Check out all of the details of this month's Patch Notes, featuring the Reflections: Reforged update!

https://mabinogi.nexon.net/news/69963/reflections-reforged-patch-notes-november-4th-2021

https://mabinogi.nexon.net/news/69963/reflections-reforged-patch-notes-november-4th-2021

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## Comments

And that's math that's leagues too complex for me.

I'm unsure why people aren't selling the bags though, for a newer person sure the inv is nice but the 30m+ price tag goes a lot farther. I mean you could buy a carsek bag and still have 10m for whatever you wanted.

EDIT: unless I misunderstood your question?

Seems U have my friend.

I was asking whether U have the acute knowledge of knowing what server the Screens hailed from 2 spare me the leg work.

well they didn't post which server they're from lol so no, you have just about as much clue as I do of where they are from.

The probability that Nexon setting the values of all items equally the same are slim.

However, I tired to adjust the values

After opening 400 jars using binomial theorem probability [ b(x; n, P) – nCx * Px * (1 – P)n – x ] to find the % rate of the bag seemed fruitless.

So, I thought about using chaos theory for the unpredictability ..... thoughts ?

Basically if the odds end up being something like 1/5000, then of course u cant get an accurate measure from only 400 boxes. Just counting the odds of the bag itself, if it happens to be that low, would mean you would need a size of more then 5000 to be at all accurate, and realistically, you should have more then that by a good bit so u can be sure its not actually even lower odds then that.

Drop percentages aren't equalized.

I'm not a mathematician (I'm a IT guy) but always interesting to know the maths behind games

I understand the concepts but not the numbers, and tbh 1/500 isn't bad for an mmo droprate. Which is why I find it hard to believe the bag is anywhere near that.

No it's 50/50, you either get it or you don't.

100% chance someone already got it.

99.9% chance that person isn't you.

99.8% chance that person doesn't want it and will try to sell it to someone who also doesn't want it and just wants to sell it at a higher price.

hey that's me!

Not AS great as a Black Bag (unless you already have one), but it gives you up to 10 free slots on any item bags.

You may also be able to use it on merchant bags, increasing your sales area and actually giving you 11 free slots if you use it on any of the 11x11 bags.