back to article 4G to dominate cellular IoT until 2028, when 5G takes over

4G will continue to be the dominant cellular connectivity technology used by IoT devices until 2028, according to a report from Counterpoint Research. "With the ongoing sunset of 2G and 3G networks across the world, most of the demand has been shifting to LPWA, 4G Cat 1 and 4G Cat 1 bis technologies until now," said senior …

  1. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    "In 2030, shipments of all cellular modules will exceed 1.2 billion units – and join a fleet of 2.5 billion 5G units already shipped."

    Damn, that's going to be a lot of landfill...

  2. Richard Jones 1

    It Would Be Nice if 4G Was Treliably Available

    Any 'G' would be great. Reception is perhaps fine, if you have 10,000 neighbours in your sitting room in CityVille, but move a few metres outside that hellhole and the idea of reception becomes a memory. Broadband Wi-Fi can help inside homes, but that is hardly mobile 'G' is it?

  3. Greg D

    I still think 5G is unnecessary. Power hungry and the short range makes it impractical.

    For almost all mobile users, that don't use it as their main internet connection at home or something daft, its pointless when 4G has a comparable downlink speed in most scenarios, and much better range/reception/power usage.

    1. DS999 Silver badge

      Range is dependent on frequency, not which "G" it is. Where 5G is used at similar frequencies to 4G (like the 600 MHz 5G T-Mobile is deploying nationwide in the US) it has exactly the same range as 4G. Exactly the same bit rate too though, of course. There are other benefits to 5G over 4G though, like latency and much more efficient sharing across a lot of simultaneous users.

      The crazy numbers for 5G bit rate require higher frequencies to allow using a lot wider swathes of bandwidth, and those are short range but that's only intended for dense urban areas, stadiums, and such places. No one is going to be deploying that in rural areas.

      On other most overlooked benefit is the ability of 5G to share the same spectrum with 4G, which means there will never be any need to retire LTE devices the way there was with 2G and 3G.

  4. Charlie Clark Silver badge

    Projection defies historical mean

    First of all, 5G is largely marketing blurb. The real change was to packet based infrastructure via LTE / 4G.

    The research is reasonable but the chart has an uptake of 5G that is significantly faster than any comparable changes in the past. That raises a few questions.

    Again marketing is in the lead here. WiFi 5 & 6 along with "5G" are driving convergence for wireless technologies: my phone already has the option to use a WiFi connection for calls where available, which is a good way to boost call quality in buildings where cell coverage will naturally be lower. Convergence should effectively increase cell density by blurring the boundaries. Higher cell density is really the only way to improve speeds for everyone.

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