Re: What's the limit?
There is no evidence Russia are winning. All evidence points to them being unable to replenish troop numbers, unable to advance. Unable to hold territory once they do take it, when a counter attack happens. Their economy is getting worse and worse.
Hilarious projection. Or it would be, if it wasn't the kind of delusion that's getting Ukrainians killed. Again it's the usual ignorance created by years of bad propaganda. Currently and constitutionally, this is still an SMO, which means Russia is limited in the forces they can deploy outside their borders. It hasn't imposed full mobilisation, or any mass conscription. Unlike Ukraine, which has their snatch squads dragging men off the streets, then sending them off to the trenches to get killed. Or for the lucky ones, desert. Desertion rates have been very high and have been increasing, especially given Ukraine doesn't have the manpower (or will) to rotate troops off the conflict line to rest them.
You're also repeating one of the big lies, ie Gen Milley's '3-day' claim, or the claims of 'full scale military invasion'. Russia started the SMO with around 2-300k troops vs Ukraine's 800k+ in a show of force to demonstrate they were serious about their red lines. This almost worked, and almost had the Istanbul deal signed after the first couple of months. But then Boris the Butcher went to Kiev, persuaded their Comedian-in-Chief to fight, and instead of peace, a lot of Ukrainians have been killed or maimed for our 'leaders' ego and vanity.. Plus of course all the money that's simply been stolen.
So then you have the 'linear warfare bros' inventing objectives for Russia, then claiming they haven't been met, so despite the ever shrinking Ukraine, Russia must be losing. Which is also Schroedinger's Russia. They're incapable of conquering even Ukraine, so how is it they're an existential threat to the rest of Europe? Which rather misses the point and Russia's stated aim, ie this is a 'war' of attrition to remove Ukraine's ability to fight.. Which they're doing. Ukraine's even helping with counter-attacks because that just means more Ukrainian forces sent into Russia's caulrdons where they are elimated. Zelensky is busy doing his 'Downfall' moment, pushing regiments that only exist on paper around maps, and hoping for his Steiner moment.
If you look at the maps, Russia is steadily advancing, and their rate of advance has been accelerating. The Donbas is almost entirely under control, and Russia is now advancing in Zaporizhzhia & Kherson, with forces only a few kilometers away from Zaporizhzhia, forcing Ukraine to evacuate that city because it's now under Russia's guns, and creating another large IDP problem for Ukraine to try and manage. But Russia's pretty much through Ukraine's 'fotress belt', with much less in the way of defences in the way to the Dnipr, which is the obvious partition line. Or Russia may decide to keep going and take Odessa.. But that's the point of attritional warfare and forcing a defence collapse.
Also, we had a sustainable peace. Up until the point Russia invaded a neighbouring country which as no threat to them. This idea that it is about NATO expansion is deluded to say the least.
So NATO was created to counter the Soviet Union, which collapsed in 1991, and NATO promptly expanded.. Despite the theat it was created to counter ceasing to exist. There was no 'sustainable peace' because although Minsk was supposed to provide that and end Ukraine's civil war, it was just a pretext to arm & train Ukraine so they could attempt their reoccupation of the Rhineland.. I mean Crimea and DPR & LPR. Merkel admitted Minsk was a ploy, and Crimea and Donbas were NATO and EU prizes, Crimea to create a base in the Black Sea, and Donbas for the resources. Russia was well aware of this and acted to stop Ukraine slaughtering ethnic Russians.. Because Ukraine still has a huge Banderite problem, and the Banderites hate slavs. We're defending those neo-Nazis for some strange reason, although Starmer has stopped chanting the 'Slava' thing, presumably because someone finally told him about the origins of that, along with Ukraine's red & black flag.
Russia is indeed crumbling.
Fine, then all we need to do is wait. After all, it crumbled over 3 years ago after Ursula's boasting about her schlock and awe sanctions and Russia's economy being in tatters. We're up to, what, the 20th round of sanctions now? And it's our economies that are crumbling, not Russias. Especially if the EU is serious about another 1.5tn in Ukraine spending, but that will buy a lot of golden toilets.
Russia doesn't really have any Oreshniks. Intelligence points to them having 3 or 4. The idea that they're in full serial production is propaganda.
Sure. Intelligence also pointed to Russia being out of missiles and ammunition over 3yrs ago. Shovels, washing machine chips, oh my! But intelligence also points to Oreshniks being placed in Belarus. How is this possible, if they only have 3 or 4? But there's propaganda around missiles. Ukraine needs Tomahawks, even though it can't operate them. Or it doesn't need them because it has their own Neptune and Flamingo missiles.. Or those were also lies, or Russia's already destroyed their production facilities. The V2/Flamingo was especially curious given 'Milanion', which appeared out of nowhere in 2025. And Zelensky's cronies, one of which now has an Interpol warrant for his arrest after defrauding Ukraine for $100m+ and who conveniently managed to flee from Ukraine to Israel the day before his arrest was due.
There's photographic evidence of Russia using them without a warhead guidance system, and have vacuum tubes in them..
Which of course I'm sure you can cite. A 12,300 km/h missile being intercepted by the ground wouldn't leave much trace of a vacuum tube, or guidance system. But then Ukraine has form for producing photos claiming to have been things like Kh-101s, yet clearly weren't.