?

      I don't think they used reinforcing in the first century and therefore it was unlikely used in Daniels time either. But you make concrete out of clay. And if we are living in that era then he is going to start tearing a lump out of a mountain soon isn't he?

      And pointing it at the last Empire. I presume you can guess who that must be since the British one fell in disgrace in the 1940's. And what is the USA famous for but the intrusiveness of its armed forces. They were traditionally the first things to fail in any hand-overs of biblical times, that and the economies.

      It occurred to me the stone doesn't have to be a solid block nor does it have to be a stone. Silicon would fit the clues given. I am not saying I am right, just that if you are looking diligently you might want to be keeping your mind open as well as your eyes. All five of them.

      Line-storms are traditionally the province of the mid west and the USA has been badly hit by the weather in recent days. I was just wondering that if we were to bring it all down on ourselves what would be the worst or best way of doing it. There is so much poetry in god's activities that well, I don't have to draw you a picture, do I?

      I did go back to the SkyWarn Forum which aptly, has a section called The War Room and I couldn't resist:

      https://skywarnforum.com/threads/valid-title.10523/#post-75669

      "If you look at any list of earthquakes greater than 5.5M. it will lead you to derechos

      http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/> 160308 < _rpts.html Day/Month/Year < USA format.

      There is one exception; that was an Indonesian quake... "

      I think that was an Australian Line-storm. I haven't looked at much of that stuff, for the usual reasons that I was busy doing other stuff, e.g. the Chilean quakes always seem to run in a line from Fiji through Gibraltar and then around and along the Weddel Sea, home. (There seems to be some sort of a Fijian Triangle with earthquakes.)

      About the fear:

      I have tooth ache and learned something about psychosomatics today. I have been thinking of little else to tell the truth. I was on a course that should have hurt my brain with confusion as it does with people my age. But instead of warming my brain it went straight to my teeth. Or one of them. And they all rang out in sympathy. I've hung on because there is a volcanic eruption due and I usually suffer accordingly and so, since I was going to be in for it anyway...

      Normally it is a crick in the neck/shoulder or lower back but this bout seems more odd than previously.

      Anyway we are not supposed to be the ones in fear. In fact quite the opposite. It's a simple decision we have to make. (If I am not wrong.) Think about it: What did Jesus ever say that would lead anyone to think he is a vengeful bastard like the rest of us, well like me anyway?

      So what have we got to fear?

      It might be good, Hell, it may be fun.

  8. This post has been deleted by its author

    1. allthecoolshortnamesweretaken

      Well, reading them backwards or skipping every nth word doesn't seem to work... frankly, amanfrommars1's posts are easier to parse. After the first two posts I was waiting for him to start harping about HAARP, but no. Let's give him a couple of days to sort it out, shall we?

      1. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

        > Let's give him a couple of days to sort it out, shall we?

        I'd forgotten about that post. That one was about the Apple case and the lucicrous bullying and more importantly wait... when Did I post that one on here?

        Damn you have woken me up you bastards. I won't be able to sleep for ages now.

        OK. I'll go and get another coffee. This had better be worth it.

    2. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

      > Are these some kind of obfuscated messages?

      Yes.

      Damn, I came here to post another one but all this unexpected activity has made me forget what it was.

      Let me go through them for you:

      The first one is about the technology of Australian Global Model originally based on the Richardson pre-computer pre-computed days. A certain Glowballs denier pointed out that the Antarctic has only a few thermometers and yet the Australians can compile a supermodel of the Polar Seas.

      If Glowballs is such an important problem then how come they had to do it like that.

      And of course if there is unusual planetary activity, what could be causing it -or is this the Koch brothers' chopping all the trees down in wherever it was in the 1960's or 70's to make newspaper possible or something to with scouring the last of the continental shelves and then throwing all the fish that we killed back until we catch better ones until the sea floor is fucked up beyond recognition or as the greenies say, due to an increase of 300 or so ppm of co2 in the last 100 years-or whatever?

      I prefer to think of it as something else. (That is: Not the latter.)

      The next one was about radio frequencies and destruction engineering or as I like to think about earth-science: Terra-forming. As for the rest I am too tired now to waste my time on anyone that might be supercilious.

      But I had something to say so I will be back when I have had time to recover -if you are still interested, or even whatever. Oh yes, people with gout are extra-ordinarily sensitive to IR. We can sense how long a heater has been switched off, for example. I was going to suggest that they could be trained for land mine clearing. If anyone knows what the pay is I might be interested. No promises -besides, how do I find out if it's even possible. Ah well. Some other time.

      1. allthecoolshortnamesweretaken

        "I was going to suggest that they could be trained for land mine clearing. If anyone knows what the pay is I might be interested. No promises -besides, how do I find out if it's even possible."

        Well, if I remember my army training re landmines correctly, there is a way to find out - but you're NOT going to like it.

        1. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

          Honey to a Locust?

          Are you kidding me?

          > Well, if I remember my army training re land-mines correctly, there is a way to find out - but you're NOT going to like it.

          I'm a locust, honey. I like everything. Except toothache and volcanoes; they hurt. The cure for toothache is oil of cloves or cinnamon, or a lump of ginger root, if you can't get cocaine. That will get you through the few days that you need to prevent further excessive pain. Toothache is caused by a swollen abscess AKA a boil. It is excruciating because of the temperature change produced eating food and the food you have been eating, i.e too much sugar.

          The excess sugar produces the abscess and the location is under a tooth where it can't point and break. So what you have to do is let it drain itself. And you do that by not eating any sugar at all for a few days. I can only tell you what I have just learned from experience. I doubt it is all down to the change in the weather. But that is hardly proof. In the mean time I know that all but the thumbdowners will be pleased for my relief.

          I suggest that if you are on an high sugar diet; especially if it concerns poison made with corn cellulose and sulphuric acid, you come off that stuff right away. If you feed it to your cattle I would suggest you do them a favour and find them something more suitable. If you are feeding it to big dogs I would watch your back with them. They don't feel pain the way that we do and if you drive them mad enough you won't get them off easily.

          I should imagine the cure for volcanic eruptions is somewhat similar to that fortoothache (Fractals and Chaos Theory/Doctrine of Signatures, sort of thing) however as far as I know volcanoes don't eat sugar. They might enjoys something much worse: Fungi. I don't know how much sugar fungi produce but most forests depend on whatever it is that they actually do do. So presumably removing their forests removes their do do too. And the reaction causes grief. Take a look at this and tell me I am wrong:

          "And if you defile the land, it will vomit you out as it vomited out the nations that were before you."

          Obviously it could just be describing warfare but speaking as the planet's most advanced weather man (let's face it: Now is no time for modesty especially false modesty.) OK; the owners of this site already know who I am; I gather they have removed the one post for political reasons rather than disagreement with my views. Because I am still here.

          I am not just I approve of spending I am Weatherlawyer. I may talk nonsense but it is Internet wide nonsense. And you can look up my credentials anywhere. (Except WordPress someone from AOL grabbed my name but at least he appears to be a genuine lawyer which is more than I am.)

          Anyway... I think that this is a reference to the weather and associated ruptures:

          "...for the men of the land who have been before you have done all these abominations, and the land has become defiled; so that the land will not spew you out, should you defile it, as it has spewed out the nation which has been before you. For whoever does any of these abominations, those persons who do so shall be cut off from among their people.…"

          Well so much for volcanoes. It is time we took another look at the Australian charts. We already have a location for the next tropical storm so now it would be an idea to get the chronology for it. Temporal portability somebody called it, earlier this spell.

  9. This post has been deleted by its author

    1. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

      I thought there was more.

      Time for bed.

      3 am and you owe me one. What happened to the connection to Google Docs that Open Office had?

      I can't see it in Libre Office is it there?

      OK that's it. The sky has cleared so there will be frost and an High on the Atlantic soon. Some weather-lore for you: Good volcanic activity is preceded by cold weather -even snow. Look out for Mare's Tails they mean category 4 or 5 storms after about two or three days.

      Good luck.

      1. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

        One thumb down later

        I could be wrong but the Tornado season looks like starting early. Next Thursday to be precise. Let's hope it is just volcanics instead.

        In the meantime:

        The NA-EFS is pointing to the 28th as a major change in things to come. So we have to hold our breath for the hols to end. Let us hope that the thumbdowner has left us with deepjoymould. Hopefully the geosticyphing will be glowballsey somewhere more stoopiful.

  10. This post has been deleted by its author

  11. allthecoolshortnamesweretaken

    "Honey, go see Phillip. Ask him for some yellow pills."

    -- Juanita Titus, Titus, Series 2, Episode 5: Locking Up Mom

  12. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

    Call me Mr Far'n'height

    No time for luzers 'cause we are the champions of the world, like a rolling stone. In all disparagement to my last reader at least he didn't post anonymously, in a manner of speaking. And to the ones that bite the dust: Eat my shit.

    I don't cause any of these things. I just forecast them. Like Snowden, I don't look fearsome to my enemies I look like a mirror reflecting a guilty conscience and regret for things to come. Stop being a loser. What else can I say?

    This is us:

    2016/03/26@

    03:24 5.6 Mb Carlsberg Ridge

    03:24 5.6 Mb Carlsberg Ridge

    2016/03/25@

    21:36 5.0 M Off East the Coast of Kamchatka

    21:36 5.2 mb Off the East Coast of Kamchatka

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWdLt3Afjrg

    Froude numbers up to 5.5M equate to category 10 or 11 on the Beaufort scale. After that you are in my country. Don't come unprepared. I will eat you all up like a big bad wolf. Then shit you out. I kid you NOT. Gear up now, FAST!

    We had the wind-storm for Kamchatka, the one for Carlsberg Ridge will show up no here in a week or two:

    http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/ The previous Cat 1 on the Beaufort Scale was on 2016/03/21 at 16:54 a 5.6 M. in the North Pacific. Allowing 3 or 4 hours per step in the scale we have the magnitude of the coming storm(s).

    2016/03/21 at 7pm to 2016/03/26@ 3am is 5+(4x24)+3/ 3(or 4) which is a Cat 5 + a sun-storm (not counting volcanic activity.)

    You have been warned.

    1. I. Aproveofitspendingonspecificprojects

      Pointing in the right direction

      > The wind storm for Carlsberg Ridge will show up on here in a week or two:

      What it is is that the period between magnitude 5.5 earthquakes indicates the category hurricane and the time period involved for them is a minimum of 15 to 18 hours. (Sorry to be vague but numbers are not my style.) But you have seen how inductive "Weatherlawyer's Constant" is -or can be. It is all a matter of the singularities entrained in the naviewr Stokes effect.

      The alternative way to do it is the charts from BoM:

      If enough water intake hits the shores of Antarctica, because of recoil and the mountain heights on the shores (I've covered this stuff elsewhere) the pressure drop is enough to pile up the layers of isobars until it points like a boiling abscess. This takes place twice in the model run showing today (26 March 2016). The first one looks like a dud to me (but there is an occasional Tropical Depression that makes it) this one looks like it will turn into volcanic activity. Probably Reunion.

      Precipitates (fog, snow, ice, rain, cloud) coming in from Africa will deepen a system at 80 degrees east. These things tend to grow to the size of a continent before breaking away. This one goes around to 160E. before breaking up into what looks like volcanic activity (excuse the short-hand. Weather doesn't cause anything ballistics shows us that.)

      The next one around, in about the same places, terminates as what I think will be more line-storms. That first one breaks up into smaller stuff around Tuesday and the follow-up runs over, into the Ross Ice Shelf. Antarctica fills with those tell tale black lines.

      If I am right we will know about Tuesday or Wednesday, just in time for the Listserv news-letters. If I am even more correct, the next round of storms will begin around the end of this run at about T+156. So there you have a full run of a weather spell from derechos to earthquake to homing signal for the next tropical storm.

      Here endeth the first lesson. I would like someone to present The Register with an Edward Snowden/Guy Fawkes mask for use as a suitable icon. And since I am right: For being clever, I'd like a copy with the biblical accoutrements of a fellow Locust (crown and reflective breast-plate, long hair etcetera) please.

      Thanks in advance

      Mike.

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