back to article NASA boss says US may lose latest space race with China

NASA Administrator Bill Nelson believes China could control territory and resources on the Moon if it lands astronauts and builds critical infrastructure before the US. Founded just under 30 years ago, the China National Space Administration (CNSA) has made incredible progress in space exploration. It sent the first-ever …

  1. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    We’re probably safe

    As there is no oil on the moon.

    But no doubt there is some other strategic resource up there to get the ape man excited

    1. b0llchit Silver badge
      Alert

      Re: We’re probably safe

      But no doubt there is some other strategic resource up there to get the ape man excited

      Yes, strategic resources, they are called bragging rights. The US had them and has been neglecting them for some time. Of course it is a race now that China wants some bragging rights too.

      By being first in the second race you get whole new bragging rights and the winner may pound his fists on their chest when bragging about it. Just like our long time ago ape ancestors.

    2. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: We’re probably safe

      Helium 3 and water.

      1. Orv Silver badge

        "Moon" was not a documentary

        Helium 3 is only useful for fusion power, and even if we manage to develop useful fusion reactors mining it from lunar regolith is probably not feasible.

    3. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: We’re probably safe

      I predict that the moon's surface be used mostly for displaying adverts.

  2. MajorDoubt
    FAIL

    Death awaits

    the moon is outside the magnetic sphere protection of earth, so if a solar storm or some other gamma ray burst hits the moon, everyone there will die, how can they protect against that?????

    it's just a matter of time.

    1. Gene Cash Silver badge

      Re: Death awaits

      Well, a bit of Lunar regolith will help shield against radiation, so there's the options of covering your habitat with it, digging under the surface, or taking advantage of some of the lava tubes.

      It's not as if it hasn't already been studied for decades.

    2. Charlie Clark Silver badge

      Re: Death awaits

      To be honest, given all the other problems of trying to "live" on the moon, that's likely to be the least of your worries.

  3. MachDiamond Silver badge

    Different goals for each space agency

    Administrator Bill "Ballast" Nelson should be the first one to realize that China and the US have different goals for the moon. In China, they see it as a way to push technology forward through getting there and coming up with novel ways to mine and process materials. The US sees a lunar initiative as a way to create jobs and funnel taxpayer money to the states and coffers of high-power, long standing politicians. Given those goals, the US may still be ahead.

    1. TVU

      Re: Different goals for each space agency

      The US might very well end up ahead anyway due to recent economic developments in China.

      Xi Jinping is clamping down on the free market system in a move back to Maoist central planning and that will surely damage China's long term economic growth potential so that China will not match and surpass the USA. China also has an ageing population plus it is mishandling its Covid epidemic so producing more economic damage.

      It's also worth pointing out that democratic states tend to be open with failures and errors in space whereas the autocracies tend to cover up their mistakes when they can. For example, when a space probe destined for Earth orbit, the Moon or Mars failed, it was just assigned a new Cosmos satellite number.

  4. amanfromMars 1 Silver badge

    Options and Hedges are Currently Available and Open for Prime 0day Trading/Secure Virtual Transfer

    A spokesperson for the Chinese Embassy in Washington, Liu Pengyu, however, downplayed claims of competition.

    "Some US officials have spoken irresponsibly to misrepresent the normal and legitimate space endeavors of China," Liu told Politico.

    "The exploration and peaceful uses of outer space is humanity's common endeavor and should benefit all. China always advocates the peaceful use of outer space, opposes the weaponization of and arms race in outer space, and works actively toward building a community with a shared future for mankind in the space domain. Outer space is not a wrestling ground."

    Bravo, China .... ever the cool gentleman and elegant mistress amongst earnest scholars and wayward scoundrels.

    But what of the near future, China, in that other contested way out there space place and Live Operational Virtual Environment? Would the following statement be attractively agreeable? It is certainly neither designed nor shared here intentionally to be fractious or contentious.

    Our engagement and exploration and exploitation of its other-worldly alien resources will quite naturally render extraordinarily forceful future insights and further novel ingredients for the clear leading advantage that such experience in the progressive delivery of vital modular infrastructure and secure failsafe communicative internetworking supply lines effortlessly provides for invaluable hindsight and almighty reflection and universal comprehension on/into what is much more a Greater IntelAIgent Games Play Arena with ACTive Cyber Threatening Areas, violently destructive and virulently toxic fields reserved and preserved for the capture and suitably just warrior treatment of future undesirables and present barbaric primitives alike.

    Q: .... 'Tis the Great NEUKlearer Futures and HyperRadioProACTive IT Derivatives Market Bet to wager and place your monies and shirts on, deciding on whether you realise it more likely to be predominantly a Stealthy Exotic Erotic Eastern Delight rather than primarily a similarly Wild Wacky Western Confection for a New Enlightening Age of Cohabitating Earthly Civilisations disenfranchising of the self-harming destructive disgrace that invents and funds/pimps, pumps and dumps future warring factions?

    A: ..... Yes, indeed. IT very definitely can be and therefore most certainly also is.

  5. Bartholomew
    Mushroom

    pew pew pew

    As long as China (or the US) do not setup mass drivers to launch uncontrolled chunks of valuable moon minerals into earth, or earth orbit, I'll be happy.

    1. werdsmith Silver badge

      Re: pew pew pew

      I'm going to have a look to see if there are enough decimal places on my calculator to see how much mass would need to be removed from the moon and transferred to earth to make a meaningful difference to the moon's orbital period and semi minor axis compared to how it is already changing by tonnes per day.

      1. Flocke Kroes Silver badge

        Re: How much mass ...

        The quick answer is 0kg.

        The Earth spins inside a gravitational field made uneven by the Moon. This causes tidal bulges on Earth that rotate around the planet. Friction from the moving bulges heats the Earth. The energy for that heat comes from the Earth's spin, increasing the length of a day. Conservation of angular momentum requires something else to rotate more: that would be the Moon getting pushed into a higher orbit.

        Over long time periods days get an average of 12µs longer per year and the Earth->Moon distance increases by an average of 22mm. Eventually one day will be one Moonth long - 47 current days.

        Given the historical speed of Artemis progress Bill is right that they have to increase the pace or the Moon will get too far away for an SLS launch with reduced help from the Earth's spin. Clearly SLS and its predecessors were designed when the Moon was nearer and the Earth span faster. That explains why SLS can only get Orion to NRHO instead of all the way to Low Lunar Orbit.

  6. Pascal Monett Silver badge

    "the next two years were crucial for gaining a foothold on the Moon"

    And ?

    If I recall correctly, the Moon is a rather large body (as far as moons go). There's enough space for more than two, unless you're of the "everything is mine" mentality.

    The real problem is going to be that, just like petrol on Earth, water is a finite resource on the Moon. It had better be managed better than the Colorado River, else there will be no long-term presence of Man on the Moon.

    1. TVU

      Re: "the next two years were crucial for gaining a foothold on the Moon"

      "There's enough space for more than two, unless you're of the "everything is mine" mentality"

      In the film 2001: A Space Odyssey, It's the USA and Soviet Union that have the Moon bases but in reality it will almost certainly be the USA and China with broke Russia being a mere obedient appendage of China.

    2. ian 22

      Re: "the next two years were crucial for gaining a foothold on the Moon"

      The fact that the PRC is claiming ALL of the South China Sea and shoving it’s smaller neighbors around doesn’t indicate they won’t claim the moon is Red.

  7. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    The Chinese have one big advantage: once they decide to do something, they do it instead of incessantly fighting political battles over the funding for years on end. They also "disappear" the NIMBYs instead of letting them derail national projects.

    1. werdsmith Silver badge

      They also don't worry too much about the cost either. If it needs funding it gets funded.

      1. amanfromMars 1 Silver badge

        Rapid Revolutionary Progress does neither tolerate nor entertain an Ignorance Vacuum

        They also don't worry too much about the cost either. If it needs funding it gets funded. ..... werdsmith

        Something exceptionally well learned/copied/stolen from the competition and opposition's playbook/workshop manual, werdsmith, wherever that original may now be stored.

        And something which whenever one is not smart enough to recognise is simply needed and accepted and to be treated by all assisted parties as just token, practically unnecessary but nevertheless still vital rewards to a leading supply contractor/single prime principal, effectively guarantees the offer of its proprietary intellectual property flight and metadata base information transfer to that easily conceived and perceived to be both the deadly competition and advanced opposition.

        Such a simple strategic error of tactical judgement is thus gravely to be regarded and best completely avoided at whatever the cost for the price exacted by failure is astronomical and virtually incalculable.

        Do you think UKGBNI fail spectacularly to be a worthy mega star in that field of empowering endeavour? Scrooges in the most vital of market places and thus destined to forever play second fiddle in flea pit orchestrations of master class events?

        1. Chris Coles

          Re: Rapid Revolutionary Progress does neither tolerate nor entertain an Ignorance Vacuum

          "Such a simple strategic error of tactical judgement is thus gravely to be regarded and best completely avoided at whatever the cost for the price exacted by failure is astronomical and virtually incalculable."

          My oh! my; what an interesting thought, and why not also relate it to the intent of a present UK citizen . . . soon to move to a new nation and set out to present his work in a new language . . . that would result in at least two primary science subjects, physics and cosmology, being also, exclusively, taught in a new nation's language, such as to exclude all the existing US and UK universities from being the primary source of the new knowledge. How much will that simple strategic error "Cost"? Time remains of the essence.

          1. amanfromMars 1 Silver badge

            Re: Rapid Revolutionary Progress does neither tolerate nor entertain an Ignorance Vacuum

            My oh! my; what an interesting thought, and why not also relate it to the intent of a present UK citizen . . . soon to move to a new nation and set out to present his work in a new language . . . that would result in at least two primary science subjects, physics and cosmology, being also, exclusively, taught in a new nation's language, such as to exclude all the existing US and UK universities from being the primary source of the new knowledge. How much will that simple strategic error "Cost"? Time remains of the essence. ... Chris Coles

            Quite so, Chris Coles, ..... and for some is the opportunity to make great fortunes in a foreign land of new customer clients too much of a rewarding temptation to miss and dismiss, although the simple truth nowadays is just as much and probably a great deal more can be achieved and both remotely rewarded and supplied to any consumer anywhere practically autonomously and relatively anonymously whenever Working From Home is virtually providing What The Fuck feeds and seeds and needs via Big Brother Boss FOSS Quantum Communication Channels.

      2. stiine Silver badge

        They don't worry about people either.

  8. druck Silver badge
    Stop

    Nine dash line

    How long before a few more dashes are added encompassing the moon too?

    Then as soon as progress allows, lunar landing sites, missile systems and radio warnings "US Space ship you are entering Chinese security zone, leave immediately to avoid misjudgement and wrong consequences."

    1. Alumoi Silver badge

      Re: Nine dash line

      Like US won't do the same. Control the high orbit and you control the planet.

      Kinetic kills do not produce radioactive waste.

    2. Charlie Clark Silver badge

      Re: Nine dash line

      What you're suggesting is both incredibly complicated and even more expensive and it's just not worth it for the moon. Especially given the fact that within this decade at least three other countries will have demonstrated their ability to land stuff on the moon: Japan, India and South Korea.

      I don't mind NASA getting more money but I really don't like the idea of the military getting even more influence over space policy than they already have. Lead by example and put research first.

  9. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    China could control territory and resources on the Moon

    but... no Indians. They could create a US-reserve around that 1st landing site, you know :D

    1. MyffyW Silver badge

      Re: China could control territory and resources on the Moon

      If I were the Clangers, I'd be keeping well away from any offerings of blankets and fruit that the early settlers bring with them.

      (Ahh-Cho)

  10. Neil Barnes Silver badge
    Pirate

    Where does 'outer space' start?

    The Karman line? Geostationary orbit? The Oort cloud?

    Is the moon actually *in* outer space?

    1. Bubba Von Braun
      Joke

      Re: Where does 'outer space' start?

      Everyone knows its a big lump of Cheese!!

      Its why the Chinese want to to start their own Cheesy Empire. And we all know that those folks in Wisconsin have a lock on Cheesy Empires. Cheese for Breakfast, Lunch, Dinner and Desert!!

      BvB

    2. Crypto Monad Silver badge

      Re: Where does 'outer space' start?

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outer_space

      "Outer space does not begin at a definite altitude above the Earth's surface. The Kármán line, an altitude of 100 km (62 mi) above sea level,[8][9] is conventionally used as the start of outer space in space treaties and for aerospace records keeping."

  11. John Brown (no body) Silver badge

    'Keep out, we're here, this is our territory,'"

    I wonder how the US responds when a Russian or Chinese expedition rocks up next to one of their Antarctic bases to set up one of their own? Same situation applies in terms of territorial claims as on the Moon. So why are the US making these sorts of "worries" public with regard to the Moon?

    1. Throatwarbler Mangrove Silver badge
      Holmes

      Re: 'Keep out, we're here, this is our territory,'"

      One word: funding. By creating a "space race," NASA may be attempting to secure additional funding to improve their launch capabilities.

      1. TheInstigator

        Re: 'Keep out, we're here, this is our territory,'"

        and potentially/probably worsen political relations off the back of doing this - but that's ok - as it'd mean they get more funding!

  12. s. pam
    Happy

    Will the Chinese take Musky with them?

    To give him a place to be overlord of that won't damage others?

    ...

    Also, don't forget the US allegations China has been stealing their technology for decades means the Chinese could well experience "unexpected failures"!

    1. stiine Silver badge

      Re: Will the Chinese take Musky with them?

      Allegation? The only way to prevent the Chinese from copying your products is to never build them, and don't even design them.

  13. martinusher Silver badge

    1960s throwback

    This fellow suffers from the mindset that "If you're not winning then you're losing". Zero sum, in other words. Its what I grew up with and its really a road to nowhere.

    Competition is useful but not this 'fight to the death' mindset. The Chinese, for example, have come up with a strategy for managing dust on their Mars lander's solar panels. The obviously learned about the need to do this from the American experience. Now we get to find out whether their approach works and if it doesn't what's wrong with it.

  14. TheInstigator

    America needs a new adversary ...

    ... and I think China fits the bill quite nicely.

    I always found it rather strange the US didn't allow China to participate in the ISS due to their space command also being linked to their military.

    It does make me wonder how the US Air Force managed to get the X37B working so quickly without working with NASA - the X37 and the space shuttle look remarkably similar for the layman ...

    Ah - yes - I remember now - it's OK when the US does it because it's for truth, democracy and the rule of law!

    1. stiine Silver badge
      Facepalm

      Re: America needs a new adversary ...

      They used the same sub-contractors. How many rocketry companies, before the SpaceX era, were there?

      1. TheInstigator

        Re: America needs a new adversary ...

        Not many - but the point is irrelevant - the technology should never have been given to the military to use - if you insist on the US following the same rules that it insists other countries follow.

    2. annodomini2

      Re: America needs a new adversary ...

      Started as a NASA project:

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_X-37

      1. TheInstigator

        Re: America needs a new adversary ...

        Yes - it started out as a NASA project - which - according to rules which the US holds other countries to - should never have moved across to the auspices of the military

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