back to article Minority Report: Now with more spreadsheets and guesswork

The UK government has unveiled a scheme to use AI to "help police catch criminals before they strike." arrest UK officials insist 'murder prediction tool' algorithms purely abstract READ MORE It all sounds a bit Minority Report: the Tom Cruise film set in a dystopian future in which would-be criminals are apprehended before …

  1. 45RPM Silver badge

    Would a pirvacy campaigner be something like NAMBLA!?

    1. Catkin
      Headmaster

      I can't possibly imagine anyone else who would want privacy.

      1. 45RPM Silver badge

        Agreed - privacy is a human right. But a previous version of this story misspelled “privacy” - so I was making a pedantic point. Which falls rather flat after the correction!

        (Hey, El Reg, the misspelling is still in the RSS feed at the current time)

        But have a thumbs up anyway.

    2. cyberdemon Silver badge
      Childcatcher

      Downvoted, because you did not consider those readers who do not not know what N....A is, and now fear being added to the AI-robocop-watchlist having innocently googled it

      1. 45RPM Silver badge

        Whoops! Sorry. For those who aren’t aware, and to save you from trouble when googling it, it’s the

        North

        American

        Marlon

        Brando

        Lookalikes

        Association

        1. Strahd Ivarius Silver badge
          Joke

          The organization that Edgar Hoover said it didn't exist?

          1. Paul Herber Silver badge

            That sort of organisation can't exist in a vacuum.

            1. Ropewash
          2. TimMaher Silver badge
            Black Helicopters

            Edgar Hoover

            His methods were… unsound.

            1. This post has been deleted by its author

    3. graemep Bronze badge
      Happy

      Are you a cabinet minister?

      It sounds exactly like what they have been saying about people who oppose the Online Safety Act.

  2. David M

    Unintended consequences

    Inevitably the system will be hacked, enabling criminals to head for the predicted "low crime" areas, which will be minimally policed.

    1. Tron Silver badge

      Re: Unintended consequences

      All the information has been available here for years:

      https://www.ourwatch.org.uk/crime-prevention/preventing-crime/crime-map

      And the local plods know which areas are crime hot spots.

      Ordinary members of the public would report anti-social behaviour locally, if they could do so easily, without filling out a huge data-grab form or hanging on the phone for 40 minutes.

      In short, just spending half that money on local policing would do more in a year than anything this Kyle bloke wants to do with his digital STASI organisation.

      1. vulture65537

        Re: Unintended consequences

        Imagine if the map didn't get updated for two weeks so Plod phones the IT company and it turns out an rsync job has got stuck so no new data got delivered. There was a lock preventing two attempts at the same time

        The rsync job was wrapped in a timer of a few hours to enforce complete or quit.

  3. b0llchit Silver badge
    Childcatcher

    Prenatal screening

    To keep our children and future society safe, the AI will be screening all unborn children and determine whether they will become juvenile delinquents, hooligans, normal criminals or lefties. Each of these instances, where such anomalies are detected, will result in involuntary abortion. No effort shall be spared to improve the safety of our children and our society.

    1. Kevin Johnston Silver badge

      Re: Prenatal screening

      Could I remind people that Juvenile Delinquent is actually an oxymoron. If you are a juvenile then you have not reach a level of maturity to be considered a responsible adult while being delinquent requires you to have responsibilities you are neglecting.

      This is one of those buzzword phrases invented back in the past to have a label to put on people the local do-gooders felt were not showing them the correct level of respect and obedience. People who think phrases like this are appropriate to use to label people should be banned from any position of responsibility higher than 'do you want fires with that?'

      1. b0llchit Silver badge
        Childcatcher

        Re: Prenatal screening

        Most future juveniles do have responsibilities they will be neglecting. Juveniles are supposed to be revolting and questioning the status quo. Therefore, they must be delinquent when they are not able or allowed to revolt. They are also delinquent when they are not able or allowed to question the status quo. Therefore, future juveniles are delinquent by current and future social standards and must be dealt with before they can do any harm. These juvenile delinquent bastards need to be aborted before they can become juvenile delinquent. It is as simple as that.

      2. Jonathan Richards 1
        Flame

        Arson prediction alert <klaxon>

        > do you want fires with that?

        :)

      3. This post has been deleted by its author

    2. Tubz Silver badge

      Re: Prenatal screening

      I'm waiting for Starmer to bring in compulsory DNA swabs at birth to be added to national crime computer just so they can be protected by the Online Safety Act which will be power crept until it becomes the Public Safety Act and privacy is gone!

      1. This post has been deleted by its author

    3. MachDiamond Silver badge

      Re: Prenatal screening

      "To keep our children and future society safe, the AI will be screening all unborn children and determine whether they will become juvenile delinquents, hooligans, normal criminals or lefties"

      Unborn children? I think the hit rate would be better by screening the parents when they apply for a parenting license.

  4. Doctor Syntax Silver badge

    Bring back the village bobby who could work all that out with Real Intelligence.

    1. ecofeco Silver badge
      Pirate

      Beat me to it. One person with pen and paper can figure this out. In less than a week. And that one person can easily keep track of it until retirement.

      This is about insider contracts.

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        The tech-industrial complex lobbying for an AI arms race ...

    2. Fruit and Nutcase Silver badge
      Trollface

      They stopped recruiting bobbies with Intelligence when they lowered standards and started recruiting PCSOs

      1. This post has been deleted by its author

    3. Ken Shabby Silver badge
      Windows

      And closing time was when he finished his pint, put his bike clips on and was ready to leave

      1. This post has been deleted by its author

    4. MachDiamond Silver badge

      "Bring back the village bobby who could work all that out with Real Intelligence."

      Yes, but in the US they call it "profiling" and we can't have that, can we?

  5. may_i Silver badge

    Police State

    The UK is already close to being a police state. Once they roll this out, the transformation will be complete.

    The Black Mirror episode "Nosedive" is more and more like a genuine prediction for the future.

    If groups like "Neighbourhood Watch" and "Resolve" are lauding this dystopian idea, it would pay to see where they get their money from. I suspect this is a clear cut case of government funded NGOs being used to lobby the government to implement policies that the government knows it has no chance of implementing without manufacturing fake support for them.

    1. Wang Cores Silver badge

      Re: Police State

      React Software and Weightmans (law firm) are shown as sponsors on Resolve's website.

      Selling software to arrest people on pretext and getting them out for a fee. catch and release.

    2. ecofeco Silver badge

      Re: Police State

      Close?

      LOL... IS. Has been for some time.

  6. ComicalEngineer Silver badge

    Winston Smith wants his storyline back.

    1. Rich 11

      Too late. It's already been fed into the memory hole. Now get back to work and earn your Victory Gin and increased chocolate ration.

  7. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Is This More Misdirection......Or Just Flat Out Lying?

    Quote: "...strict anonymisation..."

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2018/sep/13/gchq-data-collection-violated-human-rights-strasbourg-court-rules

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/25/british-councils-used-investigatory-powers-ripa-to-secretly-spy-on-public

    https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2019/jul/23/anonymised-data-never-be-anonymous-enough-study-finds

    ....and lots more indications that it's just lying!!

    ....why am I not surprised?.........

    ....that the STASI is being built out (again)....but this time in Nova South, Victoria SW1E and Hubble Road Cheltenham.................

  8. This post has been deleted by its author

  9. elsergiovolador Silver badge

    Strike

    Ok, can government first nail the bit where they catch criminals after they strike?

    1. codejunky Silver badge

      Re: Strike

      @elsergiovolador

      "Ok, can government first nail the bit where they catch criminals after they strike?"

      That doesnt sound as fun and they might get hurt. Instead jogging to try and tell off cat-callers, although they say its not a crime, is more of a priority.

  10. An_Old_Dog Silver badge
    Facepalm

    Suspect == Criminal

    "All suspects shown are guilty. Otherwise, they wouldn't be suspects, now would they?"

    1. Flocke Kroes Silver badge

      Re: Suspect == Criminal

      That is why the phrase is "innocent until proven guilty", not "innocent unless proven guilty".

      1. ecofeco Silver badge

        Re: Suspect == Criminal

        A worthless, dead letter, phrase as the reality is, guilty until proven innocent.

        You would know this if you've ever had to deal with it.

        Is it legal? Of course not. But that doesn't change reality.

        1. Anonymous Coward
          Anonymous Coward

          Re: Suspect == Criminal

          The semantic complexities are probably why the UK govs want to genAI themselves a map that unequivocally determines who is guilty and who is innocent ... it's much simpler than other methods!

        2. Flocke Kroes Silver badge

          Re: Suspect == Criminal

          Your 'until' implies innocence will one day be proved. As you seem to be aware, that will only happen if you make the effort yourself.

        3. MachDiamond Silver badge

          Re: Suspect == Criminal

          "A worthless, dead letter, phrase as the reality is, guilty until proven innocent."

          That's often called "Napoleonic Law" and some countries go by that principle. That trip to Mexico you were contemplating........

      2. Boris the Cockroach Silver badge
        Coat

        Re: Suspect == Criminal

        Whereas the proper phrase is "Presumed guilty until found dead"

        1. MachDiamond Silver badge

          Re: Suspect == Criminal

          "Whereas the proper phrase is "Presumed guilty until found dead""

          So the comments now shift to stories about the Clintons?

    2. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: Suspect == Criminal

      I heard that said on a Jury once, Day one or two of a two-week trial.

      From someone who I'd guess from prior experience (which is, apparently, now equivalent to policing) would wholeheartedly support this sort of technology being rolled out to all the bad people, but not the good ones like her.

      AC because I don't want to lead to risk being dragged into appeals etc.

  11. Peter Prof Fox
    FAIL

    Complete horse chocolates

    Demographics is easily biased and often self sustaining by prejudice. We all know this. We all know it's abused. We all know it encourages more 'data collection' and assumptions. There are frequent reports of mentally ill people being killed by the police who react acording to violent reflex fed by this. Here's a thing, supposed you get stopped by the police. If they say 'on your way' they have hardly any data. If they decide to nick you' then they get DNA as well as a hundred datapoints. Just because they nick you doesn't mean you're guilty of anything.

    How often have you heard somebody in the so-called justice system say "We missed the warning signs." or "We should have reacted better to reports of..."? The Police just don't have the culture (or probably the funds==priorities) to react to in-your-face alerts. So what good will 'ChatG-PC' do. <quote>The inquest heard that Davison had first been granted a license to legally own a firearm despite being known to have a history of violence, and that further opportunities that could have prevented the shooting were missed. There were multiple failures within the firearms licensing unit and staff were not using “professional curiosity” to scrutinise applications properly, the jury found on Monday as it was confirmed the five victims were unlawfully killed.</quote>

    Here's a guide for plods everywhere:

    Shoplifting: Try shops

    Terrorism: Try peaceful protestors

    Dishonesty and fraud: Try houses of parliament

  12. Acrimonius

    Innocent until proven by hallucinations

    So we will now have police hallucinations joining force with AI hallucinations. Bring on miscarriages!

    1. Angry IT Monkey
      Pint

      Re: Innocent until proven by hallucinations

      That reminds me to watch Paul Merton's policeman on LSD sketch again.

  13. Smeagolberg

    'UK Science and Technology Secretary Pete Kyle trilled: "Cutting-edge technology like AI can improve our lives in so many ways, including in keeping us safe, which is why we’re putting it to work for victims over vandals, the law-abiding majority over the lawbreakers."'

    Is this yet another example of an MP, who knows next to bugger all about science, computing, AI, etc, publicly pontificating about his areas of extreme ignorance? A quick check of his background on Wikipedia confirms that it is.

    Politicians, above all, should learn from the maxim that it's better to keep your mouth shut and let people think you're stupid than to open it and remove any doubt.

    1. HMcG Bronze badge

      Apparently he has a degree in “geography, international development, and environmental studies” which sounds rather vague and widespread. Certainly no qualifications, knowledge or experience in any technology field.

      But no doubt that won’t prevent him from getting a very well paid “consultant” role with one of the AI companies (after this lot are inevitably kicked out of office). Purely coincidentally, of course..

      1. This post has been deleted by its author

  14. DS999 Silver badge

    So basically they're doing what every city always does

    My city (around 125K people including suburbs) tried it 10 or 20 years ago. Didn't need "AI", they just looked at crime statistics block by block and prioritized patrols in the places with more crime.

    It was eventually abandoned. Partially because it was akin to racial profiling (they were in the poorer neighborhoods, which also have more minorities) but mostly because it was a big failure. Because at least where I live, most crime happens - or at least starts - behind closed doors. Domestic abuse cases rarely happen on public streets where cops can patrol. Even disputes that might escalate to a fistfight on the sidewalk or in the worst cases to "shots fired" don't tend to start in public.

    So it turned out that unless the police just happened to be driving by while the last 0.1% of something happened that might have been brewing for weeks bit by bit in a non criminal manner the extra patrols didn't do anything. Because people in those areas aren't going to flag down the cop car going by and say "a couple of my friends are having a big argument and I know one of them carries a gun so I'm worried he might do something stupid". It did lead to 10x more police stops in those neighborhoods for minor infractions like squealing tires or having a taillight out though. i.e. run of the mill police harassment of minorities that has been going on since forever, but this was supposed to be OK because it was being driven by "statistics" rather than racism.

    Now even the police are finally admitting to what some were saying all along, that having some non-uniformed early intervention personnel would be a better solution. But they say they can't hire those people until the city/county builds a fancy new combined police/sheriff/jail building that the voters have rejected twice already in the past decade. Because lack of space, or something, as if these non-police need to be located side by side with the police and couldn't communicate via email, phone, or zoom.

    1. ecofeco Silver badge

      Re: So basically they're doing what every city always does

      Excellent example.

    2. MachDiamond Silver badge

      Re: So basically they're doing what every city always does

      "Because at least where I live, most crime happens - or at least starts - behind closed doors. Domestic abuse cases rarely happen on public streets where cops can patrol. Even disputes that might escalate to a fistfight on the sidewalk or in the worst cases to "shots fired" don't tend to start in public."

      One needs to consider the nature of the crimes before changing patrol patterns. You are correct that increased patrols aren't going to have a big impact on domestic disputes as many of those people will happily start or continue physical fights and threats while the police are there. Burglaries, street take-overs and other property crimes might be knocked down with more police presence. Some big cities have issues with crime in business districts that are abandoned after work hours and on holidays. Police patrols that are nicely visible can make criminals think a bit. It's also a good place for the city to rethink it's planning so there's some mixed use in those areas which would lead to more people and businesses around at all hours.

      I don't seen non-uniformed staff being a good replacement for liveried police officers. They aren't taken as seriously, have limited power and the scope of what they can do might lead to them being put in harms way. It doesn't matter if somebody is having a mental crisis with a gun or knife in their hand or not subject to demons. They might be talked down by a professional, but that might only come to be successful after they've done great harm to others. Sometimes the only way to put an end to a violent outburst is a very final solution. It's not ideal, but necessary for the safety of others.

      1. DS999 Silver badge

        Re: So basically they're doing what every city always does

        Yes for stuff like breakins or vandalism in a business district that's empty after 9pm having police driving around would likely help. But they won't just drive around. They'll stop "suspicious" vehicles, and we all know how they'll determine what qualifies as "suspicious". For areas that are "abandoned after work hours" putting up some very noticeable and obvious CCTV cameras on the streetlights might do more to deter that type of crime than having a police car rolling through every half hour - especially since people tend to get into routines and it might be possible for criminals intent on a break-in to wait until they see a cop drive by before acting.

        But regardless one does not need "AI" to help decide where to have police step up patrols or locate temporary or permanent CCTV cameras. That's a simple matter of looking at where crimes are being reported.

        1. MachDiamond Silver badge

          Re: So basically they're doing what every city always does

          "They'll stop "suspicious" vehicles, and we all know how they'll determine what qualifies as "suspicious". For areas that are "abandoned after work hours" putting up some very noticeable and obvious CCTV cameras on the streetlights might do more to deter that type of crime than having a police car rolling through every half hour - especially since people tend to get into routines and it might be possible for criminals intent on a break-in to wait until they see a cop drive by before acting."

          With automatic number plate readers, a slow cruising patrol car can spot loads of suspicious things. If the owner has a long history of breakins, that's a big red flag and so would be plates that don't match the car, stolen plates and stolen vehicles.

          I see CCTV as an adjunct tool. The international wardrobe of the criminal is the hoodie so CCTV isn't going to be able to identify the person inside the hoodie. If CCTV picks up people mumping about in a black hoodie at night and triggers police to go have a look, it's a great way to draw police away from other areas without much risk to the distractor. It's not against the law to be out on a midnight stroll. Add a dog and there's another layer of plausible deniability. In the mean time, there's something going down elsewhere. A bold distractor could play Sov Cit by not wanting to identify themselves or just hands out dodgy reasons for taking a walk in that area at that time which could trigger another officer being sent as backup, two down.

          I'm not afraid of cameras and neither are many criminals. Stores such as Walmart have increasingly better and better video surveillance, yet people still shoplift from them. Not only does each store have really good tech, they are all tied together. Get trespassed at one store for shoplifting and every other store (perhaps only in one country) will recognize you as you walk in. People will give up and walk out if they spot a store security person taking an interest in them which is what will happen if they are spotted on the security system. Jewelry stores have CCTV, yet get ripped off all of the time. If the area had lots of visible police, robbers might find some place else to target.

          Temporary CCTV is a chore. They need power and a way to be monitored so there can be no cost savings in a temp installation so it would only be useful if there's a tip on plans to break into a particular place and They want more angles to watch for a short time.

          I just had an idea. To use my drone (I'm a licensed pilot), it needs to have a Remote ID module which is a BlueTooth transmitter that is programmed with my name, license number, etc. Anybody in the area with an app on their phone can find that info while I'm flying. If CCTV cameras had a similar low power transmitter, police could get a quick inventory of cameras in the area with contact information if the cameras are registered. That way, there isn't the delay in trying to find out who owns which. It could be in the best interest of cities to provide the hardware and have community support staff to help people and shops get them installed and registered. Far cheaper than what the city pays for their own CCTV.

  15. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Large Language Mentalism

    Cunning-edge technology at its best!

  16. xyz Silver badge
    FAIL

    help police catch criminals before they strike."

    didn't that used to be called stop and search in analog days

  17. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    UK Science and Technology Secretary Pete Kyle ...

    I wondered where the stench was coming from.

  18. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Hmmmmm

    "It is likely that vast amounts of sensitive personal data will be hoovered up to build these intrusive predictive policing tools. Instead of 'fixing the foundations' of policing, plans to monitor the public with Orwellian AI tools could erode our most basic rights and could lead to profound injustices."

    That's fairly understated, IMHO.

    And now we can more clearly see another reason for introduction of the OSA - to gather the personal data to feed into the great AI machine of state.

  19. ChrisElvidge Silver badge

    Insurance companies

    Insurance companies have been doing this for ages, albeit without AI.

    Check quotes for car insurance between postcodes. The problem is that they only use the first part of the postcode (e.g. OL4 5) and lump it all together.

    Postcodes were never meant to be used this way.

    1. MachDiamond Silver badge

      Re: Insurance companies

      "Check quotes for car insurance between postcodes. The problem is that they only use the first part of the postcode (e.g. OL4 5) and lump it all together."

      With the internet and finer detail data, they can be very specific these days. In times past, the crime reports that they would use would be based on partial post codes. My town is all one zip code and very diverse. There's some apartments I can see from my property that are rather low-rent and the police know them very well. Where I am is all middle-aged professionals and retired. It's not that much of a distance, but miles apart.

  20. tiggity Silver badge

    Start with cleaning up SW1A 0AA

    Lots of corrupt, venal, criminal scum to be found there.

    (For non UK readers, that is a postcode of the House of Commons (where UK elected government spend some of their time)

    1. vulture65537

      Re: Start with cleaning up SW1A 0AA

      )

      Fixed paren syntax

    2. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: Start with cleaning up SW1A 0AA

      ....and just down road (Nova South, Victoria SW1E) ....

      ...the STASI are settling in and getting to work......

    3. Fruit and Nutcase Silver badge
      Joke

      Re: Start with cleaning up SW1A 0AA

      (where UK elected government spend some of their time)

      And some of that time is in all those subsidised bars and restaurants. After a nice lunch and liquid refreshment, it's tough keeping awake during debates in the chamber. It's a tough job being a MP or Peer.

  21. AFJDB_Job

    PRECOG SCPOs

    While Minority Report did use precogs, the use of them in Judge Dredd predated that.

    ​I wonder if this is just a job-creation scheme where the money could be better spent—for instance, just giving people benefits to avoid poverty. It seems the rollout of this system will involve recruiting hundreds of thousands for the Precog Rehabilitation Initiative & Community Keeping Service (PRICKS), not to mention the street-level Crime Reduction Assessment Patrol (CRAP)?

    If memory serves me right, the first use of peacocks was in the judge child series judge dredd and that resulted in an allout catastrophic war!

  22. Fruit and Nutcase Silver badge

    SW1A 0AA - Hotbed of criminal activity

    Fuelled by brown paper bags, nods and winks and VIP fast lanes, topped by criminal incompetence.

    Palace of Westminster, The Terrace, Westminster, Millbank, City of Westminster, Greater London, SW1A 0AA

  23. Ropewash

    Hmmm

    Sounds like a very expensive way to arrive at exactly the same conclusion current police do using a simple color chart and a bit of racial bias.

  24. The Central Scrutinizer Silver badge

    . These systems support analysis of high-crime concentration areas and socio-spatial mechanisms, enabling scalable insights and targeted prevention strategies."

    What the fuck is that supposed to mean in actual English?

  25. Captain Hogwash Silver badge

    Precogs

    ...always were a metaphor for this kind of thing. Surely everyone understood that?

  26. K555 Bronze badge

    "help police catch criminals before they strike."

    How about something to help them give a shit about catching criminals that have already struck?

  27. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    angry

    Shit like this really fucking pisses me off. The same cunt that is dealing with the online bill with no clue how tech fucking works.

    This will fucking fail! And we'll all have to pay for it.

    The police were totally uninterested when cunt down our road was selling stolen airpods from his house via Facebook market place "we can't prove they are stolen". Really?! He had 1 set that was an "unwanted birthday gift" that turned into.about 20 of them.

    The dealers who we keep catching on our CCTV "passing" and the ones that used to hang outside the fish and chip shop with one of the delivery drivers delivering fish and chips in his expensive merc (how was that profitable unless also delivering other "goods").

    They've clearly not watched the minority report.

    Sadly, waste like this is giving more fuel to Reform which will be a fucking disaster if they got voted in. It would be the equivalent of the trump admin.

  28. I could be a dog really Silver badge
    Facepalm

    That's going to be fun ...

    When going into the local CoOp (or other store of choice) is enough to get you flagged as an "about to shoplift" person of interest. After all, if they've had so many shoplifters in the past (where the police didn't even bother investigating), then it's clear that people going in there must be future shoplifters - arrest everyone entering.

  29. TimMaher Silver badge
    Big Brother

    This weekend.

    Stay away from Notting Hill.

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