From within academia
There is another aspect that must be considered. In order to properly train
students in experimental sciences (physics, chemistry, biology...) there are
costs associated with the maintenance of a laboratory, and the necessity
to buy consumables such as chemical products and periodically renew
the equipment. For this reason, a department of humanities is likely to
cost less to a university. This is even more likely in a research university
where professors have also their laboratory, which is buying even more
expensive equipment than the teaching laboratory. From the point of view
of the administration of the university, if student fees represent a notable
segment of the budget, and if the extra cost created by the science departments
is not fully covered by the student fees, it is better to avoid enrolling science
students. Since a significant fraction of the professors must be now retiring,
it is likely that a good strategy for the administration of the university is to
note that there are less students willing to study sciences than students
interested in the humanities and thus replace science professors with humanities professors. At some point, science departments will be small enough to make
their closure possible without too much protest. Of course, the members of the
Royal Society understand this all too well, and this is the reason why they
are producing this report on the shortage of science students. This strategy
of trying to preserve student enrollment in the sciences is doomed to fail.
The obvious reason is that industry is disappearing in Europe, making it
unlikely for the science graduates to find jobs outside academia. And of course,
within academia, universities will do their best to minimize the number of tenured
professors in the sciences in order to make it easier to close science departments.
The net result of all this is that not only in the UK, but all over Europe (and maybe
also in the US), we should observe a quick market-driven decline of science studies. The real question is really whether our post-industrial society is in need of
scientific or engineering skills, or whether the sectors of entertainment, banking,
insurance, real estate and litigation will be able to produce enough cash to allow
the Europeans to buy all industrial products from India or China.