@skelband... Slightly OT...
In http://www.theregister.co.uk/2010/08/23/assange_swedish_claims/
you see the following:
"Assange told Al Jazeera TV he had no direct evidence of spook involvement but had been warned 11 August by Australian intelligence services to expect such a slander campaign. He said he learnt of the allegations when he saw them on TV on Saturday morning. Assange is on holiday in northern Sweden."
(Riight... Australian 'intelligence service' telling Assange what to expect....)
Which made me look at the following question "Assange welcome in Australia?"
(You can google using this search parameter and come up with the following:)
http://newsfeed.time.com/2010/12/06/has-australia-abandoned-wikileaks-julian-assange/
http://www.theage.com.au/technology/security/pm-has-betrayed-me-assange-20101204-18ks8.html
http://www.indianexpress.com/news/issues-with-cancelling-assange-passport-australia/720415/
and the latest:
http://au.news.yahoo.com/latest/a/-/latest/8759753/our-hands-tied-gillard-tells-assange/2/
(from Feb 2)
If Assange is not afraid of the charges in Sweden, why is he looking to bail back to Australia?
(Oh he misses his home... kinda flies in the face of his long standing 'nomad' lifestyle.)
And that's kind of the point. Assange is a mess of contradictions....
You read the reports and come to the conclusion as to how shaky the women's testimony is.
You said :" What these leaks do seem to outline is how shaky, inconsistent and unlikely these women's case is."
While its your opinion and its a valid opinion, you still need to ask yourself is it enough information for there to be charges brought forth under Swedish law? Neither you nor I know Swedish law so we can't say for sure. Evidently there is enough to risk the negative publicity and file an arrest warrant for Assange.
What do you think those investigators would find out if/when they interview Assange directly?
Now remember those links I just posted?
The Australian government is cooperating with the US. Australia has troops in Afghanistan and to quote one of the articles...
"Ms Gillard has asserted that Mr Assange's actions were illegal. A taskforce of Australian soliders, intelligence officers and officials is investigating whether he has breached any Australian laws.
Mr McClelland yesterday said Mr Assange might not be welcome back in Australia if he is convicted over the leaks. He confirmed Australia was providing ''every assistance'' to US authorities in their investigation."
-=-
When you play with fire, the odds are you are going to get burned.