Some of these comments...
> The thing apple has suceeded at better than any other modern company is in
> getting a large number of uncritical evangelists routing for them. That these
> people are generally among the richer part of the population helps too.
The thing Apple has succeeded at better than any other modern company is creating products that you don't understand the advantages of. That might be because you're stupid, but is much more likely to be because your mind doesn't work quite the same as the people's who do understand it. Just like radon gas or death, just because you don't see it doesn't mean it doesn't exist.
> Yes, there's a (possibly reasonable) "anyone but microsoft" view - but the
> momentum that has gained with Macs is just running on inertia. Ipods,
> Iphones, yes very pretty as ornaments for the superficial "look at what I've
> got"/fashion statement types, but no better or worse at actually GETTING
>STUFF DONE.
See, and there's where you're clearly wrong. Just absolutely clearly wrong. If thousands of people had MP3 players that they never used, which is the very clear result of the market research that The Reg reported on back in the day, and then along came the iPod and everyone bought one and they actually use it, then clearly the product is DRAMATICALLY better at 'getting stuff done', if in this case 'getting stuff done' means 'listening to music'.
There are a lot of people who don't understand that the interface matters. You appear to be one of those. People like that have two choices: they either assume that there is something there that they're blind to, or they assume that everyone else is stupid. You have chosen the latter.
> Given the amount of money Apple spend on promoting their products, this
> offering will not be allowed to be called a failure - no matter how many units
> they wanted to shift compared to the actual uptake (and remember, it's only
> available in a small fraction of the world so far). I reckon the marketing
> department will use the old fallback of "whatever we hit - we'll call that the
> target".
Apple set an amazingly ambitious goal, and made it very clear when they announced the product what that goal was: ten million phones in the first year, one percent of the cell phone market. At the time everyone laughed, because they said it was wildly unrealistic. (Here, for example, is a Reg article: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/06/02/apple_iphones/ ) And I was with them; I figured they were being, shall we say, 'optimistic'.
If it really is true that they've sold a million of them in the first two weeks, which I find hard to believe but which is what scuttlebutt says, then I would like to revise my opinion a bit.
-fred