Re: Long Brexit.
"I don't know if they're fooling themselves into believing things would be even worse if not for Brexit, or that those are sacrifices they're willing to make to keep out the brown people,”
Oh no, you have fallen for the obvious knee-jerk response that everyone who voted to leave is a racist and just wants to keep out the brown people. Tell me do you have any evidence for this, and alas no, just stating that ‘it’s obvious isn’t it’, won’t really cut it - sorry! Yes probably some ‘leave’ voters are/were racists, thought that leaving would keep ‘jonny foreigner’ out? I think it’s far more complex and nuanced than that.
I don’t think that the ‘leave' campaign won, rather than the ‘remain’ campaign simply failed to make a compelling argument. Rather than admitting that the EU is a flawed, not perfect, organisation (and what organisation isn’t flawed and imperfect), but being a member of it offers xyz advantages, no it’s not perfect but we are working on it, which I think people would understand and be sympathetic to, instead they ran a negative campaign, the UK can’t possibly survive on it's own, unemployment will become the norm, roaming bands of zombies will inherit the earth, cats will sleep with dogs, etc.
"That's not going to happen. When I was a kid I naively thought racism in the US would mostly be a thing of the past once the last generation of segregationist southerners died off. Well the majority of the adults of the pre-civil rights south are dead now, but it isn't just a dwindling number of octagenarians left carrying the banners of the KKK and Nazis like I assumed. Oh for the innocence of youth!”
Yes, exactly, there is the old saying ‘if you aren’t a left-winger in your youth, then you have no heart, if you are still a left-winger in your 30’s then you have no brain’!
The assumption is that as people age, they tend to become more ‘right-wing’ that they understand that the idealism they embraced isn’t actually viable or even desirable for themselves, now that they have a job, a family, a degree of financial independence and the idealised idea that everything should be owned by everyone suddenly isn’t so attractive*
And that does appear to be the case, after all in 1979 in the UK the Tory party under Thatcher was elected into power, now in theory then the left wing should be ascendent as surely most people who voted for the Torys, what 45 years ago are long gone. But the polls suggest that if there was an election today, then probably Nigel Farrage would be the PM tomorrow, and his Reform party is arguably even more to the right than the Thatcher government.
So we have to consider that this assumption is just wrong.
"probably more than ten years, as we have to wait more of the racist Tory Reform[1] voters to die off”
And although that might well be your wish, and thats fine enough, alas I think you will find that the ones dying off are more than replaced by people growing up.