If it actually did alter its path, one has to then wonder if that new path might somehow alter the path of another object which then might alter another object which somewhere down the line would cause a major impact with Earth. Sometimes, leaving things alone, is the smart move.
Scientists overjoyed after DART smashes into asteroid Dimorphos, contact lost
A spacecraft smashed head-on into a 170-metre-wide asteroid named Dimorphos on Monday in a first-of-its-kind experiment demonstrating how we could one day potentially divert a hazardous object on a collision course with Earth. The Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft, with a mass of 570 kilograms before impact, …
COMMENTS
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 03:04 GMT sarusa
There's no altered path - they hit a 'moon'
This binary 'system' of asteroids was chosen particularly because that's not an issue. Who knows what will happen in billions of years (butterfly effect) but for now it's just as likely to make it more likely to not hit Earth as to make it hit Earth (effectively zero for both).
First, Didymos and Dimorphos are on a 2.1 year orbit around the sun with minimal interactions. They come nowhere near Earth (10.6M km at the closest).
The second key here is that Dimorphos orbits Didymos with a period of about 12 hours. What they did is hit Dimorphos head on with the force of about 3-4 kilotons of TNT. This will make Dimorphos slow down slightly so it takes a few more minutes to orbit, which will cause it to orbit slightly closer to Didymos (by the rules of orbital dynamics, slower = closer). That's it! The total mass of the two is unchanged except for the negligible size of the DART probe, which may be made up for by the ejecta. Didymos will continue to orbit the sun just as before.
Understanding this is crucial to why they chose this pair as posing no danger.
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Wednesday 12th October 2022 01:01 GMT Anonymous Coward
In theory yes as as gravitational forces or space curve interconnect all masses. Kind of butterfliy effect but that could also be true to minimal variances. but what I ma not sold off is really their test actually be valid to claim planetary to defense system as they pompously claimed today. First they stated that they shortened the orbit duration by 30 minutes when they expected only 10 minutes. But shorthern by what by putting the astroid in lower orbit due to the impact or actually by transfering a Kinect energy to the object in its curr not orbital trajectory? How also this even is analog to defending athis planet for a big asteroid coming directly to earth may because every 100 million years from outside of solar system or even from the two asteroid belts in the solar system? I guess this another project to funnel tax money to NASA.
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Wednesday 9th November 2022 11:01 GMT Mooseman
" I guess this another project to funnel tax money to NASA."
Well, no. I'm not sure why americans complain about funding NASA when your obsession with the military means you funnel trillions to the armed forced every year.
What they have attempted and proved is that yes, we can alter the orbit and trajectory of an asteroid, so that if we manage to detect a threat in time we can potentially shift it so that it is unlikely to hit the planet. Personally, I think that's a better use for tax money than yet another nuke.
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Thursday 29th September 2022 23:14 GMT John Brown (no body)
Re: Take only photos, leave only footprints
...and burn marks from landing rockets. And left over tools, instruments etc. And remote science experiments. Bits of the lander not need for the ascent. A golf ball or two. That's just on the Moon. On Mars there are the remains of parachutes, inflated bouncy balls, crashed skycranes and dead or soon to be dead rovers, some with nuclear power plants in them.
Of course, on an entire large Moon or planet, it's a tiny amount of "rubbish" we've littered the places with, but it's lot more than just "foot prints"
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 08:57 GMT tiggity
Re: 170!
Best checkout I had against me was a 3 bull 150 from John Lowe. This was in an exhibition match where he was only scoring on bull / inner bull (with exception of one non bull dart allowed to count in scoring to allow setting up score to allow a finish). Us general public allowed to score on any number obv.
This was when he was one of the top handful of players in the world - just so impressive seeing 3 darts squeezed in the bull & room for more (especially as he used quite chunky darts) -but visually it was great. Something you would be unlikely to see in a "real" match due to high deflection / bounce out risk. I have had many higher out shots against me (and made higher outs, sadly my max a 164, numbers never dropped for a 170 attempt when I used to play, though did some in practice) - .
It was a pressure shot for him, us amateurs were allowed to go first and I was averaging in the 80s and so got a chance at a high 3 dart out (but missed the "out shot" at double 18).
Seeing the effortless skills close up made me realise I would never be more than an OK amateur player (though I think "real" match pressure affected him a fair bit as his exhibition play quality was notably better than any tournament play I ever saw from him)
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 02:52 GMT Lordrobot
There goes the prime directive... Murica Successfully Saves the world AGAIN with a bomb
Something there is that doesn't love a bomb. Aside from the Murican Celebrations, this bloody asteroid didn't move a millimetre, do the math. Not that, that matters. Awards and prizes will still be given out, the Space Farce will be declared a fundable success. The story will grow over time as to how Murica saved Europe once again. Of course, Europeans will be allowed to participate in future experiments, through their generous contributions.
Why not celebrate with a big Bill "Deliverance Kid" Nelson smile, as blowing up celestial objects, or attempting to do so, is not only acceptable but will save mankind from the next earth extinction... Isn't the solar system lucky today....? Man and his bombs will be around for another 450 million years... I hope all you European junior scientists know which nation buttered your bloody bread today.
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 08:51 GMT Mooseman
Re: There goes the prime directive... Murica Successfully Saves the world AGAIN with a bomb
"asteroid didn't move a millimetre, do the math"
Maths.
It did move, it's been pushed into a slightly lower orbit. The whole point of the mission was not to blow up the asteroid but to test whether an impact by a comparatively tiny object could A) be accurately targeted across millions of miles, and B) whether it could actually have an effect.
I'd suggest a little reading up on the topic before ranting about...whatever you were ranting about.
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 10:36 GMT Primus Secundus Tertius
Re: There goes the prime directive... Murica Successfully Saves the world AGAIN with a bomb
A body 170 metres diameter has a volume 2.6 million cubic metres. If the density is 2.5 tonnes/cubic meter, that is a mass of 6.4 million tonnes. The impact vehicle weighed 0.57 tonnes, travelling at 6,400 metres/sec.
If that momentum is transferred to the asteroid, that change in velocity is about 0.57 millimetres/sec. On a one year journey that would amount to 18km. Not very helpful if you want to swerve past a target (Earth) of diameter 12,600 km.
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 11:03 GMT Headley_Grange
Re: There goes the prime directive... Murica Successfully Saves the world AGAIN with a bomb
"..that change in velocity is about 0.57 millimetres/sec.."
Pedantically, that's a change in speed. Velocity is a vector and it's the change in direction that is more important. If you hit something that's a long way off and change its direction by only a few millirads it could be the difference between hitting or missing earth.
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Wednesday 28th September 2022 17:57 GMT Michael Wojcik
Re: There goes the prime directive... Murica Successfully Saves the world AGAIN with a bomb
The downvotes here seem a bit harsh.
Speed is the magnitude1 of velocity, so, yes, a change in speed is a change in velocity. But OP wrote "that change in velocity is about 0.57 millimetres/sec", which is under-specified. The correction from "velocity" to "speed" was warranted – as was the correction regarding the possible utility of a small change in velocity.
1Some might quibble with your use of "component", if it's taken in the technical sense. And this is a technical discussion.
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 23:07 GMT GloriousVictoryForThePeople
Re: There goes the prime directive... Murica Successfully Saves the world AGAIN with a bomb
Assuming your figures (18km/yr) are correct, then:
To miss a 12600 diameter object you have to move 6300km / 18km/yr = 350 x 570kg=200,00kg
SpaceX Starship is ~100T dry mass and 100+T payload = 200,000kg
Coincidence??
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Thursday 29th September 2022 23:23 GMT John Brown (no body)
Re: There goes the prime directive... Murica Successfully Saves the world AGAIN with a bomb
"Not very helpful if you want to swerve past a target (Earth) of diameter 12,600 km."
You do know this was only a proof of concept, don't you? Or do you think airliners are not possible because the Wright brothers barely managed to fly 100' on their first attempt?
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 18:16 GMT Andrew Newstead
Re: There goes the prime directive... Murica Successfully Saves the world AGAIN with a bomb
Hmm, I don’t think you’ve actually looked into this. The plan is to observe the movement of the asteroid after the impact has taken place with an object of precisely known mass and velocity. Observations will be done using telescopes and radar. There is an expected result but we don’t know if “real life” matches the prediction, hence doing the experiment.
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 03:29 GMT An_Old_Dog
Megalomaniac Plan
When I was six, my father explained the duality of light to me. That night I took a flashlight out into our back yard and gleefully shot it at the Moon. Since light was, in some sense, particles, I was pushing the Moon out of its orbit! (Though by just a picoscopic amount.) Muu-ha-ha-ha-ha-haaaah!
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Tuesday 27th September 2022 04:17 GMT stiine
I'm disappointed
You should have included the last image, or should I say partial last image taken by the probe, which was the top 10% of a frame with the rest being just noise.
I'm also waiting for the JPL scientist to update his plastic model to include the impact crater....GO JPL ! ! ! ! !
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Wednesday 28th September 2022 11:51 GMT Anonymous Coward
Re: NASA insurance hike
NCD only protects the percentage discount on your policy. It doesn't prevent them putting up the basic premium you pay on next renewal because of the claim.
As I found out when I queried why a minor scrape in a supermarket carpark increased the total amount that I paid for the next renewal by a considerable amount (the people I hit, rather than wanting me to pay for the repair directly got in touch with a claims management company, meaning that the overall claim was significantly more than the couple of hundred quid it would have taken to buff out the scratch in the top coat , and then repaint. It really was a very minor touch).
The lady on the phone at the insurance company was actually quite open to the fact that it is a common mis-understanding of what NCD actually is. I guess she had to explain this to a lot of people.
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