Re: Great Science!
Lot's of people have spent their entire careers considering how life evolved on our planet.
Panspermia is a bit of a cop-out and unnecessary. It suggests the chemicals needed to spark life came from a biome rather than lifeless coincidence but those chemicals are pretty common in space so while not ruling out panspermia it doesn't really matter.
As for intelligence, I'd suggest it's a reasonable probability once you get past the really serious roadblock - getting from single-celled to multi-celled. Here life popped along pretty quickly then didn't do much for a few billion years until about 600my ago when the first macroscopic multicellular life emerged (the first microscopic multicellular could be as much as 1by earlier - still being debated). The wormy things wriggled about for a few dozen million years then - ta da - The Cambrian Explosion - all hell breaks lose, pretty much every biological line is started, diversity goes crazy trying to find the best fit for any available niche. So once you have "plants and fish" you are well on the route to the possibility of intelligence emerging.
"Intelligence" can take many forms, our communicating, tool using brand of intelligence may not be that common but cetacean and cephalopod type intelligence could equally well exist. All that is before you start thinking about "it's life Jim but not as we know it" where all bets are off.