Or, as Arthur Conan Doyle has his famous detective, Sherlock Holmes, put it:
"When you have eliminated everything that is impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth."
The thing is that doing an investigation means you have to look at everything, not merely what you want to examine. I cannot help feeling that in far too many disasters, 'mangelement' tries to blame 'other people' for the decisions they made that resulted in the breach / disaster / whatever.
I did a few investigations some decades ago, and it was interesting that blaming the actual 'management' culprit was rarely an option. One had to merely specify what had occurred, and not apportion blame. So, the senior manager who left his (unencrypted) company laptop on the back seat of his company Range Rover while he went for an evening meal in a restaurant, returning 2 hours later to find a broken window and an absence of said laptop (and other sensitive company papers) was, of course, not punished in any way (a few years later he was promoted). If I had done that, I'd have been sacked.
We suspect the laptop was wiped, and later re-sold, as there was no ransom demand, and the sensitive client data does not appear to have been used against the company. And, hopefully, the replacement was encrypted bore issue to him.