Here we go again with more AI crime prediction for policing The government of President Javier Milei in Argentina last week announced the creation of an artificial intelligence group within the country's Cybercrime and Cyber Affairs Directorate that will use statistical software to predict crime. "The mission of the Artificial Intelligence Unit Applied To Security (UIAAS) is the …
After this has been running for a while... won't it prioritize based on it's previous outputs? e.g. if it initially predicts a crime in area 'A', and the cops patrol and find a crime or 2... then repeat this a few months and eventually you create the hotspot you are looking for... and correct me if I'm wrong here... isn't this the problem the AI was supposed to eliminate?
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Right on the money. These systems have 2 main issues:
1. They are trained on previous crime rate data. so if your cops have been biased in the past (and let's be honest, this really isn't an "if"), your model will have the same biases.
2. They are usually self-reinforcing, so over time these biases will be amplified.
> while AI systems can suffer from inaccuracy, high cost, bias, and other limitations, "there is consensus by the majority of the researchers on the importance of predictive algorithms on the policing landscape".
So: We know, it's expensive and inherently broken, but it's important?
What kind of BS argument is that?
I've heard politicians putting out this kind of nonsense, but "resarchers"?
Come on ...
Wow! Great way for yellow bellied neofascist cowards to go "but, I was just obeing orders" or "I'm just doing my job" as they take ever less responsibility for both, their deadly over-reaction, and deadly inaction: VioGén score: LOW RISK Lobna Hemid 2022 Madrid. Idiots!
"I'm not a racist, the statistics clearly show that this group are more likely to commit these crimes"
Completely avoiding that they're being picked up for other crimes.
e.g. with drug posession, an even distribution of people holding across the populace would show up as having a bias if a certain demographic were arrested more frequently. They'd then be subject to more searches and be found to be posessing drugs more frequently.
Prometea "predicts the solution to a judicial case in less than 20 seconds with a 96 percent success rate"
And how would that compare to, say, a simple HMM trained on a few parameters such as the relative wealth of the defendant?
In fact, since the article suggests this was developed by a single programmer for the equivalent of $500, that may well be all it is. Or some other simple classification system, like Naive Bayes or a decision tree or an SVM. Frankly it sounds like a student project.
But the real issue is that predicting "the solution to a judicial case" just means you've automated whatever distribution was already in the system, improving nothing except the cost of maintaining whatever level of (in)justice was already there, while covering it with a veneer of "computer says so". It's a terrible, terrible idea.
As usual with his type, his policies can be reduced to "Careful mate, that foreigner wants your cookie" (original source). This will be no different except with AI which somehow manages to include a high proportion of immigrants in its predictions, and the simple act of arresting them on some LLM's orders proves that they must be up to no good and must be sent back.
...pre-identify outsourced projects of little value that may never actually work but which are exploited by politicians as mechanisms to syphon tax dollars into the pockets of their mates? Will it be able to spot other examples of corruption in national and local government before they happen, and will those likely to be corrupt be turfed out of office?
There was "pre-crime" in that movie and look how bad that turned out. Same here.
Someone has fallen for the AI wank currently flying about. Its not proper AI so this just won't work and instead will make the consultant all the money, while they sit in the corner sniggering knowing they've con the company into signing a bollocks contract.
Getting sick of all this AI talk then being told "You should really be getting onboard with this. Its the future." when at work and being classed as "difficult" when stating the AI bollocks is currently a hugh waste of money.
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