back to article Bosses weren’t being paranoid: Remote workers more likely to start own biz

Companies with higher levels of remote work during the COVID-19 pandemic saw more of their employees launch startups, economists have found. They argue this entrepreneurial spillover is a factor policymakers and firms should weigh when shaping remote work policies. In a research paper titled, "Entrepreneurial Spawning From …

  1. Coen Dijkgraaf

    Maybe the workers decided to have their own startup after getting told they had to come back to the office full time after COVID. I wonder if their study address that.

    correlation vs causation

    1. UnknownUnknown Silver badge

      Or perhaps ones in limbo on the cesspit that is LinkedIn while on furlough…. or latter remote work absolute guarantees being reneged on. Weasel corporate behaviour like saying remote is absolutely guaranteed whilst squirming on contract simple variation requests to reflect that. Personally even after my Office was closed down it was still my contractual place of my regular work.

      The remote IP v’s LinkedIn usage seems a fairly tenuous data set for this speculation. Esp. With VPN’s and many IT Dept’s unable/unwilling to do split tunnelling.

      1. The Indomitable Gall

        Yeah... i kind of feel it's ignoring predictable user behaviour: I am certainly less likely to use LinkedIn or other sites for job search during work hours in the office, so instead I'll just wait till I'm back home. I would personally not do it in office time if I was on a VPN either, because I'm geeky enough to understand the browsing history being visible to work IT team...

    2. The Man Who Fell To Earth Silver badge
      WTF?

      The real questions employers should ask

      There are two issues with employment:

      1. Is the employer getting good value from their working employees, remote or in-office?

      2. Is the employee getting good value from their employer?

      #1 is what the employer should ask themselves, not what the employee does on their own time. If the employee has energy to put into family, a side gig, or creating a startup, as long as they do what their employer pays them for on time, that other stuff isn't the employer's business.

      Suppose the employer is concerned about employee retention, which is the only aspect of employees meeting #1 above, that starting companies and leaving impacts the employer's business. In that case, there are plenty of mechanisms for addressing that, beginning with the employer recognizing #2 above is the other half of the employer-employee equation. This is why good employers have RSUs, career & education advancement programs, proper compensation, employee stock purchase plans, bonus programs, etc.

      Bad management getting even worse isn't a solution to employee retention.

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: The real questions employers should ask

        On a completely different note, it sure seems to have been easy to track a lot of people and correlate other information about them.

    3. Doctor Syntax Silver badge

      Also need to bear in mind that some (?many) RtOs are disguised redundancy-without-paying-for-redundancy operations. As these fail to take into account that the first ones out will be those who can get jobs elsewhere, including starting up on their own, this has to count as the objective being met.

      1. Law

        That was my thought too.

        Combination of shadow layoffs via RTO mandates plus overt mass layoffs in tech is causing a very toxic recruitment environment since the pandemic. That will naturally lead to a lot of people either retiring, changing career or launching their own business - if you launch a new business LinkedIn (for better of worse) is going to be updated to reflect that. Not so much the other two options.

  2. IGotOut Silver badge

    Yes remote working is what caused it...

    ...not people going "You know what I've come to realise? I fucking hate sitting in a soul destroying office environment, putting up with people I'd rather punch in the face than talk to. The place is run by idiots who struggle to make a pie chart for the next utterly pointless meeting. I'm going to do something with my life."

    So I'm sure forcing people back into the office will kill that attitude

    1. Pete 2 Silver badge

      Re: Yes remote working is what caused it...

      > So I'm sure forcing people back into the office will kill that attitude

      Was happening long before Covid.

      When the location of the 2012 Olympics was announced (in 2005) one of my co-irkers essentially stopped doing their paid-for job for several weeks. Instead, while using the company offices as a base - so lax / incompetent was t'management, they spent all their days in property speculation.

      It was not because they hated their job - they did so little actual work there was nothing to hate. It was simply because they could.

      1. Korev Silver badge

        Re: Yes remote working is what caused it...

        I used to work with someone who openly ran a buy-to-let business from the office. The company had a weird thing where they wouldn't discipline anyone who might be able to sue for discrimination which caused more than a bit of resentment...

    2. Sam not the Viking Silver badge
      Pint

      Re: Yes remote working is what caused it...

      Gosh! If you feel that about your current employment you need to get out.

      Personally, I enjoy working from home but the office has a great buzz, too. I work with friends as well as colleagues. That's not to say there aren't candidates for the 'open window'.....

  3. Marty McFly Silver badge
    Pint

    No surprise

    Highly motivated self-starters are the exact type of people that excel at remote work. Go figure they would also excel at entrepreneurship.

    The study is meaningless. These people were destined to branch out and leave anyway. WFH gave them a taste and mandatory WFO just put them over the edge.

    Cheers & best wishes to success!

    1. AMBxx Silver badge

      Re: No surprise

      Came here to say the same but less eloquently.

      My last employer, nearly 20 years go, went bust. I was the only person who worked remotely. I jumped ship before they went bust and have since been self-employed. My office based colleagues all went to safe public sector jobs. Something I can't ever imagine doing.

  4. that one in the corner Silver badge

    CEOs and HR can rejoice at these results

    > From firms' perspective, they might be hurt because they have key employees leaving.

    Pah.

    Clearly the ones leaving were never Team Players, did not have enough of the correct Loyalty To The Company and its Benevolent CEO. Key employees? Hah! They were just worming their way into the structure of The Company in order to take a bigger chunk when they inevitably fled. Better off without them, good to be shot of them sooner rather than later.

    Now they won't be skulking at the back as we start the day with The Company Chant; all together now. "Rah-rah ..." (see, I was right, glad they are gone, now nobody is shouting out "Rasputin" in the first line! Never did understand that).

  5. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    "Among Americans aged 20-64"

    You have to be impressed by the precision of the statistics you normally get from academics. Breaking every number out into its appropriate bucket. Comparing across multiple dimensions of socioeconomics, carefully sliced into all the expected groupings. Exquisitely graphed. So that we can easily compare and contrast the way that the amount of time spent working from home varies with all these commonly encountered factors, such as age brackets.

    Okay, hit me with those results, baby: "Americans" (did we look at anyone else? come back to that) "aged" (here it comes, here it comes) "20-64" (ah. right. do you need some more time to prepare? no, that's it? that's al we get? ok, ok, sure we can make a press release out of this with, give us s moment)

    1. Pete 2 Silver badge

      Re: "Among Americans aged 20-64"

      > the precision of the statistics you normally get from academics.

      It has been said that economists include decimal points in their statistics to demonstrate that they have a sense of (ironic?) humour

      1. Ian Johnston Silver badge

        Re: "Among Americans aged 20-64"

        Old university joke; Economists use the same questions in final exams every year. The answers change, though.

        1. Jedit Silver badge
          Trollface

          Re: "Among Americans aged 20-64"

          Hardly surprising. Economics was invented by astrologers to make themselves look legit.

    2. ecofeco Silver badge
      Facepalm

      Re: "Among Americans aged 20-64"

      This report isn't curing cancer, mapping bosons or sending rockets into space, Mr. Pendant.

      1. ChrisC Silver badge

        Re: "Among Americans aged 20-64"

        Don't just dangle a comment like that in front of us...

    3. The Indomitable Gall

      Re: "Among Americans aged 20-64"

      Yeah, imagine telling people about the sample. Imagine being clear about who you used.

  6. mevets

    22 of the last 25 years...

    I have been a remote worker for 22 of the last 25 years.

    Sun Micro taught me the ropes -- I remember thinking as I left : "I never want to work for a company again".

    But I cooled it after 13 years; I only work remotely, and prefer not having to dig up clients.

    The crux is that if you are working remotely, it is entirely transactional.

    You aren't going to lunches, beer blasts, or humiliatingly cringe-worthy 'organized fun'.

    You get a pay-cheque for work done, and if the gig ends, you fedex your gear back.

    At my previous gig, my office access had expired, so when I went to drop off my gear, I couldn't get in.

    I fedex'd it from across the street.

    Sweet memories.

  7. frankyunderwood123

    Multiple jobs…

    … during the same working hours.

    I’m not saying I do this, of course not, but it’s certainly relatively trivial to do and is absolutely happening.

    “Cameras on in meetings please” - even that is trivial to hack with a recording.

    Whilst a meeting is droning on you are busy with your other job. Clearly this depends on how much you need to participate, but you can wing it. Get AI to generate a meeting overview which you can skim read later.

    WFO is generally accepted that you get max 5 hours of useful work done each day. The reality is about 3.

    Everyone was/is fine with that.

    WFH? If you can get 6 hours of useful work done a day you can handle two jobs and collect two salaries.

    1. Ian Johnston Silver badge

      Re: Multiple jobs…

      Whilst a meeting is droning on you are busy with your other job.

      I once bought a car during a particularly boring face to face meeting in my office. Nod and smile at regular intervals. Nobody can see what's on your screen.

    2. HXO

      Re: Multiple jobs…

      Do not let the meeting goons drag *your* work productivity down:

      www.commitstrip.com/en/2022/09/13/once-upon-a-teams-meeting/

    3. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: Multiple jobs…

      Glad I don't employ you. Or am a customer of yours.

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: Multiple jobs…

        As far as you know.

  8. Pete 2 Silver badge

    Spying tonite!

    > an unidentified "data partner" ... infer their place of employment.

    So really this is just a technique of espionage. As well as inferring a target's person's place of work, the very same process can (and therefore does) infer many other things, too.

    Some of which might even be correct

    1. graeme leggett Silver badge

      Re: Spying tonite!

      Factor in people who don't update their LinkedIn.

      People who only just remembered to update their LinkedIn and actually left companies years ago.

      People who were in point of "go consultant"

      Workers who aren't on LinkedIn

    2. Doctor Syntax Silver badge

      Re: Spying tonite!

      As far as I was concerned those three words read "disregard this paper". Real boffins describe their methods properly.

      1. ecofeco Silver badge

        Re: Spying tonite!

        But does this NEED to be 4 decimal places accurate?

        I see it as more like a poll. It's probably close enough and if not, nobody is going to get so much as a scratch from any harm.

  9. Annihilator Silver badge

    "Based on our firm-level estimate, we calibrate that at least 11.6 percent of the post-pandemic increase in new firm entry can be explained by spawning from remote work,"

    For that to be a helpful stat, they would need to quantify how much of a post-pandemic increase there was. A million? 12? And even if they did that, anther way of putting it is 90% of the post-pandemic increase in new firm entry would have happened regardless.

    I also know of a number of businesses that went under during Covid. Presumably a fair number of those started new businesses once things settled down - possibly even the same businesses.

    So in summary, this report thinks that millions should be returning to an office location, just in case 3 people go off and start a business. Seems reasonable.

  10. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    so what

    ?

    Yeah but not bad news is it

  11. steelpillow Silver badge

    Just wonder

    how many of those startups went right back to contract for the work they used to be employed for, only now on their own T&Cs and for three times the cash.

    1. ecofeco Silver badge

      Re: Just wonder

      In America, nine out of ten business fail in the first year.

      THAT should be the real question. Which ones failed and which ones didn't.

  12. JoeCool Silver badge

    A couple of things come to mind

    1) This is capitalism at work, and it benefits the company (at least in theory)

    To do the job with an internal person, they have a cost:

    salary of person

    + cost of management

    + cost of overhead

    ---------------------------------------------

    cost of job

    But by outsourcing they save money

    cost of job = salary of external contractor

    2) Companies might want to evaluate their employees for "stability"

    It's possible that they could look at demographics and discover that workers less likely to go "lone wolf" are perhaps

    - Married

    - Female

    - Older

    - With family

    1. Doctor Syntax Silver badge

      Re: A couple of things come to mind

      "cost of job = salary of external contractor"

      Wrong. Cost of job = contractor's billing. That is not the same as contractor's salary.

      Out of the invoiced amount the contractor has to provide his own expenses, provision for being on the bench between contracts*, sick (including health care costs in the US), holiday pay, employment taxes as well as salary. It's disregarding all that that brought us IR35.

      * From the engager's PoV this is "availability". The standard pimp to contractor greeting is "Are you available?"

      1. JoeCool Silver badge

        Re: A couple of things come to mind

        Pedantic! I intentionally changed only the parts that are different AND significant. (mind you, formatting messed it up).

  13. Tron Silver badge

    Bollocks.

    Too much of this 'research' is based on indirect references and stats, just so they can get from A to B more easily. Do the work. Don't infer from cookies just to beef up the numbers.

  14. wolfetone Silver badge
    Trollface

    Boss earns a dollar

    I earn a dime

    That's why I shit start my own company

    On company time.

    1. ecofeco Silver badge

      Not enough upvotes.

      1. wolfetone Silver badge

        Not enough people go on the comments section during work hours when sat on the bog.

  15. Doctor Syntax Silver badge

    Critics of "return to office" mandates note that there are other possible motives, including office occupancy requirements as a condition for local tax breaks

    Any jurisdiction seeking genuine green credentials should take a look at that one. Granting tax breaks to employers imposing unsustainable commuting requirements is jut plain stupid. Tax braks encouraging less commuting should replace them.

  16. Stevie Silver badge

    Bah!

    "The authors cite various other studies on remote work showing how it frees up time by reducing commuting, increases productivity, offers more flexible hours, "

    Which tells you what you need to know about the work getting done

    "and reduces employee monitoring."

    Which tells you all you need to know about middle managers and why they push for return to office.

  17. graemep

    What about confounding variables?

    For example the types of jobs that are easiest to do remotely may correlate with employees likely to start their own business?

  18. Ken Moorhouse Silver badge

    LinkedIn

    I haven't visited this site for a long time. Tried to go into it, succeeded, but what a dog's dinner. The list of people in my network is scrunched up against the left margin. Never mind. Just on a quick inspection, at least two of the people on my list are deceased for certain*, another person appears twice (once with her maiden name, the other her married name). There are so many more out of date entries on there. My point is that this cannot be considered a reliable dataset to glean useful information from.

    *Edit: Make that three - sad to hear "Mr Airfix" (Ralph Ehrmann) passed away in early 2023 RIP.

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