Is ordering workers back to the office just a ruse?
Ok, so maybe not a ruse, but certainly a decision that has other potential benefits ...
If you want to "thin" your workforce in a fairly painless way, both reputationally and cost effectively, it does seem to be a useful way to go about doing it.
I'm sure this "thinning" of the workforce doesn't cut a workforce in the same manner as layoffs, but it's certainly less brutal.
Quite how this impacts talent in your organisation and holding onto it, is probably hard to measure.
It seems that those not interested in career progression are likely to be older workers - people in their 50's and 60's.
They should have an incredibly useful depth of knowledge to draw upon, so just let them work remotely and don't rock that boat.
Those willing to go into the office are clearly going to leap ahead of their peers - it's a no-brainer. No need to explain further.
Those unwilling will either go in begrudgingly or hand in notice.
Congratulations, corporate entity, you have weeded out completely unscientifically, a small portion of your workforce, with hardly any effort.
You just have to hope you haven't lost some of your best workers - and you have to hope losing people doesn't start a donimo effect with the rest of your workforce!
That's a VERY real problem that many of us have seen or been involved with.
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As a complete aside, this does open up another area of investigation when researching a new position.
Investigate the office space of companies you get offered interviews at.
If they've recently downsized office space, but still kept the same amount of employees, chances are they are into proper hybrid working for the long term.
The reverse may also apply ;)