This could go either way. It may well be a footnote in history. But it could end up that Trump fired the gun which holed Android and sank the global American tech hegemony.
Developer beta for Huawei's Google-free HarmonyOS is here – but you may need to Google Translate the docs
Huawei has launched the first developer preview of its in-house smartphone operating system, HarmonyOS 2.0. The software (which started life as an IoT operating system with a commercial debut on a smart TV, hence the 2.0) is supposed to serve as Huawei's insurance policy against losing access to the Google-made Android mobile …
COMMENTS
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Friday 18th December 2020 12:33 GMT AIBailey
Absolutely.
I don't know what Huawei's plans are for HarmonyOS, but if they licence it freely to other manufacturers then it might gain traction.
OTOH, with AOSP also available, HarmonyOS may well end up as just another minor OS of interest with a tiny market share compared to Android (See Fire OS, Tizen, Sailfish OS etc.)
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Friday 18th December 2020 15:44 GMT Anonymous Coward
Thank you. As an American I believe it is to China's favorite to develop their own OS, regardless of which thanks to the global attention. I can't reassure it's Trump's fault, as I really do believe it was inevitable (he most certainly sped it along), but once China has something then Android, iOS, Windows Mobile (too soon?) will no longer be able to sleep in their thrones.
Turning from the topic a bit, in hardware China is making in-roads on x86 "compatibility" for alternatives CPU's and are already selling "spec" x86 CPU hardware. Cloned or not, more and more Chinese designed and made hardware is out there. At some point, China will have it's own I.B.M., but I do wonder who will try to stop that being it now seems impossible to stop.
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Friday 18th December 2020 17:14 GMT Brewster's Angle Grinder
Even if a truly excellent alternative to Android existed, history suggests the world would carry on using Android. (Look at that list of failed mobile OSes. Or look at the desktop and Windows.) Android has inertia.
And, as an app developer, two OSes are fine, thank you very much. If you're gonna faff around with another OS then I'm going to wait till it's an established platform with a clear pool of users safe in the knowledge that (1) you won't go all in but will also offer other android devices; and (2) that users will likely recoil from the non-android devices, even if they're cheaper, because they won't have all their apps; and that (3) every non tier-1 developer is likely to make the same calculation so I know I won't miss the boat.
Government intervention in the market changes that equation. This goes two ways: either Huawei collapses as a mobile manufacturer or they make it work. And, as a dev, I can see that straight away so I'm already paying more attention than I would if it was another upstart nerd fantasy. Even if China banned Android in China, they'd probably still be selling Android in the west and it would take a good while for China-OS to make inroads. But if Biden keeps up the pressure on Huawei, they have no choice but to make it work. And if they're succeeding, and play their cards right, other manufacturers might join them and try and throw off the Google yoke.
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Thursday 24th December 2020 16:42 GMT needmorehare
Android has one thing the others don't
Backwards compatibility. If your apps don't "just work" pretty much forever, then it's game over. That's why Windows has majority marketshare and so does Android. History demonstrates this well. Windows Phone was on track to do very well, until Microsoft broke compatibility not once, not twice but three times over a very short period of time.
If a decent alternative operating system pops up with transparent app support and objectively superior performance/features, it will win long-term.
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Friday 18th December 2020 19:49 GMT DS999
HarmonyOS runs Android apps
So it is hard to see how choosing it makes any difference versus AOSP Android from an OEM perspective. For all I know, it may mostly be AOSP Android under the hood with Huawei's GUI layered on top - that would be the easiest way to gain Android app compatibility.
So I don't think this will make much of a difference, let alone presage any difficulties for Google. After all virtually no phones sold in China are running Google's flavor of Android. They are essentially all AOSP Android with Google's bits replaced with Chinese app stores, Baidu Search/Maps, WeChat, and so forth. Google never had the Chinese smartphone market in the first place.
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