Anthropic bods rework AI damage yardstick, find scant labor impact Anthropic economists Maxim Massenkoff and Peter McCrory report that AI is not eliminating as many jobs as experts have predicted. Take CEO Dario Amodei as one such expert. In January 2026, Amodei revisited and expanded upon his 2025 prediction that "AI could displace half of all entry-level white collar jobs in the next 1–5 …
"But even this draws a "meh" from Anthropic's researchers, who note that the 14 percent average estimated decline in the job finding rate between the introduction of ChatGPT in 2022 and now "is just barely statistically significant."
But they would say that, wouldn't they? Lies, damned lies, and statistics, init?
Couple it with companies increasing expectations that people they hire (even people fresh out of college/university/whatever) have more experience/skills than what is feasible without working decades in the industry to begin with, and CEO types having found their newest yes-man in the shape of overglorified chatbots ( https://www.theregister.com/2026/03/05/execs_rely_on_ai/ ), it's only a matter of time before reality sets in hard.
It ain't gonna be pretty though.
I hope you don't believe programmers don't need keyboards.
In the brave new world envisioned by AI-enthusiast executives and bureaucrats, programmers do not need keyboards. They will simply speak to the computer, and AI will transcribe the programmers' speech*.
*Ignorant of, or uncaring of, the speed-reduction and accuracy-reduction this entails. I can type a hell of a lot faster than I can dictate. Dictation requires different brain-mode use than does typing.
Voice transcription accuracy sucks. I saw/heard my lead worker's command, "Call Seung", spoken in a quiet room, transcribed by his phone into, "Call Beth" -- at 05:40AM.
If there really was so much pent-up demand for systematic efficiency and labour-saving, then one does wonder why so many Graeberian "bullshit jobs" even exist in the first place.
Also, young inexperienced workers are being thrown on the scrapheap not because they aren't needed anymore - inexperienced workers never were needed - but because managers have for the time being swallowed the hype that experienced workers (which young inexperienced workers eventually become) won't be needed in future.
