How Harmful Is It?
Github: "consider if it’s a social network that endangers children". OK ... considering ... and the answer is, 'No!". What rubbish.
I don't have access to all the data that the eSafety Commissioner says she's considering. It would help if the Aus Government published all the data they relied on, given the widespread impact of their legislation, as I have a sneaking suspicion that they're exaggerating ... a lot. Just today, Australia's PM, Communications Minister and high-profile advocates went to the UN and sold Australia's "world leading" social media ban for under-16s, quoting as part justification that social media was causing suicides amongst young people. Emotive examples were given:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-09-25/united-nations-general-assembly-social-media-ban/105814246
The implication was that there's been an avalanche of suicides. Any death by suicide is tragic but ... and this may well draw crabs but it's important to say ... I can't see the disaster. Here's the actual data so you can see for yourself:
https://www.aihw.gov.au/suicide-self-harm-monitoring/population-groups/young-people/suicide-self-harm-young-people
The trend is relatively flat, *slightly* upward over two decades in the youth brackets but, critically, that gentle trend **predates social media** by a significant margin. The 18-24 age bracket is far higher per capita. The youth figures are similar to elderly (i.e. not on social media) suicides with what looks like the same multi-decadal trend. All of these pale in comparison to Veteran suicides. You can check that yourself as well:
https://www.aihw.gov.au/suicide-self-harm-monitoring/population-groups/older-people
https://www.aihw.gov.au/suicide-self-harm-monitoring/population-groups/adf-members
It's no surprise that emotive arguments are used to justify this kind of invasive policy because (I strongly suspect) it wouldn't stack up on the data alone.
My position remains that, while protecting kids from online harms is a laudable goal, the method chosen by the Aus Government via their OSA (similar to the UK's OSA) is the worst of the possible approaches because it affects far more adults than kids, is damaging to privacy (at a time when improving privacy is critical), is difficult to implement, difficult to monitor, difficult to adjust without being arbitrary, too easily lends itself to 'mission creep', can be targeted at particular sites/services, and lacks 'measures of effectiveness' so it's easy to claim "it's working" at any later date. That's just for starters.
The Aus Government didn't approach this with an open mind at all. There's more to be said and much has been said already. I'll leave more for another post.
In the meantime, there are more pertinent comments here: https://forums.theregister.com/forum/all/2025/09/19/ofcom_osa_enforcement/