I think you'll find it's more complicated than that.
The moon doesn't have anything near a uniform density, the mares having measurably greater mass than the lighter coloured rocks. These mascons (mass concentrations) put the Eagle's landing spot well downrange of the planned location.
Now the later flights were programmed to take the variation into account, even on those tiny Apollo Guidance Computers, but it's still more than just the shape that matters.