Re: Shooting ourselves in the foot
98% of the world's chip needs are on older, more mature nodes. It's important to remember that.
For 'local' chip production in the EU and the US, non-EU/US companies are key.
Competition is great but it is very unlikely to lead to lower prices if the players involved each have a smaller market to sell to.
Unable to compete on a world stage, the US (Trump) decided to try and destroy the playing field.
The UK was 'ordered' to stop using Huawei gear by the US. When it pushed back (economic and technological reasons) the US decided to try and cripple Huawei through other means (extraterritorial sanctions), forcing the UK to conclude that Huawei would be incapable of satisfying its hardware requirements going forward.
The Dutch were pressured to apply export restrictions on ASML.
Now an entirely new industry is being built out to quite literally replace each and every US element in the chip design and fabrication process.
That will mean a power shift of epic proportions as China moves to using local producers. China is one of the world's top chip consumer markets.
That's competition that the US clearly won't like but China already has the Digital Silk Road and BRICS+ to play to, plus its gigantic internal market.
If I were a sovereign state company suffering from unilaterally imposed extraterritorial sanctions I would be redesigning my products to eradicate all technologies that make them susceptible to foreign influence.
Huawei is well on the way to doing that, along with hundreds of Chinese companies.
At some point they will have the means to offer companies like ASML technological solutions which enable it to replace US technologies which currently have no alternatives.
That would mean more competition.
US companies need revenues to invest in R&D. Cutting them off from China reduces those revenues.
Not allowing certain US scientists and engineers to work for Chinese companies (sanctions again) puts top US talent in China out of a job while providing solutions for local and non-US talent to push through. They are also receiving far higher saleries.
Making chips in the US makes them more expensive which isn't good for competition.
South Korea is also pushing back against the notion of sanctions as a solution. Just as have Wennink (ASML), Huang (Nvidia) and many others (ironically including representatives of over a 1,000 US companies). Japan is probably not happy either.
The Pentagon actually stepped in to temporarily halt one of Trump's executive orders against Huawei under 'national security' issues as they saw it as damaging to US interests. It was temporary but just goes to show how high the risks are.