back to article Good luck with Project Wing, Google. This drone moonshot is NEVER going to happen

Google’s delivery drones in Oz have a really easy job – fly across a near desert and lower a parcel to the ground. That’s easy-peasy, matey. Try that in my Sixth Street home* in San Francisco, the one near the junction with Folsom Street, where (to make the Chocolate Drone Factory’s life easier) there is a grassed yard. …

  1. Anonymous Coward
    Unhappy

    You've got it all wrong....

    ...as you pointed out, it will need 3d mapping.

    Google: Can we fly drones.

    US Gov. No, not without at least 3D mapping as a starting point.

    .....

    1 year later

    Public...WTF are you doing taking photos of me in the bath on the 14th floor?

    Google. The government told us to do it.

    1. Cryo
      Terminator

      Re: You've got it all wrong....

      This is pretty much what I was thinking (right down to the title).

      Google isn't interested in making deliveries. They're interested in getting up-to-date, high-resolution aerial photography without requiring a fleet of spy satellites. Toss a flock of drones with download-pointing cameras over each major city, and you have maps that are constantly up to date. If they fly at a high enough altitude with zoom lenses to reduce distortion, they won't need to worry much about object avoidance either. They can just circle around the city all day like aerial Roombas.

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: You've got it all wrong....

        Without a fleet of spy sats? Did you miss the SkyBox acquisition announcement?

    2. Ian Michael Gumby
      Boffin

      Re: You've got it all wrong....

      Its called LIDAR.

      That's how you do 3D Mapping. No photos necessary.

    3. Necronomnomnomicon

      Re: You've got it all wrong....

      Why is everyone forgetting that they started the 3D mapping years ago?

      www.androidcentral.com/google-maps-adds-more-3d-buildings-more-cities

  2. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Alternatively ...

    as with trains, you make the *environment* drone friendly - probably in clearly defined areas.

    15 years ago, I worked on a system for a client who had a fully automated (and I mean FULLY automated) warehouse. The only human effort was to unload/load the lorries, since they couldn't be fitted with loops for the robots. Once goods were loaded onto a robot, they disappeared into the warehouse, until they were ordered. Humans were physically prevented from accessing the floor space, so robots could whizz about as fast as they could.

    It was a paper manufacturer in Hemel Hempstead .. John Dickson IIRC.

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: Alternatively ...

      I also worked for a company that had a nearly fully automated warehouse 10 years ago. They ditched it for a much larger space in a union-unfriendly state where large numbers low wage workers of sometimes questionable provenance do all the work manually that was once accomplished through sophisticated automation. I'm sure that there were solid business reasons for making that change (for example, the relative cost of installing and maintaining effective automation), but have sometimes wondered if there might be other explainations.

      1. Destroy All Monsters Silver badge
        Terminator

        Re: Alternatively ...

        but have sometimes wondered if there might be other explainations

        Like the risk of Warehouse Rise Of The Machines?

    2. Anonymous Coward
      FAIL

      Re: Alternatively ...

      So Google will pay the couple of trillion to relocate all the power and phone lines underground then?

  3. Mikel

    I would like 1 bag of skittles

    And a free drone

    1. Vector

      Re: I would like 1 bag of skittles

      Yeah, most of the "problems" mentioned in the article are overstated. 3D mapping? No real need as long as the drone has an adequate sensor array onboard which should also take care of most of the obstacle issues.

      The real problem is going to be physical security. Google and Amazon are going to be real bummed when less savory types start knocking their drones out of the air, not only for the device itself but also for the goodies inside!

      1. DropBear
        WTF?

        Re: I would like 1 bag of skittles

        Yeah, most of the "problems" mentioned in the article are overstated.

        Exactly - and the article tries to make its argument rather anviliciously. Yeah, we get it, you think they're crazy - well, some of us don't really see a problem with anything much in that tenuously assembled heap of 'issues'. It's just a matter of will - drawing some lines on a map inside which drones may fly, assigning a (fairly low) height within these to be kept clear of choppers and other urban aerial bozos, mapping of anything that protrudes into that airspace (really now - even in a city with skyscrapers, those do not make up the bulk of the buildings), and equipping the drones with some ultrasonic ranging sensors and a few itty-bitty pinhole cameras (I wonder where I last saw full-globe covering cameras... oh wait).

        1. Anonymous Coward
          Anonymous Coward

          Re: I would like 1 bag of skittles

          Actuallywhat you could see is drones deliveribg to lockers like amazons for easy localpickup. Solves a lot of the propozsd problems just drop and sort many packages into appropriate lockerz. No drivers required and access problems sorted.

      2. Michael Wojcik Silver badge

        Re: I would like 1 bag of skittles

        Good lord. It's like no Reg readers have ever read RISKS.

        Detecting power lines isn't difficult? Against a contrasting background in good lighting, perhaps - but I wouldn't want to see an automated drone try to find its way around the airspace near my house under any conditions.

        Like some others here, I suspect this is just Google looking for another excuse to gather information.

        1. Vector

          Re: I would like 1 bag of skittles

          "Detecting power lines isn't difficult? Against a contrasting background in good lighting, perhaps"

          My goodness, how human-o-centric!

          You are assuming the drones will be as dependent on vision as people are. I believe they could have a range of other sensors which would be far more effective than sight in power line detection.

  4. Gene Cash Silver badge

    Ha. Except for predetermined keep-out areas like airports and the White House, drones will deal with obstacles the same way people would... "oops, there's a building, don't run into it." I don't have a pre-mapped view of the local mall, but I still manage to not run into anything.

    As for running into seagulls, you'll find they give obnoxiously-buzzing RC kit a fairly wide berth, and it's rather a challenge to run into them.

    For landing areas, for the first delivery I'm sure they'll have an operator go "hm, big back yard, it can land [click] there" or [click] "rejected: no landing zone detected" (That's no different than today, where if your subdivision is new enough it doesn't show up on Google Maps, you don't get Fed-Ex or UPS deliveries)

    All that said, power lines are a horrible danger that's hard to detect and avoid. Just ask your local helicopter pilot. However, they move a lot faster and have a lot more inertia than a small drone, so perhaps some sort of electromagnetic field detector may work, if a vision system isn't up to the job.

    1. Nick Ryan Silver badge

      It's definitely not an insurmountable problem. When it comes to spotting overhead wires a human helicopter pilot, with good eyesight, is likely to have a lot of other things to be looking at instead such as instrumentation, distance, other craft and so on that spotting something thin and very close to their flight path isn't likely to be easy and human eyesight really isn't really suited for flight at even 50mph. However for a drone system a near space high resolution sensor of some form (optical, radar, etc) shouldn't have a problem spotting them and it then becomes a task of whether or not the drone is able to avoid them.

      I wouldn't really consider that such drone delivery systems are useful for urban environments, but where there is a lot of unpopulated space with sparse settlements, a drone delivery system could be useful.

    2. dan1980

      @Gene Cash

      "I don't have a pre-mapped view of the local mall, but I still manage to not run into anything."

      In fairness, you do have some of the most sophisticated sensing, interpretation, positioning, path-finding and error-correction software imaginable, all running on hardware developed and refined in parallel over millions of years and exquisitely tuned to work together seamlessly. You also have access to a vast store of comparative information that works with unbelievably versatile pattern-matching software to identify all manner of objects in the environment, supplemented with an unequalled ability to infer the properties of objects by observation of their behaviour and vice-versa.

      Further, the whole package is capable of near-spontaneous self-improvement and efficient learning routines which enable you to not only deal with new situations in suitable ways but also improve the efficiency of any subsequent approaches the similar problems.

      There is nearly no engineering or software problem that can't be solved to get drones delivering packages - the issues becomes the ability to do so without spending many, many times more than the benefit gained.

      As one poster said, above, the trick is to get the environment suited to the use. That is clearly not the case for this proposal so a better option would seem to be the continued development of self-driving cars. Once this is sufficiently advanced, efficient delivery vehicles could be designed.

      That has many benefits, not least of which is that the investment is already there - both in the infrastructure (roads) and the technology. You also have a much broader range of packages that can be transported so your investment has broad use.

      There is of course the problem of actually getting the package into the customer's hands but considering the issues presented in the article of the increasing density of populations and the types of dwellings we inhabit (i.e. apartments), this is no more problematic for a self-driving vehicle than a drone. As it will be near-impossible to take the parcel directly to the recipient, the recipient must meet the delivery part-way.

      The only added concerns for a vehicle above a drone would be package selection and dispensation once at the destination and parking.

  5. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Argument from personal incredulity

    Ah - your own individual circumstances, always a good argument

    I need a car that can do 500 miles on one refuel and carry 5 people and a dog so electric cars are impractical.

    I need a computer with a 21 inch high res CRT and the ability to play Duke Nukem at 15 frames per second therefore who would ever buy a 7 inch tablet without a keyboard?

    I need to run a 2000 watt vacuum cleaner 24 hours a day so solar power will never work.

    I live in a dense urban area so delivery drones can't happen.

    Now I can't quite see me getting my next bit of random Chinese tat dropped from above by Amazon, but I can easily see how if I was in a village in Liberia rather desperately wanting some Ebola vaccine it might be quite handy.

    Actually - high value cargo, a degree of shall we say 'anonymity', ability to cross borders simply - their business plan is getting clearer!

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: Argument from personal incredulity

      Actually, it's not from personal incredulity - his considerations are valid because Google was not stating it was aiming at Ebola deliveries in a desert - in a more dense population this is indeed madness, and not just for the arguments mooted.

      This drone project shows precisely the same deficiencies as their self driving car project: an assumption that somehow maps will magically update themselves to local circumstances. I wonder why - have they discovered that creating enough intelligence to deal with issues on the fly will deprive them of the sort of live information they can sell? What if someone has just put up a washing line, what are they going to do, buy local politicians to ban that?

      Sorry to drone on (cough), but there is another question I have: let's assume for a moment that the irrational has happened anyway and Google drones are now all over the place. Who is responsible for checking the payload? What if some crazed idiot sends a parcel with bio weapons or some fun stuff with a timing device? Come to think of it, sounds like a potential for a self driving car as well - jack the thing and send it on its way.

      I am not inclined to welcome anything new as revolutionary until I'm sure it cannot be abused by revolutionaries..

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: Argument from personal incredulity

        Thing is, you're not stating anything that probably could be done already with existing technology. Having a self-driving car isn't going to matter much for a suicide car bomber. Likewise, the kind of payload needed to drop a bioweapon in to the atmosphere should already be possible with a model airplane.

        1. coolcity

          Re: Argument from personal incredulity

          Model aeroplanes don't have much of a range so leave the offender at risk himself with something like bioweapons. Likewise a self-driving car is going to attract nutters too, not just those willing to give their lives as martyrs by suicide bombing. There is a huge difference between deciding if you want to kill yourself with a suicide bomb and sending a bomb off to explode somewhere else while you're tucked up nice and safe watching from a distance.

          The biggest problem I envisage Google facing is people nicking the drones and their payloads, and the other issue of claiming the item hasn't arrived which any ebay seller will tell you is a huge problem for low value items, or expensive items which some idiot seller has decided to save a few bucks by sending via a method which doesn't require a signature. If you have drones delivering items and not asking for signatures half the world are going to be claiming they never received their item.

          I also think most people seem to have completely forgotten just how many of these things are going to be needed if they are to replace delivery services. There would be literally hundreds, maybe thousands of them flying around the average city. Nobody has mentioned what is likely to happen from a public outcry when engines start failing and they start crashing into people or traffic, maybe on a busy motorway, resulting in deaths and serious injuries, (likewise with driverless cars) and it will happen.

          No consideration seems to have been given how they will cope with bad weather either, wind, rain, snow and so on. It can change very quickly in some parts of the world and even full sized aircraft are still brought down by such things. What chance would a drone have?

      2. dan1980

        Re: Argument from personal incredulity

        I, personally, guarantee that all the technical problems can be solved.

        What the author, and any reasonable person, is questioning is whether they can be solved in an economically efficient manner.

        People talk about mining asteroids. Well, we (the human race) have just landed a space-facing 'drone' on a COMET; we have the ability to mine asteroids right now! It will just cost us more (in time, money and resources) than we can hope to get back from the endeavour.

        To a lesser extent, the same is true for drone delivery, at least in modern, high-density urban areas. It can be made to work, but what is the benefit?

        1. Michael Wojcik Silver badge

          Re: Argument from personal incredulity

          I, personally, guarantee that all the technical problems can be solved.

          What a peculiar thing to claim. What do we get if one or more of the problems turns out to be intractable?

          1. dan1980

            Re: Argument from personal incredulity

            An image of me with crow on plate and fork in hand.

            It was a peculiar thing to say but yesterday was a rather strange day, all around.

  6. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    And the other side of the story?

    Chris, as a journalist I take it you have asked Google how they intend to go about those various questions you raise. What was their response?

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: And the other side of the story?

      That would require research and reporting no? Do we get that here?

    2. Michael Wojcik Silver badge

      Re: And the other side of the story?

      Chris, as a journalist I take it you have asked Google how they intend to go about those various questions you raise.

      AC, may I suggest that, as a reader, you investigate the concept of the "editorial"?

  7. chivo243 Silver badge

    Hunting license please

    Me: Yes sir, I'd like a license permit.

    Plod: What will you be hunting this season?

    Me: Let's see, snipe, err um, deer, quail and drones.

    Plod: I'm sorry to say we don't allow snipe hunting....

  8. This post has been deleted by its author

  9. Pirate Dave Silver badge
    Pirate

    Why?

    I can maybe understand the self-driving car thing as some Googolian's "personal project" to demonstrate his utter pwnage of the phrase "boffin", but why would Google want a fleet of automated drones flying around? I can understand Amazon's burning wish for such things, but what does Google get out of it? They don't sell much except our search history and the contents of our gmail accounts. Certainly we aren't expected to wait for Google search results to arrive by drone, are we? Or is this how they intend to return search results to diehard users still running IE 6 and Firefox 3.x?

    1. Amorous Cowherder

      Re: Why?

      The US Gov ( and others worldwide ) doesn't want shit loads of these things buzzing about up there, so Google realises this and wants to get in there first. They can then provide a delivery service to others for a huge fee. If Amazon, UPS, Fedex, et al can't get their own licenses, Google are on to a nice little earner and imagine Google getting their grubby mitts on all that logistics data? Goldmine!!

      1. Michael Wojcik Silver badge

        Re: Why?

        They can then provide a delivery service to others for a huge fee.

        No, they can't, because existing delivery services don't charge huge fees. There's nothing about magic drone delivery that makes it significantly more valuable than what postal services / shipping companies / couriers now provide.

      2. coolcity

        Re: Why?

        Huh? If governments don't want them they are simply going to ban them. How is that going to benefit Google?

    2. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: Why?

      Perhaps the article is mixing things up. It would be Amazon that would need to learn about landing sites and so on, but for Google, I would imagine this would be a way to augment their mapping data without having to resort to cars. It would likely depend on the ownership of airspace where they intend to fly these things.

    3. Adam 1

      Re: Why?

      > but what does Google get out of it?

      I can't imagine any reason at all why Google would be interested in being paid to collect a continuous feed of low altitude high resolution images of populated areas....

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: Why?

        Plus the subversion of any such system by the state/military.

        Imagine the term "Google target with extreme prejudice" being common in future.

        1. Fred Flintstone Gold badge

          Re: Why?

          Plus the subversion of any such system by the state/military.

          Imagine the term "Google target with extreme prejudice" being common in future.

          That chimes with something I was thinking earlier: what if Google is simply aiming at opening up another revenue stream by selling (more) to Government, this time the military? Bomb dropping drones? We got it. Shooting robots? We're working on it. Spy photos of all the population? Just use our raw Streetview and upcoming Google Glass footage. Wifi grabs? We will make sure we won't get caught again but yes, that's well out of beta now. Population intelligence? We scan every mail received and sent on our platforms (etc etc).

          There's a lot of money they can pull in that way if it wasn't for the ethical problems. Oh, wait ...

    4. coolcity

      Re: Why?

      Surely it's obvious? They would get the same out of it as Ford do selling trucks and Boeing do selling aircraft. They would simply sell either the technology, the drones themselves or the rights to use the technology, or would sell the delivery service itself to the likes of Amazon.

  10. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    The task is impossible

    not that I'm a fan of google, quite the reverse, but the word "impossible!" must have been cropping up pretty regularly over the course of development (good and bad) of the so-called human kind and I bet it has added and extra kick to those inventing the opposite of "impossible"...

    1. Destroy All Monsters Silver badge

      Re: The task is impossible

      Impossibru.jpg

    2. Michael Wojcik Silver badge

      Re: The task is impossible

      Which are more tiresome - those who insist that something is impossible, or the sophomores who always contradict them with this particular argumentum ad verecundiam?

  11. Anonymous Coward
    Happy

    Hurrah for the human pilots

    "No? Like hundreds of them doing a really, really boring job? Thought not. So these are self-guided drones."

    I wouldn't mind doing that for a while, heck, I almost do it anyway from time to time on Google Earth.

  12. ratfox

    Re: Like hundreds of them doing a really, really boring job?

    It is probably true that these drones are meant to be self-guided. But if you think Google does not have hundreds of employees somewhere doing a really, really boring job, you are probably wrong.

  13. Salamander

    Please remember that this is America.

    There are shotguns in America. Lots of shotguns. And plenty of bored people who would think it good sport to take pot shots at these drones. Frankly, there are some very bored engineers and executives working at Google. And Amazon.

    1. Brewster's Angle Grinder Silver badge

      Re: Please remember that this is America.

      I predict Google's next purchase will be a company specialising in armour plating. Or perhaps camouflage (aka "blue paint").

      Seriously? It will be sending live data back to Google. Shoot it down and your mug shot will be emailed to law enforcement. And thereafter there'll be one less gun nut on the street. Everybody wins!

  14. PriSoner

    Stated Goals

    Googles original vision for this project was to deliver defibrillators in an emergency to inaccessible areas and its stated enlarged goal is for delivering emergency items in areas where the infrastructure has been decimated, through earthquakes or other natural disasters and war etc. Also the possibility for the delivery of drugs or medical devices to people in inaccessible areas holds great promise...

    It is not being developed as a home delivery system although should the tech become good enough in the future that may be possible in certain suitable areas..

    Collision detection is routine on most high end drones now along with image recognition, real time 3D mapping etc etc and getting better all the time. As it currently stands it's in its infancy but it's aims are achievable with current technology.

    1. Hargrove

      Re: Stated Goals

      First and foremost. . . Not a big fan of Google for a variety of reasons--Its decreasing ability to deliver relevant results to my searches being at the top, followed by privacy concerns, and with envy being admittedly somewhere not too far down the list.

      The point made in "Stated Goals" that there will be situations where the technology will be suitable and others where it won't is spot on. "Where it won't" is more likely to be driven by economic and legal considerations than technical. Ultimately it will come down to a cost/risk/benefit analysis on the part of providers (Google will not be the only one using the technology), customers, government (wait a minute, we can TAX the use of these suckers!), and a myriad of third parties.

      Some random thoughts: Ordering a $5.00 magazine sounds like a cool way to acquire a sophisticated drone to get the parts.

      Just because you can land a drone on top of my apartment doesn't mean that the owner is going to allow folks to go traipsing willy-nilly across the roof. (Flat roofs are prone to leak and are damnably expensive to repair.)

      For any level of operability in urban areas, figuring out liability and insurance is going to take a while. We've had the technology for doing unmanned air transport for decades, and it hasn't happened.

      For the same reason even for rail transport--arguably about as constrained an environment as one can get--unmanned operations are only common in situations like theme parks and airports, where the entire environment is under ownership and control of a specific entity.

      Again, I'm anything but a fan of Google. But, in this case my impression is that the hyperbole in the article looks more like the writer's than Google's.

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: Stated Goals

        "For the same reason even for rail transport--arguably about as constrained an environment as one can get--unmanned operations are only common in situations like theme parks and airports, where the entire environment is under ownership and control of a specific entity."

        The Docklands Light Railway in London is apparently automatic - and LRT would like the Underground to go that way too.

        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Docklands_Light_Railway

        1. Steve the Cynic

          Re: Stated Goals

          "The Docklands Light Railway in London is apparently automatic"

          The Lille Metro has been fully automatic for longer than the DLR. And unlike the DLR, there are *no* staff on the trains.

          http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lille_Metro

          It offers trains once a minute during peak times.

    2. graeme leggett Silver badge

      Re: Stated Goals

      Perhaps I've misunderstood, but a defibrillator needs to be on location, or very near by, before the emergency. Hence the push to get the automatic kind (AED) into shopping malls, community centres and the like.

      picture on this page http://www.bhf.org.uk/heart-health/life-saving-skills/defibrillators.aspx shows one marked "IPAD" (apparently from Public Access Defibrillation )

    3. Suricou Raven

      Re: Stated Goals

      Defibs are a bad example - a ten minute wait is too long.

      If you're looking for something that is needed to rarely to keep stocked, but may be needed urgently at any moment, you want antivenom. Or some of the exceptionally rare blood types.

  15. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    The scary part

    The scary part is that the Federal Aviation *Administration* will probably approve Google's plan, both because of pressure from Congressional delegations in the tech giant's back pocket and a fear by regulators that they'll be caught up in another "wifi-gate" (the scandalous denial of i-thing owners of their right to tranceive stupid cat videos -- thanks to which I have no refuge from 3rd level support calls, even at 30,000 feet). While I'm sure there are at least a few knowledgeable, dedicated professionals still residing inside the labyrinthine FAA, the question is whether their management has the intellect, or more importantly, the courage, to stand up to the forces of commerce. Perhaps a way out would be to do an economic loss analysis, how much would Google (or Amazon) lose in revenue if they were prohibited from using drones, and then ask Warren Buffet to compensate them. Or we could just eliminate all the loopholes they've used to avoid paying their fair share of taxes and call it even.

  16. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Money talks

    When money demands drone deliveries, it will happen. You should know better than to write-off the future.

  17. marekt77

    Impossible, no, impractical most defiantly!

    The way I see drone delivery service becoming feasible is if these companies use drones, or what in reality would be a automated transport helicopter to deliver a large quantity of goods to predefined locations where said goods are then given to human couriers to final delivery to customers.

    The idea that we would have direct to customer drone delivery is extremely impractical because of the amount of drones needed. Let us take the annual iPhone release date. An iPhone is small enough to be delivered by drone, and is not an item that will be replaced by streaming, or digital delivery, such as a BluRay or video game.

    Take San Francisco, or any major city, how many people pre-order the iPhone for day one delivery? A few hundred, a few thousand? Lets say 3,000 people in the bay area pre-order their iPhone for day one delivery. How many drones would it take to make all of those deliveries on time? How many in the air at the same time? 200? 500? And that is just for the iPhone. Now add all of the other orders that have to be fulfilled that day. How many drones are in the air at once? There will have to be a limit, otherwise the sky will be filled with drones. From Amazon, UPS, FedEx, local couriers, etc... With said limits in place does it become feasible to even run such a delivery service?

    How will security be handled? Everyone knows iPhone release day, or PS4 release day, or Xbox, etc... Take out the drone as it is flying, could the police even keep up with the amount of theft that would happen? Rural delivery makes a little more sense, but makes it even harder to control security. Drone gets taken down en route out in a field, the drone, and it's cargo could be taken long before any one arrives.

    The only way I see this making any sense is as I stated before, large automated transport choppers, dropping of large quantities of cargo in per-defined destinations for local human delivery. Drone drops off cargo, goes back to warehouse, comes back with another load just as local delivery returns from making previous deliveries.

    Direct drone to customer delivery, not for a LONG time, if ever!

    1. Cryo

      Drone delivery is so last year. Much better options are now possible. We're about to open a Kickstarter for a completely REVOLUTIONARY new delivery method, called Dropit. Inspired by FUTURE TECHNOLOGIES we wanted to complete a COMPLETELY DIFFERENT, ORIGINAL delivery system.

      Currently we don’t have a fully working prototype, but here's a computer rendering of what we envision the device to look like...

      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BudlaGh1A0o

  18. Richard Boyce
    Black Helicopters

    Business

    Don't assume that Google is only interested in civilian uses. The military spend a LOT of money, and that's attractive to any business. The U.S. government may already be paying Google for research.

    I imagine drones are the stuff of nightmares for some security people.

  19. Dave, Portsmouth

    If at first you don't succeed...

    ... Reg says we should give up, claim it's impossible and not bother to try!

    That's the spirit, you'd hope for a little more vision from a technology (ish) news site.

    1. phil dude
      Thumb Up

      Re: If at first you don't succeed...

      have an upvote, for the sentiment.

      Perhaps we have gone full circle, and the current tech folks are scared of the next generation....

      P.

  20. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Why use drones when you've got Big Dog

    Big Dog would be far superior to drones when it comes to package delivery. Heck, he can even clear the way of obstacles like city traffic. See video for a demonstration of how Big Dog might accomplish that task:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jvLalY6ubc

  21. Chris G

    Forward Looking

    I think one of things cash rich tech companies can do, is make investments in research that is not necessarily a sure thing in the short term.

    Look how many things we take for granted today were not even imagined fifty years ago, in many ways reality has outstripped science fiction. Much of what was unimagined has become possible because of advanced materials and chip technology and new knowledge that couldn't be guessed at being taken advantage of by new generations of researchers with new ideas.

    Google has bought itself a bevy of very interesting research and development companies over the last decade without any clear (to the rest of us) commercial reason for doing so.

    Fortunately Google has a little surplus cash to flash so they have been doing just that.

    All the while these researchers under Google's umbrella are moving forward and anything worthwhile is undoubtedly being patented so eventually when a big breakthrough is made in any of these fields Google will have at least a hand or finger in the pie.

    They could even be the ones that make the breakthrough in the 'Next big thing' so messing about with drones now gives them prior art, experience and potentially they could be 'going postal' in a whole new way.

  22. graeme leggett Silver badge

    bread and circuses?

    A completely unjustifiable thought no doubt, but could this be a bit of distraction on google's part.

    Electric cars, delivery drones, and the like. Some of which work, some of which won't but all publicly burning up cash.

    So when the man in the street asks his neighbour, "what does google do with all that advertising revenue?" His neighbour says "driverless cars". "Oh, really", says the man, "did you watch the game last night"

    Meanwhile, somewhere underneath a dead volcano, google execs are assembling the progenitors of the master race......

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Terminator

      Re: bread and circuses?

      No, I think it's just planning for the robotic overlords. See icon!

  23. Vociferous

    Knee-jerk tech hostility? From the Reg?

    Shame.

  24. SDoradus

    Never is a long time

    ""This isn’t a moonshot – it’s madness" - ho, ho.

    I love it when pundits say something like a 'moonshot'' will "never happen". And then it does. Google is expert at making an array of bureaucrats suddenly see things its way. We shall see!

  25. GrumpyOldMan

    Basic intrusion

    Personally I hate the idea of drones. Nice sunny afternoon, sat in the garden with a beer enjoying the stillness and quiet after a hard week at work, and these ****** drones - er - droning - overhead all the time. Going to do my head in. People may take them out just for that! Cameras? As far as I know it's illegal to point a camera into someone elses property to take a photo without their permission. If you have to purposely peer over a fence, wall or hedge and can't be seen from off the property then that's just not on. I don't recall having given Google permission to take photos of me in a private fenced garden.

    1. ilmari

      Re: Basic intrusion

      So you prefer the current delivery sustem where large trucjks driving around aimlessly back into your garden for an 11-point turn when they realize they were going the wrong way?

  26. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    I still think of the local shop

    becoming the local Drop.

    An agreed location with (out of hours) automatic lockers and CCTV. The goods are dropped, end up in a pick up box accessible only with the purchasing card or some other verification.

    Air lanes between “drops” can be be agreed.

    Maybe the local school, park, can get a sponsored point,.

    Argos, Tesco, M&S have a DropShop pick up point in the car park.

    With a bigger bespoke drop area quieter more efficient planes could be used.

    1. graeme leggett Silver badge

      Re: I still think of the local shop

      Just for safety's (and privacy) sake, you could make the drone follow the line of the roads so that it doesn't overfly anyone's property and cause annoyance etc.

      Don't forget to put some wheels on it for soft landings. In cases where trees and other overhead obstacles compromise flying it could then use the wheels to do part of the journey on the ground. Don't forget to make it a strong colour so it can be seen - yellow or red are good.

      To be more cost and routing efficient you could make a bigger one to carry more parcels and packages, though initially the rotors might not be up to the job and it would need to use the wheels. Tell you what, take off the rotors and give it a new name - how about "Van"

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: I still think of the local shop

        Between your words of witty cynicism you have given me an idea.

        So this “Van” thing (creepy feeling I've heard that somewhere before) is scaled to the work load and jobs, it has wheels OK I get all that, well make the size thing more real time and you have invented the “Leggett Lofter” (TM).

        Plan the job route so that the wheels are used until it has offloaded enough weight to switch to aerial, complete the last remote small drops and return to base empty by air.

        See a genius behind the sneer.

  27. DavidBuzz

    naysayer.

    ~1/3 of the things you've said are impossible, they ( or someone else in UAV land) has already done.

    ~1/3 of the things you've said are impossible, they've already done similar elsewhere with Cars.

    ~1/3 of the things you've said are impossible, they are like "you know this is just a proof-of-concept, right, we'll sort them out later, we have a big TODO list, but it's all achievable".

    I'm with them. :-)

  28. Maty

    'If a respected scientist over the age of forty explains at length why something is impossible, there is a good chance of it happening within twenty years. If a substantial number of scientists under the age of forty are working on that same thing, it's practically certain.'

    Arthur C.Clarke 'Profiles of the Future' 1957 (paraphrased)

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