Re: Clown.....
>And yet, the petulant clown throws his toys and best engineers out of the (electric) pram
There were warning signs of this years ago, when they were trying to bring the Model 3 into production. Musk was hell bent on having the entire assembly process robotised, but they couldn't do it. Tesla went to a leading German factory automation company and asked them to do it; they were told, "Nein, not possible". Musk bought that company for €6billion (if memory serves), so that he could tell them to do it; the answer remained "Nein, not possible". Eventually, with the situation reaching a desparate point, he caved in and they started manual assembly (with a large workforce).
And when people started doing teardown analyses of the first Model 3; oh boy, an object lesson in production inefficiency with the vast number of different fasteners used, the sheer number of panels used to make up (for example) the wheel well, and so on. That the company survived such a ruininously expensive launch cost and launch delay with an inefficient design speaks volumes of the lead they had, and just how vulnerable they would be if someone competent got their own act together.
Then there's Autopilot; a massive distraction from the business of establishing a permanent lead over other car manufacturers. This has been on of Musk's favourite things, but it's been a (deadly) exercise in wasting money for no permanent commercial gain, and looks like it could be a money sink.
Cybertruck? 'nuff said.
Ultimately, if one goes back far enough one arrives at the point in time when Toyota had a stake in Tesla, and were trying to bring Toyota common sense and quality to the business. And why not, it's not like Toyota are amateurs at design, production, quality and workforce management. But no; Musk reckoned he knew better. Toyota saw the way of things and left him to it. Spurning Toyota looks like it's going to cost Musk / Tesla dearly. The only way Tesla is ever going to survive in a crowded automotive manufacturing industry is to successfully and permanently displace another manufacturer from it. Without Musk and his habit of wasting money and time there would have been a better chance that they could have converted that 10 year lead into permanence. With Musk it's looking like the opposite is going to occur.
>Recently back from Scotland where I hired a very excellent Polestar 2 (a car I've hired multiple times before)
There's a lot of excellent EV's out there, but the market seems to be declining regardless of the build quality or the tech level. The expensive and dysfunctional charging network (other than Tesla's) is certainly part of it. It's feeling now like we've been through Round One with the early adopters, and that's not translating into a larger and enthusiastic Round Two. What a lot of people seem to be finding is that a car that costs tens of thousands new is worth nearly nothing too soon afterwards, and that's entirely down to perceptions (real or imagined) over battery life, made worse by the replacement cost of a battery.
To me this suggests that, long term, the sector of the EV market that's going to survive is small cheap cars (exactly what Tesla doesn't have), where the car is more financially disposable. Also at the lower end of the scale the replacement battery prices can be low enough to be more incidental, and less like pouring vast sums of money down a plug hole.