Re: when people have just had enough
I noticed the other day that Israel had bombed the HQ of Tehran's police force. As well as bombing Basij facilities and the Revolutionary Guard more generally.
I suspect saying the regime change thing out loud was stupid, as you're now associating anyone who rises up against the regime with Israel - who've just been bombing the country. Not so clever. But if it is your hope, then degrading the organisations that the government use to repress the people does make sense. I don't know a great deal about Iranian command and control, but they do seem quite centralised, given how slow they were to react to Israel's attack. Israel have got good at striking the leadership, it's a large part of how they crippled Hezbollah. The problem with killing all the leaders, is you don't leave yourself anyone to negotiate with afterwards - and even if you do, they don't have the credibility to make the deal you want anyway. Part of the problem with the PLO, is that they've not got anyone with the credibility that Arafat had, so even if an Isreali government that wanted peace could get elected, they'd have nobody to talk to.
I really hope the Iranian people can get some better leadership - with the minimum of bloodshed. But with Netenyahu, and possibly Trump, "on their side" - I'm not optimistic for their chances.
There's that old saying (supposedly Arabic), "my enemy's enemy is my friend". But sometimes your enemy's enemy is also your enemy. And to use another famous quote, with friends like Netenyahu and Trump, who needs enemies?