Re: Whatever next?
Ah, but back then, we thought that the Russians had an effective military.
What is different now is that the Russian army was turned back by the Ukrainians on their own, which showed that Russia was not nearly as potent as had been previously thought.
On the surface, Russia should have steamrollered Ukraine out of existence in mere days. Everybody expected that. But they didn't.
Once it had been shown that Russia's tactics were seriously flawed, and that their soldiers were poorly trained, and their equipment was not as plentiful or capable as was previously thought, it became a war of attrition which Russia would eventually have won without the West backing Ukraine.
What is interesting is the perception that Russia has a lot of financial resources (they certainly had a lot of military resources, although much of it has been proved to be obsolescent). Their vaunted cutting edge military hardware has barely figured in this fight, probably because the size of the Russian economy does not support making a lot of it, as their GDP is less than the UK's (at least the nominal GDP). People equate Russia with the USSR, which was much, much larger as it included the GDP of many Eastern European states, including Ukraine. It's really not surprising that they are struggling keeping the war going.
What is feared now is the possibility that Putin may try to save face (at least in a historical context) by deploying tactical nuclear weapons to 'win' this war. How the West would react to this is an interesting question, one I'd rather not be shown the answer to.