Re: Iran. Trust Israel ?
And this is completely true; people may not be fans of the current regime; but they are even less supportive of a change being ‘imposed’ on them by a foreign power, especially if many civilians are killed as collateral damage.
I think it is really unlikely that US troops will set foot in Iran, once more and more body-bags start to be be returned to the US, and they will, the administration will find themselves under increasing pressure and loss of support. Especially if they fail to provide a convincing argument as to why these soldiers died, what did they die for? Was it in defence of the US? Because it is beginning to look a lot like they died in defence of Netanyahu.
Look, don't get me wrong, the current regime in Iran is disgusting, their treatment of dissidents, gay people, women, lack of basic human rights is appalling, and I would shed zero tears if the entire lot were killed.
But, that’s the easy part - what do you do next? Is there some opposition party waiting in the wings to take over? No there isn’t. Or is this a repeat of 1945, where the US and allied forces basically took over the running of Japan and Germany, set up proper democratic arrangements and then gradually withdrew? But that, again requires ‘boots on the ground’, and there will, absolutely will be US losses - is the US prepared to do this? Recent policy does seem to hint that they aren't
Is there a long-medium term plan? I’m not sure there is.
Your President (I’m British just in case my spelling didn’t give it away), is apparently 'disappointed ‘with the UK’s reluctance to get involved with offensive actions’.. The Prime Minister has referred to ‘regime change from the air’ as unlikely to work. And although not a supporter of his party, I do have to agree.
What is the plan, how does the US think this is going to play out?